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History
The church with the downed tower
History of joy and suffering of an old christian time witness of Vienna
The Minoritenkirche in Vienna is one of the oldest and most valuable artistic churches of the city. It is therefore not surprising that it also experienced a very eventful history. In all probability, the Franciscans were - how the Friars Minor (Thomas of Celano: "Ordo Friars Minor" ) also called on account of its founders personality, called by the Babenberg Duke Leopold VI the Glorious, in 1230 into the country. Here he gave them a lot, probably with a church (probably dedicated to St. Catherine of Alexandria), before the walls of the city, between the Scots Monastery (Schottenstift) and the ducal residence. It was not until 1237, and in 1271 the entire area was included in the extended boundary wall. The Minorite Barnabas Strasser says in his chronicle from 1766 that Leopold had asked on his return from the Holy Land in 1219 Francis in Assisi to the relocation of some brothers to Vienna, which was then carried out 1224. The Franciscans, however, are detectable only in 1234 by a bull of Gregory IX . to Frederick the Warlike, the last reigning Babenberg, by the year 1239 there was already the Austrian province. The above-mentioned chapel near the present Minoritenkirche the brothers have now expanded and dedicated it to the Holy Cross ("Santa Croce"). In 1251 the dedication was by the Bishop Berthold of Passau. In addition, the friars began to build a monastery, the 1234 is mentioned in a document (the monastery comprised finally the Ballhausplatz, Minoritenplatz and parts of the Hofburg and the Public Garden) . Of the original Romanesque building stock nothing has been preserved. Especially the great fire of 1276 has cremated large parts of the Convention.
However, the strong growth of the Friars Minor now living in Vienna made a new building of the church and monastery necessary. Already laid by King Otakar II of Bohemia in 1276 the foundation stone for the new building of that temple which was now already on the present site of the church, the monarch also promised tax exemption for all who had contributed to the building of the church.
First stage of construction (beginning in the third third of the 13th century.): So he decided to build new church and convent, but by the death in battle of Ottokar in 1278 at the March Field (Jedlespeigen close Dürnkrut) delayed the construction, thus only after the turn of the century it couldbe completed. The embalmed body of Ottokar remained 30 weeks in the chapter house of the monastery until it was transferred to Znojmo and finally to Prague. The king's heart is buried in the original Chapel of St. Catherine, which was now newly assigned this name because the appropriation should be reserved to the Holy Cross of Christ, the new church and the convent . This newly built house of God was given the shape of a two-aisled nave with zweijochigem (two-bay) long choir (chancel), which closed with the five sides of a decagon. This long choir, the one 1785/86 and changed into a five-storey residential building, was canceled in 1903. In connection with the subway construction (1984-86), although archaeological excavations took place, it also laid the foundations of the former free long-choir, but most of the foundations of the old presbytery were destroyed at the same time. - The first church had a rood screen, even at the turn of the 15th/16th Century the still resulting image of the Saint Francis was attached by an unknown artist. Just from this first phase, we know by the Baroque Minoritenchronik (chronicle) first mentioned the name of a builder, namely brother Hans Schimpffenpfeil .
Second stage of construction (after 1317-1328 ) Blanche (Blanche) of Valois, the wife of Duke Rudolf III . ( 1307) and daughter of Philip the Fair, in 1304 decreed in his will to build a chapel in honor of her grandfather, the Holy King Louis IX. of France (canonized in 1297) and introduced for this purpose in 1000 available books. However, the project was realized only under Isabella (Elizabeth ) of Aragon, wife of King Frederick the Fair (1330 ). The chapel dedicated to their relatives canonized in 1317, St . Louis of Anjou, son of Charles II of Naples, great-nephew of Louis IX . of France and Franciscan archbishop of Toulouse (1297 ); it was first a self- cultivation in the NE (north-east) of the two-aisled nave Minoritenkirche, until the third construction phase it was integrated into the nave (now the north aisle with Anthony's Chapel). In 1328 the chapel was apparently completed because in 1330 the founder - was buried in the chapel of Louis - in terms of her testamentary disposition. The tomb of Queen Isabella stood in the middle of the Kapellenjochs (chapel bay) in front of the apse. The tracery show similarity with those of the Albertine choir of St. Stephen (built by Duke Albrecht II [ 1358] ) as well as with that of the Sanctuary Strassengel near the Cistercian monastery Rein near Graz (around the middle of the 14th century.). Probably belonged to the tympanum with the donor portraits of Frederick the Fair and Isabella at the feet of the Mother of God, which was inserted in the third construction phase of the church in the secondary north portal, the original entrance to the Ludwig chapel. It must be mentioned that even the Duchess Blanche (1305 ) built around 1330 a high early gothic marble grave, which unfortunately disappeared in the course of the renovation of the church in the years 1784-86 by the court architect Johann Ferdinand Hetzendorf of Hohenberg. It would be in Vienna today the only work of art of this kind
Third stage of construction (from 1339 -1400): Construction of a three-aisled hall (originally nave chapel Ludwig). The north wall of the chapel was extended to the west and in the north portal installed a second yoke. In addition, it was built a new west facade, with especially the central portal - including was designed - with jamb - pompous like the French late Gothic - perhaps under South German mediation. In the obituary of the Friars Minor brother Jacob of Paris is called ( around 1340), the confessor Albrecht II as the creator of this work of art. The duke and his wife Johanna von Außenmauer MinoritenkirchePfirt have obviously significantly contributed to the emergence of Vienna undoubtedly unique late Gothic cathedrals three portal group, there is also a representation of Albrecht and his wife in the middle portal next to the cross of Christ. Together with the two for a rich Mendikantenkirche (Mendicity church) this equipment is also of French models (see Notre Dame Cathedral in Paris [after 1285] ) constructed in 1350-1370 with splendid rose windows (with "bright" and "rotating" tracery) to the south wall - unusually without a doubt. The workshop, which built the Ludwig chapel was also busy with the west facade ("Minoritenwerkstatt" (workshop)). 1350-60 or later today, finally, the bell tower was only partially built (as a builder is a lay brother Nicholas, 1385 or 1386 called ). The tower consists mainly of two parts, a lower part made of stone blocks to the height of the nave, and an upper, octagonal section of mixed masonry. Its crown had because of damage - especially been renewed several times and was eventually removed - during the Turkish wars . The consecration of the enlarged Minoritenkirche must have taken place about the year 1390. So that the church had received its valid look for the next time.
In 1529, during the first siege of the monastery and the church even more extensive damage suffering (launch of the spire). Since the monastery of the Observant (Franciscans) had been destroyed by the Turks, these sought to supplant the Franciscans in their convent, where John Capistrano, the founder of the "brown Franciscan" (Observant) in Vienna, lived some time in the Franciscan monastery and in the Church had preached, but eventually instructed the Emperor Ferdinand I the now homeless Observant buildings on Singerschen Platz. In fact, the number of Wiener Friars Minor has then shrunk to seven, so that they felt compelled to call Fathers from Italy. But that but could not prevent that the church from 1569-1620 war a Protestant church. Interestingly, originate numerous coats of arms on the balcony of this period. At that time the Conventual were only in the possession of Louis Chapel and the Chapel of St. Catherine. Also during the second Turkish siege in 1683 the tower served as an observation tower and the Minoritenkirche was accordingly fired by the Turks and severely damaged. In 1733 the tower is adorned with a copper dome, but because of the danger of collapse eventually had to be removed. It brought the church to that low pointed tiled roof, which still exists today .
More and more, the bands developed in the Minoritenkirche, especially Ludwig chapel and cemetery, grave sites of the nobility. Besides Blanche of Valois and Isabella of Aragon and Margaret, the last country Duchess of Tyrol, was named Maultasch ( 1369 ), is buried here, as well as members of Lichtsteiner, Ditrichsteins, Puchaimer, Hojo, Stauffenberger, Greifensteiner; Piccolomini, Medici, Cavalcanti, Montaldi, Valperga, etc. (many of them are listed in the "Libro d'Oro of the "Congregation Italiana"). It should also be mentioned that the Franciscans since the end of the 14th Century took lively interest in teaching at the University of Vienna, especially of course in the subjects of theology, but also the jurisprudence. At the beginning of the 18th Century lived in the Vienna alsoin the Viennese Convention the Venetian cosmographer Br Vincenzo Coronelli, which the Emperor Charles VI. appointed to head the regulation of the Danube and its famous globes are now in the globe collection of the National Library in Vienna.
It is worthnoting, finally, the fact that around 1543 on the Ballhausplatz near the Imperial Palace from parts of the monastery a small hospital was donated and that the Franciscans for 13 years did all the counseling in this new Hofspital, at this time was the newly restored Chapel of St. Catherine Hospital Church. Another wing of the former minority monastery was home to the Imperial Court Library, 1558-1613.
To Minoritenkirche the second half of the 18th Century brought drastic changes. This development was initiated by the fact that the naturalized Italians in Vienna founded an Italian congregation in 1625/26 under the guidance of the Jesuit priest and professor at the University of Vienna Wilhelm Lamormaini. By the year 1773, when the Jesuit Order was temporarily released their Italian trade fairs celebrated this "Congregation Italiana" in a chapel of the Jesuits at Bognergasse, near the old Jesuit church "Am Hof". But in 1773 that little church was by the imperial government requisited. Then the Italians found in St. Catherine Chapel at Ballhausplatz, which popularly still is referred as the Italian church - ie not only the Minoritenkirche - a new home. After a thorough restoration of the chapel was consecrated on 1 February 1775 ceremony in memory of the "Santa Maria Maggiore" to Rome in the name of "Madonna della Neve" (Mary Snow church'). The Holy Mass conducted Antonio Salieri (1750-1825), who was in 1774 chamber composer and conductor of the Italian opera in Vienna, from 1788-90 to 1824 Kapellmeister and Director of the Court Chapel. Pope Pius VI . visited during his stay in Vienna on Good Friday of 1782 the church "Maria Schnee" on the Ballhausplatz. But this state of the law was short-lived: in 1783 Emperor Joseph II shifted the Friars Minor in the former Trinitarian on Alserstrasse, and the Minoritenkirche was on the grounds that the chapel "p Maria della Neve" for about 7,000 Italians living in Vienna was too small, the Congregation italiana transferred to the condition that the Community had now to restore the Great Church (imperial decree of June 3, 1784). The richly decorated chapel "Madonna della Neve" went on an imperial property and was finally in the late 18th Century canceled. Also, the Franciscan monastery passed into state ownership: one is used for imperial and feudal law firms. The cemetery near the church was abandoned. With the greatest financial burdens now led the congregation from the imperial mission of the church renovation, the thorough repair of the church was entrusted to the court architect Johann Ferdinand Hetzendorf of Hohenberg (1784-1789). In order to cover the construction costs somewhat, were the old long choir (chancel) and the beginning of the 14th Century. (Consecrated in 1317 ) at the western end of the south side of the nave grown (and now defunct) St. John's Chapel (Chapel Puchaimische Kapelle ) converted into residences. The solemn consecration of the church under the name of "Madonna della Neve" took place on 16 April 1786, on Easter Sunday.
But soon was moving closer to the church the next hardship: In the years of the Napoleonic wars, the church should serve as a warehouse for straw, hay and for different equipment, so in 1809 also the forced evacuation of the building took place. Shortly after engaging the French eventually turned this into a provisions store. Two-thirds of the floor was smashed by the rolling of drums and by the retraction of cars. In the middle of the church a wide, tunnel-like cavity had been excavated and other parts of the floor destroyed a in God's house capped oven. Until 18 April 1810, the then Prefect of the Minoritenkirche received back the church keys. In 1825 died one of the most famous Kongregaten (congregats) of this century, namely, the composer Antonio Salieri, and on 22 June this year resounded in the Italian national church with the participation of the court chapel and the first Hofchores (court choir) the Verdi Requiem.
As the situation after the Napoleonic war turmoil in the mid-19th Century had normalized, Emperor Ferdinand the Good in 1845 donated to the "Congregation italiana" the according to the model of Leonardo da Vinci's famous fresco (1495-97) designed mosaic of the Last Supper, which the Roman Giacomo Raffaelli of 12 panels with a total weight of 20 tons by Napoleon's orders had made in the years 1806-1814, and was eventually bought by Emperor Franz for the Belvedere Palace. To that gave Emperor Ferdinand a considerable amount (8000 guilders) to allow the mounting of the work of art in the Minoritenkirche. The inauguration of the altar took place on 26nd in March 1847. In 1852 Emperor Franz Joseph came and soon the Crown Prince Franz Ferdinand in the "Congregation ". The former paid each year mostly coming from out of town fast preachers for the Church, in return he regularly received at the Festival of Lights (2 February) as well as on Palm Sunday the sacred candle or the olive branch.
The last major change in the church took place in the years 1892-1905 at the restructuring of the Minoritenplatz. Now two new courses, namely the Ballhausplatz and Minoritenplatz emerged, the houses adjacent to the church (former Long John's Chapel Choir and) were demolished. The former Franciscan monastery had to give way to the House, Court and State Archives. Even the church was given a new face, although the plans of the architect Viktor Luntz due to financial reasons only could be realized partially, there were clearly visible changes: Most noticeable to the viewer is undoubtedly the Gothic passage on the south side of the walled grave stones originated partly from the bands, and part of the adjacent once cemetery, as well as the above installed "Minoritenhaus". 1907 were placed in the tower four new bells cast in Trento, which is, however - with the exception of one, St. Anthony ordained, Bell - 1914 confiscated. The solemn consecration of the church took place on 4 Held in May 1909 in the presence of Emperor Franz Joseph. Due to the highly cooperative attitude of the Congregation towards the transformation plans of the City of Vienna Lueger, the mayor promised that the court should never be installed directly behind the church.
More important restoration work was carried out 1960-1962 (church affairs), in the last decade, as the outer walls have been restored.
About Minoritenplatz finally should be mentioned that the pastoral care of Italians after 1786 by each rectors appointed by the Archbishop was, from 1808 to 1813 was also here Clemens Maria Hofbauer who died 1820 and later was canonized working as a church rector. Therefore, there is also his monument on the north side of the church. Since the year 1953, and officially by the order of the archbishop Ordinariate of 1 December 1957 is the Friars Minor transmitted the pastoral care of the Italian community again, firstly the Fathers belonging to the Order of Padua Province while they are under the Austrian province today. In the year 2003, ie 50 years after the adoption of the pastoral care of Italians in the Minoritenkirche by the Conventual, that Francis statue was made, nowadays, it is located on the north side of the church, next to the Baroque cultivation.
(Text by Dr. Manfred Zips, Ital. Congregation )
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a handy little graph i whipped up in lab to illustrate how alcohol consumption (by Sachin AND the girls he hits on) relates to his chances of getting laid
[don't know what just the tip is?]
Kalenderhane Mosque (Theotokos Kyriotissa) Istanbul/ Turkey
Kalenderhane Mosque (Turkish: Kalenderhane Camii) is a former Eastern Orthodox church in Istanbul, converted into a mosque by the Ottomans. With high probability the church was originally dedicated to the Theotokos Kyriotissa. This building represents one among the few still extant examples of a Byzantine church with domed Greek cross plan.
Architecture and decoration
The sanctuary with the mihrab and minbar
The building has a central Greek Cross plan with deep barrel vaults over the arms, and is surmounted by a dome with 16 ribs. The structure has a typically Byzantine with alternating layers of brick and stone masonry. The entry is via a esonarthex and an exonarthex (added much later) in the west side.
An upper gallery over the esonarthex, following the same plan of the one existing in the Church of the Pantokrator, was removed in 1854. Also the north and south aisles along the nave were destroyed, possibly during the nineteenth century too. The tall triple arches connecting the aisles with the nave are now the lower windows of the church.
The sanctuary is on the east side; however, the reconstructed mihrab and minbar are in a corner to obtain the proper alignment with Mecca.
Two small chapels named prothesis and diakonikon, typical of the Byzantine churches of the middle and late period have survived.
The interior decoration of the church, consisting of beautiful colored marble panels and moldings, and of elaborated icon frames, is largely still extant. The building possesses two features which both represent an unicum in Istanbul: a mosaic, one meter square, representing the "Presentation of Christ", which is the only pre-iconoclastic exemplar of a religious subject surviving in the city, and a cycle of frescoes of the thirteenth century (found in a chapel at the southeast corner of the building, and painted during the Latin domination) portraying the life of Saint Francis of Assisi. This is the oldest known representation of the saint, and may have been painted only a few years after his death in 1226. Both have now been detached and partially restored, and can be seen in the Archaeological Museum of Istanbul.
As a whole, the mosque of Kalenderhane represents – together with the Gül Mosque in Istanbul, the Church of Hagia Sophia in Thessaloniki and the Church of the Dormition in (Koimesis) in Iznik (Nicaea), one of the main architectural examples of a domed Greek cross church from the Byzantine middle period.
Worn by: Clive Owen as Walter Raleigh
Costume Designer: Alexandra Byrne
Film: Elizabeth: The Golden Age
An Elizabethan man of average means - and Raleigh is as commoner - would, in all probability, possess a single suit of clothes, so production did not have the luxury of outfitting him as they would their courtiers. Byrne explains, "There are lots of contemporary engravings of Raleigh, but the reality is that a gentleman of that time maybe had one suit of clothing - he would have gone to sea in those clothes, where they would have gotten wet, then dried, they would have gotten torn, they would have been repaired. So we worked with the idea that his clothes had gone to sea with him and they had evolved of the the journey... and remember, it was four months there and four monthes back."
The designer worked with Clive Owen on the evolution of the design, assuring him that "the britches would be fine! He was a little alarmed by them. But by the end of production, I think he was quite keen on them, the way they have become a part of him. They give you a certain way of walking and a certain scale. He wears them like no one else!"
Costumes displayed courtesy of Universal Pictures International, celebrating the release of Elizabeth: The Golden Age, only at the movies November 15.
The Global Grid of Probabilities of Urban Expansion to 2030, v1 (2000-2030) data set presents spatially explicit probabilistic forecasts of global urban land-cover change from 2000 to 2030 and is part of the Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) collection. For each grid cell that is non-urban in 2000, a Monte-Carlo model assigned a probability of becoming urban by the year 2030. The authors first extracted urban extent circa 2000 from the NASA MODIS Land Cover Type Product v5, then used population densities from the Global Rural-Urban Mapping Project, Version 1 (GRUMPv1) to create a population density driver map. Next, using the present empirical distribution of regional urban population densities along with the probability density functions of projected regional population and GDP values for 2030, new urban land in each region by 2030 was estimated in a Monte-Carlo fashion. See more information at dx.doi.org/10.7927/H4Z899CG.
Average probability of finding a cherimoya tree belonging to a specific genetic cluster (A or B) in each 10-minutes cell with 20 or more trees applying a one-degree circular neighbourhood. Dark blue areas show a higher probability of finding trees belonging to cluster A, whereas dark green areas show a higher probability of finding trees belonging to cluster B. Light blue-coloured areas are not clearly assigned to any of the two clusters. Copyright Maarten van Zonneveld et al. 2012 PLoS ONE doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0029845.
Read more about Bioversity International’s work on Information systems for crop and tree diversity
www.bioversityinternational.org/research-portfolio/inform...
In all probability, this was a chance occurrence thanks to a statistical fluke. (See: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_distribution)
The least of all places in Bangalore where you have probability of expecting a WAP4, ED WAP4 22217 waits in the sidings adjacent to pf4 to take charge of the diverted16381 CSTM-CAPE Jayanthi Janata express, while ANGL WAG7 28240 moves through pf4 after getting clearance signal to Proceed towards Bangarpet.
Camera: Canon Powershot SX30IS
Time: 15:18 hrs
Location: Whitefield Railway Station
Camera Model Name: Canon EOS 5D
Lens: EF100-400mm f/4.5-5.6L IS USM
Tv (Shutter Speed): 1/500Sec..
Av (Aperture Value): F8.0
Metering Modes: Evaluative metering
ISO Speed: 320
Focal Length: 260.0 mm
Flash: Off
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DAY 06: Destination – SPANGMIK
Distance & Time: Shey – Spangmik by car - 150 km / 5 hrs.
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‘M’ Point is some kilometers before Spangmik, our destination. Was told that the Marmots in this area are extremely human friendly. It naturally sounds exciting in terms of close-up shots. An opportunity of sighting wild ass or Kiang too remains.
Wait in vain no wildlife is spotted. The possibilities have been exaggerated in all probability.
This is a semi meadow semi wetland area. Melting of glacier a source of water resulting in knee-deep grassland.
Andrea is interested in shooting the cattle grazing at some distance, while Shalini is busy taking landscape shots. Stay close to Sonam just in case if he is able to detect any movement.
Suddenly there is excitement, he points towards the wetland. Take a few seconds to locate, a pair of Black-necked Cranes! My heart skips a beat; this is not an area where they have been sighted before!
In absence of any cover, we gradually creep in trying not to raise alarm. These birds are known to be painfully shy. Glad of the new waterproof trekking boots, stepping in the puddles is a least concern (not that it would have mattered in this circumstance).
Black-necked Crane or Tibetan Crane is approximately 139 cm long and the male is slightly taller. Weigh 6-8 kg (13-18 lbs), longevity is reported to exceed 40 years. Feeds on shoots, tubers, insects, crickets or small fish. They are encountered in high-altitude open wetlands, meadows and bogs. The species is limited in its general distribution to the vast Tibetan Plateau, from Ladakh and southwestern and western Tibet to the central and eastern parts of Qinghai Province of China ranging in altitude from 3, 500-4, 700m / 11, 483-15, 420ft.
Clutch size is 1-2 brownish green eggs with brown spots are laid, often directly on to the grassy ground (or ground lined with dry grass or tubers) of a small island in a shallow lake, mount of marshes, or a floating nest platform (an untidy heap of collected aquatic plants). They are incubated by both sexes for 28-30 days. Three days after hatching, chicks vacate the nest, following their parents.
By April about ≤ 50 birds (including about 12 breeding pairs) migrate to clearly defined pockets in far eastern Ladakh located between 4100-4700m / 13,451-15,420ft., to depart again by late October. It winters near wetlands and harvested wheat or barley fields in the lower zones of east Tibet, south China, and Bhutan in altitudes between 2700-3200m / 8858-10,499ft. The species is endangered, considered ‘Vulnerable’ under IUCN Red List criteria, with estimated total world population not exceeding 5600-6000 birds.
In Ladakh its range is limited to the far eastern wetlands of Ladakh like Chushul, Fukche, Lalpari, Hanle, Churmur and Tso Kar. Unconfirmed reports have been there of feeding in the marshes at Shey, Diskit and upper Suru Valley.
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Note: Those who care about nature please visit and sign: www.savestevesplace.com/
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Mathematics is the core discipline of the National Security Agency. Algebra, number theory, real and complex analysis, probability theory and statistics are used on a daily basis to solve challenging problems in information security and communications technology.
i09_0214 194
Here's a sticker I've been seeing around town a lot since the baseball playoffs started a few weeks ago. I like the sentiment. It harkens back to a White Sox shirt I bought in 2005 that says, "No such thing as curses. Just win."
There are two ways people tend to approach sports. I'm a science-minded skeptic, and while I've rarely been interested enough to do the math myself, I place high value in statistical probability as I contemplate an outcome. Chicago goes for a different approach, choosing instead to appeal to unseen strange and mystical powers of the netherworld that somehow dictate what sports teams do. These people believe in curses, and nobody believes in curses more than the fans of the Chicago Cubs.
In baseball's early days, the Chicago Cubs were a really good baseball team, winning a number of National League pennants and two world championships in the first decade of the 20th century. But they hit a drought after their win in 1908, thanks in part to the rise of Babe Ruth and the New York Yankees. (The Cubs were on the losing end of Ruth's called shot in 1932.) But things started looking up for a while in the 1940s, and the Cubs finally made it back to the World Series in 1945.
Then one day, a cheeseburger salesman named George Sianis, owner of the Billy Goat Tavern, decided he was going to take a goat named Murphy to one of the World Series games. And I know the world was a different place in 1945, but even then the owners of professional sports teams were reluctant to let you bring farm animals into the stands. People started complaining, so the Wrigley staff kicked Sianis and his goat to the curb. This enraged Sianis, the story goes, and he supposedly snarled, "Them Cubs, they ain't gonna win no more." And so dawned the curse of the Billy Goat. The Cubs lost the '45 series to the Detroit Tigers, and they've never gone to another series until now. And Cubs fans believe with a deranged devotion I find borderline insane that it's all because of this goat.
Now, a science-minded skeptic might say that the century or so of Cubs failure owes more to cheap or distracted ownership and bad management and the fact that the Cubs have rarely acted like they have any interest in playing baseball. This skeptic might try pointing at 108 years of statistics to support the claim, but a Cubs fan won't hear any of that. No. It's the goat, and they cite any number of freak incidents that have nothing to do with goats to back them up. There's the black cat that ran across the field during a division game against the Miracle Mets of 1969 when the Cubs were poised to win the pennant. There was Leon Durham's dropped ball against the Padres that let a pennant slip away in 1984. And there's the horrible story of the Bartman Ball in 2003, when the Cubs were four outs away from going to the series.
They've tried any number of schemes to reverse the curse. A restaurant blew up the Bartman Ball and turned it into a soup in 2004, and you often hear about police or Wrigley security finding the severed heads of goats lying around the ball park. (No joke. This actually happens with astounding frequency.) But nothing's ever worked ... at least not until 2009, when the Cubs were finally bought by owners with an interest in baseball who were committed to a long-term project of actually building a good team from the ground up. These owners hired the stats-minded guy who'd ended the Red Sox championship drought in 2004 by focusing more on game play and less on the team's relationship with livestock. And now, finally, the curse is over. The Cubs might not win the World Series, but at least they got there, and what happens next is on them.
So #$@& curses.
No such thing as curses. Just win.
Greetings mate! I love voyaging forth to Yosemite to contemplate poetry, physics, the golden ratio, and the Tao te Ching! What's your favorite epic poetry reflecting epic landscapes? I recently finished a book titled Epic Poetry for Epic Landscape Photographers:
www.facebook.com/Epic-Poetry-for-Epic-Landscape-Photograp...
Did you know that John Muir, Thoreau, and Emerson all loved epic poetry and poets including Shakespeare, Milton, Homer, and Robert Burns?
I recently finished my fourth book on Light Time Dimension Theory, much of which was inspired by an autumn trip to Zion!
www.facebook.com/lightimedimensiontheory/
Via its simple principle of a fourth expanding dimension, LTD Theory provides a unifying, foundational *physical* model underlying relativity, quantum mechanics, time and all its arrows and asymmetries, and the second law of thermodynamics. The detailed diagrams demonstrate that the great mysteries of quantum mechanical nonlocality, entanglement, and probability naturally arise from the very same principle that fosters relativity alongside light's constant velocity, the equivalence of mass and energy, and time dilation.
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Fresh snow! More on my golden ratio musings: The Golden Number Ratio Principle: Why the Fibonacci Numbers Exalt Beauty and How to Create PHI Compositions in Art, Design, & Photography facebook.com/goldennumberratio
Best wishes on your epic hero's odyssey!:)
Bryce Canyon National Park Autumn Colors & Winter Snow Fine Art Photography 45EPIC Dr. Elliot McGucken Fine Art Landscape and Nature Photography: Nikon D810
Love shooting with both the Sony A7RII and the Nikon D810! :)
Epic Tunnel View Sunrise with El Capitan, Half Dome, the Merced River, and Bridal Veil Falls from Valley View too!
Graph illustrating how the probability of getting a parking ticket (y axis) after parking in a stall with an expired meter without feeding it increases as a function of time (x axis).
Wed Jan 9 from midnight to 6 AM was supposed to be a high probability of seeing an aurora. At midnight I jumped in my car and drove 30 miles to Ashpinnun Lake. When I got there it was minus 11 degrees, crystal clear, no wind and no aurora. I was only able capture this photo which may just be city lights, though any city is very far away. That is why this location is supposed to be so good. Oh well, I gave it my best shot.
Aurora Shoot - Jan 8, 2014-6287 WM
The present building was completed in 1897 has remained virtually unchanged since the 1930s. Houston has grown from a small farming community to an expanding semi rural village.
No one knows exactly when Houston got its first place of worship or where it was built but in all probability it was in the 8th century, near Greenhill Farm, Houston. The oldest surviving church building is the ruined Kirk of Kilallan which bears the date of 1635. This ruin is situated in Barochan Cross Road about 4 miles west of the centre of Houston. An evening service in the churchyard there is held annually in July, when old Psalms are sung to tunes well known to the parishioners of the time.
As a result of the Decree of Union which took place in 1771, the Kirk of Kilallan was no longer required and soon became a ruin. Worship then centred around a fairly modest building which was erected on the site of our present Church around 1775. It was envisaged that a new church, big enough to hold the united body, would be built at Houston but, because of the considerable costs involved, in the event only galleries were added to the existing building.
Around 1870, Mrs Ellice of Glengarry was given permission by Paisley Presbytery to build a new church, on the present site, in memory of her young son, Alexander Archibald Spiers of Elderslie, who had died shortly after being elected as MP for West Renfrewshire. By the early 1930's, this building was badly in need of repairs and by this time responsibility for any church repairs fell on the congregation. Fortunately, the Laird came to the rescue and he agreed to carry out a scheme of restoration, improvements and re-decoration in memory of his mother. This work was completed in 1938 and, apart from the installation of two new stained glass windows and the resiting of the organ, the church has remained virtually unchanged up to the present day.
The present West Hall was built in 1844 at the time of the Disruption when a body of members of Houston Kirk broke away to form a congregation of the newly constituted Free (later to become the United Free) Church. This was called the West Kirk. In March 1941, a fire broke out in the loft of the Church. This resulted in the complete destruction of the Church. However, in 1949, it was agreed that the two congregations would unite on the understanding that worship would be held in Houston and Killellan Kirk and that the rebuilt 'West Church' would provide hall accommodation. As a result, the original part (next to the main street) was reopened in 1953 and an additional hall (next to the Manse) was added in 1989. The main hall was also refurbished at this time, adding 3 committee rooms and extra storage facilities.
In 2016 an extension was added to the church and it was named The Killellan Halls.
www.supplylinedirect.com/osha-signs/danger/
Use DANGER safety signs to indicate the immediate danger which has a high probability to cause severe injury or death.
Problem: What is the likelihood that we will pull an ace from a deck of cards välblandad?
Solution: Because there are 52 cards in a deck of cards and 4 aces to become the probability 4 / 52 to pull an ace.
Answer: The probability is 4 / 5
A polling card for the UK General Election of May 2010 and a lottery ticket for the draw of the next day.
Probability distributions of annual mean AOD (z) at different heights for all sites. SGP (black), NSA (red), TWP (green), FKB (blue) and GRW (yellow). Read more »
Of all of the photos I've taken in my attempts to use Photography as an Art and not just snapping pictures, this one stands out as my favorite. I leaned out over the rail and took the shot, chancing the high probability that I might drop the camera into the harbor.
The probability of having achieved human-level AI before a certain date implied by the answers to the Winter Intelligence conference survey. Respondents gave not only their estimates for when it was 50% chance of human-level AI but also 10% and 90%. Fitting a skew Gaussian or a triangular probability distribution to each answer, the resulting average probability density gives an estimate of the collective belief. The blue line represents skew Gaussian fits, the red line triangular fits.
The probability density in the past is due to tails of the component distributions being forced to extend before the present by certain answers.
Adding probabilities wo events are called as an independent event, if both do not depend on each other; means when we calculate probability of one event, then the other event does not effects the probability of that event. Now we will discuss how we add two Independent Events.
Dreamer
1
There are few probabilities through
Which dreamers do not pass. . .
The first dream
Is the bright red dream
Of our mother’s heart.
It is her sacrifice
Of something eternal
In herself, for us.
The Arabs say
Blood has flowed
Let us begin again.
The heart is like a cup, or a coffer,
or a cave. It holds the image of the
sun within us. It is a center of illumination
and happiness and wisdom. To dream
of the heart is always to dream of
the importance of love. . .
The second dream is the inauguration
Of the soul. In this dream we are
Confronted by a host of birds. . .
Some were guileless
Like the doves,
Said Odo of Tusculum,
Cunning
Like the partridges.
Some came to the hand
Like the hawks.
Others fled from it
Like the hens,
Some enjoyed the company
Of people
Like swallows,
Others preferred solitude
Like the turtledoves,
But all eventually flew away.
“Living is not necessary, but navigation
is,” said Pompey the Great.
B. 1725, London
Mother devout as gunpowder
Seemingly clairvoyant
Taught her only child
To read by four
Arithmetic and Latin by six
Dies when he is seven.
I am dreaming
I am in the dark
And it is raining
And she is the rain.
To dream that you are in the dark
is a sign of difficulties ahead; if
you fall or hurt yourself you can expect
a change for the worse, but if you
succeed in groping to the light, that
is another matter. . .
Father, master of ships,
Lively in the Mediterranean trade,
Unusual qualities —
Educated in Spain, stern.
I listen to nothing
But the silence
Of my father; the dream
Says
He is the rudder
And the compass.
If, in your dreams, you see your
father and he speaks to you, it is
a sign of coming happiness. If he is
silent, or if he appears to be ill or
dead, then you may expect trouble. . .
Sent to sea at ten,
Acted like a verb in disagreement,
Of course
Bright,
But no eagle —
A mess.
I have vague
Dreams now
Of intelligent flowers.
I cannot say
If their roots
Are in the ground
Or in the air.
By seventeen
A wildflower
In the field of Jesus.
Pious, books, fasting,
Abstinence from meat,
A canon in his meditation
And silence,
But like the weeds
Loved to curse.
Flowers, one of nature’s best dreams.
This foretells great happiness, unless
you throw away the blossoms. . .
1742
A lot more flexible,
Falls in love,
Misses his ship,
A freethinker now,
Less of a thorn
In the side of God.
I dream that I
Am always with her,
A freckle on her wrist,
A flower in her hair,
A ridiculous flying fish —
Sliced
And dressed
And set on the table.
As I told you before,
He missed his ship,
Became a lover
Rather than a Jamaican
Planter,
Father as expected
Furious.
Love is a dream of contraries as far
as sweethearts are concerned. To dream
that you do not succeed in love is a
sign that you will marry and have
a happy life. To dream that you are in
the company of your lover is also fortunate. . .
Late 1743
Kidnapped into the Navy
(What else)
Coming from Mary’s house.
Taken from his own life,
Focused into new pieces.
I dream about my fortune,
A fragrance captured
In a jar,
A freckle without a wrist,
A wisp
Foxlike at the edge
Of the wind.
Fortune is a dream of contraries: the more
fortunate and successful you are in imagination,
the greater will be your real struggles. . .
How do we fit together
When we are not free?
What kind of animal are we?
How many heads do we have?
How many tails?
The sea
Is a strange piece of property
On which to discuss this,
On the hms Hardwick
One month later
Midshipman John Newton:
I have eaten war
Like a cluster
Of delicious fruit.
The ironic juices
Running from my lips
That was my dream.
The reality of war is the dream of it. Beware
of those things that appear so friendly
but have no reason. . .
1774
The Hardwick
Ordered to the East Indies.
First our hero visits Mary again.
(You’re wrong)
Almost misses ship,
Completely misses the point.
Given small boat of men
To go ashore at Plymouth,
Deserts.
My dreams here
Were father, compass,
Fog, leakage,
And ultimately, learning,
With us
Like our laundry.
We are always pulling from our past. Fossils
are the dream of the sickness of someone
you have not met for a long time. When
this happens brew herbs, add honey
and lemon, sip and inhale deeply. . .
Captured like a frog,
Returned, put in irons,
Stripped, flogged, degraded,
Returned to foremast.
This is that point many people would
call a black moment, an unfortunate
color on things. I will not do that. For
black is a contrary at funerals and our
hero has just died a little as we
all tend to from time to time. And even
though that is true I will not do
that either. I will not talk of the great
white moment of death, I will not talk
of the great blue and purple moments
in the prosperity of pain. I will not
talk of the great red or scarlet moments
of quarrels and loss of friends, or
the crimson pleasure of the unexpected,
the mental tints of yellow and orange
that show you should always expect
change, or the feeling of knowing green
because you have been on a long journey.
All the colors are conjurers when our
mysteries are being solved. And if this could
not be his dream then by now it should
be ours. . .
We are not holy
The wind says in the sails
As he works.
It has never been otherwise
Though we live in the most
Devout of stories like litmus paper
Constantly changing color
Just to prove something
Is happening.
The sadness in his dream is a good omen
for the future. It is a quest for lasting joy,
and so is punishment a dream of unexpected
pleasure. . .
Works quietly for weeks.
His silence
Darns a temperate
Healing thread
His eyes
Become an elaborate
Decorative art
Avoiding everyone.
“Every month,” said Cicero
“the moon contemplates
its trajectory
and the shrubs
and animals grow.”
He has done to himself
What is easy.
He must now blossom
Out of his new secrets
Even if joy is ephemeral.
Suddenly
He begins to sing,
Creates songs about fish
And clouds.
Fish are a dream of penetrative motion,
clouds are a dream of appearances always
in a state of change. . .
We must be patient
With the overfecundity
Of his youth.
We must let him
Climb and descend the mast
Like a weapon.
Trade him
To a slaver’s ship
To subdue the threat
To discipline
In his strangely awakening
Joy.
We must let him
Choose his monsters
And the myths
Of his own worth —
The enemy always being
The forces threatening
From within.
Paul said, “We wrestle not against flesh
and blood, but against principalities, against
powers, against the rulers of the darkness
of this world, against spiritual wickedness in
high places. . .”
Suddenly,
Begins to breathe
Different songs
In his six-months’ stay
Along the Sierra Leone coast.
Troublesome songs,
Songs of quick wit
And devastating rhymes
Ridiculing ship’s officers,
Crew loves them,
Becomes a choir.
To dream that you hear other people
singing shows that the difficulties
that will come for you will come through
your dealings with other people. . .
The irate mate
Assuming command
After the death of the captain
Threatens
To put Newton
On a man-o’-war.
The Royal Navy is not an obstacle dream;
it is an elaborate exhibition of the
nuances of living death. . .
Occupation: slave dealer
Place: Sierra Leone
On one of the Plantanes
Features: Short, white male
Name: Clow
Other information: Black wife
Name: sounds like P.I.
John Newton
Bargains his life
Into this extravagant story.
He will become a slave
Because P.I. will hate him.
He will become ill
With fever.
He will be denied
Food,
Denied water,
Tormented by Black slaves
On command,
Put to work
On a lime tree plantation
Enjoying only the scents
And dreaming
Of his earthly desires,
Will master the six books
Of Euclid,
Drawing the diagrams
With a long stick
In the wet sand.
Six is, like two, a particularly ambiguous
number to dream about, but it
establishes equilibrium. It unifies
the triangles of fire and water and
symbolizes the human soul. Six is
the hermaphrodite, a personality integrated
despite its duality.
If this is a story
Of the reasoning of slavery,
Where are we?
What have we been doing
To people,
To the light
From which life emanates?
Slavery is a story
Of procreation,
Of magic religious thinking,
Of the androgynous divinity
Within us.
No story can be this happy
Unless it is married
To something deeply within us.
It is not them
Who have done it to us,
Or us
Who have done it to them.
It is the antagonistic dream
Of unreconciled love.
To dream of erotic love is to dream of
the desire to die in the object of desire, to
dissolve in that which is already
dissolved. The Book of Baruch says erotic
desire and its satisfaction is the key
to the origin of the world. Disappointment
in love and the revenge which follows
in its wake are the roots of all the evil
and selfishness in the world. The whole
of history is the work of love.
2
“The character of the image,” said Shukrâchârya,
“is determined by the relationship between
the worshipper and the worshipped.”
On the beach,
He eats the fruit
Of his own way;
He fills himself
With his own devices;
He continues to draw
In the sand.
Each grain
Is a small,
Precise form
Of salvation
That has occurred,
A god come to earth
In another form,
A private,
Innate sacrifice.
Providence does not tire.
We are ready to go on
With the story.
It has come to this:
When his father dreams
He only sees
The broad face
Of sadness,
The soft grassland
Where only asphodels grow,
And the idea of water
Expanding into tears.
But to dream of sadness is a good
omen, a transportation of suffering to the
spiritual: this dream is like an herb,
a seasoning, a bitter root, medicinal,
something poisonous, but nevertheless
something that eventually withers away.
When you
Come on to squally weather,
When the wind
Is about SW,
When
You sway up the yard
Fix the trysail,
Put people to making
Sennit and swab,
Ask for my son.
Ask the Lamb,
The Beverly, the Golden Lyon,
Ask Job Lewis,
Have you seen my boy?
Have you seen my boy?
One thousand years before Christ, Solomon
said that the way of a ship in the midst
of the sea was too wonderful for him
to understand.
Meanwhile,
Clow: shamed
Into freeing his fellow
White man.
After all
They share the same hair,
The same instinctual life,
The same irrational power.
There is no victim here:
This is a story of love’s
Sadness,
Of the spirit of love’s ferocity
And savage insensibility,
And the name of Jesus
Turned in hymns,
Spewed into the fringes
Of the forest,
Spewed on the deep blue sea.
What dream is this, is that what you said?
My God, this is the dream of the dragon,
the fabulous animal, the amalgam of
aggression, the serpent, the crocodile, the
lion, what we like to think is the
antediluvian nature of love.
John is free now.
John is free to slave,
Free to be reluctant,
To give up profit
and return home.
Ask the master of the Greyhound.
Have you seen my boy?
Have you seen my boy?
To find money in your dream is not fortunate
at all. There will be some sudden advancement
or success, but it will prove
disappointing. Reader, remember this
statement by Virgil, “It will be pleasant
to remember these things hereafter.”
You cannot blame
The sea on a woman.
Unlike the seasons
It has no ribs
Though
It has a crown,
Wears a sheath,
Swings a sickle,
Adores the sun,
And is known
As bareheaded and leafless.
The sea is the emblem
Of the great capricious world;
The naked image of flux
Vibrating between life and death.
There is a dream called “Dire is the tossing
deep the groans; come let us heel, list
and stoop.” And when John heard this
on his way home, it was as if he
had read 2 Kings 10:16, “Come with me
[brother] and see my zeal for the lord.”
For twelve months
The Greyhound
Sought gold,
Ivory, dyer’s wood,
Beeswax,
And Newton sought the Lord.
The way of a ship in the midst of the sea
is too wonderful to understand.
Youth is not innocence.
It is not a militant puzzlement.
It is a methodological initiation
Into the ubiquitous life
Of sin.
For a life without sin
Is no life at all.
And so he wanders on
Like Paul,
So very Christian about it,
At once wretched and delivered.
Thinking with his mind
He is serving God,
But with his flesh
The law of sin.
Call out John Newton.
Call out
To Joshua, Ruth,
Samuel, Obadiah,
Esther, Zechariah,
Luke and Timothy.
The world
Is a masterfully round
Secret
That embraces everything,
And it is time
To reach into the horizon,
Now.
It is time to choose
Your ship,
And the triangle of your life
Upon the salty sea.
As you can see, dreams are without reason,
without solution, without proof, the
unedited version of our love, our aspiration,
our hurt. . . Call out John Newton. Call out. . .
Back home
Offered captaincy of ship.
Refuses.
Sails as first mate
On the Brownlow.
Collects slaves.
Takes them to South Carolina.
He begins to dream of questions: “What
was the mode used in stowing the slaves
in their apartments?”
Returns home,
Marries Mary Cattlett,
Assumes first command,
The Duke of Argyle,
140 tons burthen.
Marriage is the dream of sulfur and
mercury. Some believe it is a most fortunate
omen, a volatile conciliation, a fragile
union. They are right. It is one of the great
uncharted seas of individuation. It is
said, “If you are separated from your
opposite you consume yourself away. . .”
Dead reckoning
Magnetical Amplitude W° 25.30N°
True Amplitude W° 6.30°
Variation 19° in Western
Lattitude per Account 50° 48m
One-third of the slaves will die
In middle passage
Some say fifty million
Started the trip
Some say fifteen.
The dream of questions is a bright necklace
with two ornaments on it: liberty and
love, not truth.
“At noon some small rain. . .
Had an indifferent observation. . .”
“We take the two men-boys
For some shallop rigging,
We do not take
The two fallen-breasted women. . .”
“Dear Mary,
Today, saw
My quondam Black
Mistress P.I. —
I believe
I made her sorry
For her former ill
Treatment of me.”
The trouble with atonement is it is like
a sphinx, several parts human, several
parts bull, dog, lion, dragon, or bird.
When we are dreaming of atonement, no
matter how subtly, we must remember
we are not dreaming of a verb.
“I watch them work
The tie, tackle,
And lower lift.
The boatswain
Speaks to Bredson
About the score
In one of the strops.
Thomas Creed
Sits with his splicing fids;
Tucks the strands
Of the tack cringle.
His fingers are either
Little mystics or snakes.”
When you dream the dream of square-sail
rigging you are dreaming the dream
that the same side is always before
the wind. At the dawn of Swedish history
it was believed Erik Vädderhatt, the
King of the Svear, could turn the wind
and cruise endlessly. Ships are supposed
to be emblems of transcendental joy. . .
“Do the male slaves
Ever dance
Under these circumstances?”
“After every meal
They are made to jump
In their irons;
But I cannot call it dancing.”
“What is the term
That is usually given to it?”
“It is by the slave dealers
Called dancing.”
“Unclewed the sails.
They too in their shackles
Danced in the wind.”
“Dear Mary,
I watched the land wind
Do to the sails
What it does
To our hair.
I dreamed of dancing
With you
Into the cold water,
Our wet clothes
Like nets and entanglements
Around our desire.”
They would call them up
Two by two, equivocal,
Unmasked,
Making it possible
To be classified
Forever:
Pairs of birds,
Pairs of oxen,
Pairs of sheep,
Reptiles, lions,
Elephants, antediluvian,
Carnivorous, herbivorous,
Fabulous, beautiful,
Ugly, strange,
Cocks, locusts, bears,
Foxes, and even flies,
All of them black;
All of them in colonnade
To the gates of hell.
John did baptize
In the wilderness,
Did call out to Judæa
And Jerusalem
Come lay down
Your life
In the River Jordan,
Participate in his death
And his resurrection.
They said
They were refreshing them,
But the shackles still clanged,
And most of them still stank,
And many finding holes
In the netting
Jumped overboard
And baptized themselves
Bobbing in the adoring
Loins of the sea.
“Dear Mary,
The three greatest blessings
Of which human nature is capable
Are undoubtedly religion,
Liberty and love.”
The shape of a ship’s hull is determined by
the materials, methods of construction,
means of propulsion, use, fashion, and
whim. This is a dream of law and
the minute verities of justice, the eighth
enigma of the tarot.
First part fair,
The latter cloudy,
Winds becoming unusual,
Clouds dark, great lightning. . .
I think of what we’ve done,
My own illumination
Before it is too late:
The palm and needle whippings,
The short splice,
Blackwall hitches,
Sheet bends.
Quickly rummage
The rigging details,
The yardarm blocks,
The tackles.
Recall work
On the pintles,
The rudder head.
Have Billinge
Check barricado and stores,
Especially powder and slaves.
On this day
Of the second voyage
Of The African, 1754,
Weighed,
Bound by God’s permission
To St. Christophers,
We are ready for our justice,
To be winnowed like barley
On the threshing floor.
The great dream of the dark, with the
lonely extroverted lamp, the intuitive ship,
and the wind tossing on the innovative sea
should moor somewhere. “Why is this
so?” asked Kuo Hsi. For in our landscapes
and our seascapes are the personalized items
of our consciousness, the coarse grist
of our imagination, the flirtatious metaphors
stirring our ethics, and the boldly stroked
delineations of our unraveling possibilities
and original nature.
Through the night
We were played with
Like kittens.
The slaves spilled
Out nightmares of themselves
And groans.
We will all
Need dawn’s shawl
This morning.
I hope
She is good to us.
Osiris was slain by Set and put
together again by Isis. John will dream
like this, off and on, and then quit the
sea. This is his last voyage. He will
lose no slaves and no crew, and it will
be called a blessing. At a time like
this the Egyptians would build a
monolith to marry the enigmatic tension
between life and death. John will
change his dreams, now, from the menstrual
dreams of the slaver to the menthol dreams
of the minister. Showing the devastating evil
we do, like a storm, is only a stepping-
stone to something else.
Sing brother.
I will become sermons,
He says,
That understand what I’ve done.
Sing
I will become hymns
Bound in the skin
Of what I’ve done.
I will be patient with Cowper,
Inspiring to Wilberforce
And Wordsworth;
I will attract the awakened crowds,
The abolitionist.
I will stand at the altar.
Sing brother
Dressed in black,
Testifying,
Testifying. . .
I dream I will not be forgiving him
for the timeliness of his innocence, for
betrothing the dead to the dead,
but will be lifting
up my hands to an appetite for life
that will take slavers and slaves with me.
I wish
There was no timelessness,
That slavery was over
And so far away
It was an incredibly mysterious
Jungle —
Somewhere else.
An uncharted river
Canopied by extensive moss —
Somewhere else.
A spectacular ragged
Waterfall
Mystically expressed
Over an enormous
Obsidian wall,
But it is right here
In my pouch, today,
Like the acori beads
I have been swimming with
For hours —
Presidential, prime ministerial,
Corporate, grassroots based.
right here,
Racist, imperial, and sexist.
right here,
Woefully spendthrift
And Democratic,
Anally retentive
And Republican,
Militantly inappropriate,
And so good to itself
That it jogs.
Primus St. John, “Dreamer” from Communion: Poems 1976-1998. Copyright © 1999 by Primus St. John. Reprinted with the permission of Copper Canyon Press, P.O. Box 271, Port Townshend, WA 98368-0271, coppercanyonpress.org.
Source: Communion: Poems 1976-1998 (Copper Canyon Press, 1999)
Primus St. John's poems often wed personal to public and quotidian to historical. He is as well known for his love poems as for his long poems, notably the epic poem “Dreamer,” written in the voices of the slaves and the captain aboard a slave ship. He has said that he tries “to be as comfortable with anger as [he is] with tenderness,” and this is evidenced by his nuanced handling of the human proclivity for contradiction as well as self-improvement.
^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Sacred Hunger
For those interested in the history of the slave trade, Barry Unsworth's Sacred Hunger is an excellent and well-researched fictional accounting of the fate of one slaving ship, its owner and the many lives on board.
"Unsworth illuminates the barbaric cruelty of slavery, as well as the subtler habits of politics and character that it creates." (Publisher's Weekly)
Карта бассейна реки Ясельда, показывающая вероятный ущерб от наводнений во время весеннего половодья с вероятностью 1% (средневероятностный сценарий).
A map of the Yaselda river basin displaying the probable damage from floods with probability 1% each year (medium-probability scenario).
Illustrates the transition from a traditional warning polygon to FACETs grid-based probabilities of a severe weather event occurring.
ECB Conference on Monetary Policy: bridging science and practice.
Opening address
Measuring the probability of a financial crisis
Robert Engle, New York University
For use in this Future Atlas assessment of the likelihood of independence by Quebec.
Usable with attribution and link to: futureatlas.com/blog/
In this photo, I caught a flash from one of the professional photogs who have studio strobes mounted to the ceiling of the gym. My shutter speed was 1/500 second, and the flash, which lasts ~1/5000 second, occurred during that period. It's extremely improbable for two events of such short duration to coincide.
Only the top of the frame is blown out because I was shooting above my sync speed--the shutter had already covered the bottom half of the frame when the flash fired. Read more about flash sync speed here: dptnt.com/2007/10/flash-sync-speed/
Updated visualization showing the potential values for high-rise construction across the site.
Red values are positive, blue values negative.
Leena Ghrayeb, Industrial and Operations Engineering Ph.D. student (right) discusses probability of failure issues with Amy Cohn at the Healthcare Engineering and Patient Safety (CHEPS) office on UM’s North Campus.
Amy Ellen Mainville Cohn is an Arthur F. Thurnau Professor in the Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering at the University of Michigan, where she also holds an appointment in the Department of Health Management and Policy in the School of Public Health.
Dr. Cohn is the Faculty Director of the Center for Healthcare Engineering and Patient Safety (CHEPS). She holds an A.B. in applied mathematics, magna cum laude, from Harvard University and a PhD in operations research from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Her primary research interests are in applications of combinatorial optimization, particularly to healthcare and aviation, and to the challenges of optimization problems with multiple objective criteria. She values teaching, mentoring, having a positive impact on society through her work, and helping to foster a vibrant, diverse, nurturing community.
Center for Healthcare Engineering and Patient Safety (CHEPS) at Michigan Engineering envisions a healthcare system which delivers the highest-quality care in a patient-centric way; supports the mental and physical well-being of its providers; and ensures economic viability for individuals and institutions.
June 14, 2022
Photo by Marcin Szczepanski/Lead Multimedia Storyteller, University of Michigan College of Engineering
"The Game of Probabilities" by Oscar Muñoz. "The artist has woven fragments from six of his own identity photographs into twelve different configurations, then rephotographed them."
How many topics in physics are contained in a simple rainbow produced on the wall (and toilet) by sun shining through a plastic privacy screen?
Well...the light from the sun is composed of many different wavelengths...the distribution of which is dependent on the temperature of the star - which ours is centered on the the yellow. When the the light encounters an optically dense medium (glass or plastic in this case), the light is absorbed by the molecules and passed from molecule to molecule, the probability of which an absorption and emission occurs is described by Feynman's QED. The principle of least action (from D'Alembert and Lagrangian mechanics) finds the maximum probability amplitude, and hence the interaction that occurs, or the direction the light is refracted. The path of light through the medium is dependent on the wavelength and frequency of the light. One can back up to PAM Dirac's relativistic quantum mechanics, ingeniously melded Schrodinger's wave equation and/or Heisenberg's Matrix mechanics with Einstein's relativity, which determined that the only certainty in the universe is the speed of light. Everything else including Newton's fixed stars and time...TIME itself are mutable to make the speed of light constant in every situation. Dirac faced with the actual energy of a particle being the square root of the rest mass and its motion, devised a Hamiltonian that required matricies, later interpreted by Pauli as spin states of particles. Schoedinger and Heisenberg following Bohr's amazing leap of quantized orbits to describe Plancks description of light as quanta....actually they were named by Einstein to describe the photoelectric effect....but Planck needed the quantized description of light to explain the ultraviolet disaster of Rayleigh. Planck was working for the electric company to maximize the light output of municipal utilities at the least cost.... TBC
www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/column-new-evidence-emer...
Column: New evidence emerges against COVID lab-leak theory — but the press keeps pushing it
When it comes to the pandemic, pseudoscience has outweighed real science at almost every turn. One of the best examples of that is the unsupported assertion that the virus causing COVID-19 escaped from a Chinese laboratory.
Despite mounting evidence that the virus reached humans through natural pathways — from infected animals such as bats — the lab-leak hypothesis recently jumped back into the news, thanks to CNN, the investigative news site the Intercept, and the Atlantic.
All treat the idea that the virus escaped from a lab credulously. They downplay or entirely ignore the latest scientific findings that support the theory that the virus' origin can be found in the animal kingdom — the view accepted by a preponderance of experts in virology.
It's a likely probability that this one originated from animals as well. But the possibility also remains that the virus leaked from a lab.
CNN's Sanjay Gupta overstates the lab leak theory
This is known as the zoonotic theory, from the term for a disease that can be transmitted from animals to humans.
We've reported before on the near absence of evidence for a lab leak, whether deliberate or not.
Ever since the lab-leak claim first emerged during the Trump administration, where it was part of a White House information campaign demonizing China, one of the arguments in its favor has been that evidence for a zoonotic origin has also been spotty.
That argument has never been quite true — virologists know that animals have been the source of most of the viral diseases afflicting humanity — but it has become weaker than ever over the last year.
Before examining the flaws in the CNN, Intercept and Atlantic treatments, let's look at what's been published recently about the zoonotic path.
For context, keep in mind that the earliest cluster of COVID-19 cases, in late 2019, was identified in the environs of the Huanan seafood market in the Chinese metropolis of Wuhan. Lab-leak theorists find this significant, because it's 7.5 miles from the Wuhan Institute of Virology, which does research on bat viruses.
A paper posted online earlier this month chiefly by researchers at France's Institut Pasteur and under consideration for publication in a Nature journal, however, reports that three viruses were found in bats living in caves in northern Laos with features very similar to SARS-CoV-2, the virus responsible for COVID-19.
As Nature reported, those viruses are "more similar to SARS-CoV-2 than any known viruses."
Another paper, posted in late August by researchers from the Wuhan lab, reports on viruses found in rats also with features similar to those that make SARS-CoV-2 infectious in humans. A third paper published on the discussion forum virological.org on Sept. 2 presents evidence that the virus jumped from animals to humans at more than one animal market in Wuhan, not just the Huanan seafood market.
Given that these so-called wet markets have long been suspected as transmission points of viruses from animals to humans because they sell potentially infected animals, that makes the laboratory origin vastly less likely, according to one of the paper's co-authors.
"That a laboratory leak would find its way to the very place where you would expect to find a zoonotic transmission is quite unlikely," Joel Wertheim, an associate professor at UC San Diego's medical school, told me. "To have it find its way to multiple markets, the exact place where you would expect to see the introduction, is unbelievably unlikely."
As virologist Robert F. Garry of Tulane, one of Wertheim's co-authors, told Nature, the finding is "a dagger into the heart" of the lab-leak hypothesis.
Garry and Wertheim are among the 21 expert co-authors of a "critical review" of virological findings on the origins of COVID-19. The review concludes, "There is currently no evidence that SARS-CoV-2 has a laboratory origin."
Now let's look at the recent reporting in support of the lab-leak theory.
On Sept. 19, CNN aired an hourlong documentary entitled "The Origins of COVID-19: Searching for the Source." Hosted by the channel's star science anchor, Sanjay Gupta, the program carries the veneer of an evenhanded approach.
Proponents of the zoonotic origin theory are given airtime, including Kristian Andersen of the Scripps Research Institute in La Jolla and Peter Daszak, a prominent grant maker in the virology field.
But so are proponents of the lab-leak theory. They include Alina Chan, a researcher at the Broad Institute, a biomedical research center, and Josh Rogin, a Washington Post columnist. Neither has any experience in virology. Chan is co-writing a book about COVID's origins that is expected to feature the lab-leak theory prominently, a fact not mentioned by CNN.
Yet at the top of the hour, referring to the common pattern of viruses jumping from animals to humans, Gupta says, "It's a likely probability that this one originated from animals as well. But the possibility also remains that the virus leaked from a lab."
By posing these two theories as simply two equally plausible solutions to a mystery, CNN glosses over the fact that the virological community regards the animal origin as vastly more likely than a lab leak. In fact, the two hypotheses are miles apart in credibility.
One of the program's chief targets is a report by a World Health Organization team issued in early 2021 that found spillover from an animal host to be "likely to very likely" and a laboratory incident an "extremely unlikely pathway."
Gupta calls the WHO report "the only scientific study of COVID's origins to date." That's not remotely accurate. There have been countless scientific studies, both before the WHO report and since. Indeed, Gupta mentions one of them, a seminal paper by Andersen and colleagues, published in March 2020. That paper termed the lab-leak theory "a speculative incomplete hypothesis with no credible evidence.”
Much of the rest of the CNN program is filled with speculation about the Wuhan Institute, typically presented with portentous music on the soundtrack, suggesting subliminally that something sinister is going on there. The absence of information from the institute or the Chinese government is generally taken as tantamount to an admission of guilt.
"Over the course of 2020," Gupta declares, "more and more revelations emerged related to the Wuhan Institute of Virology."
One of these revelations concerned three staff members who reportedly sought hospital treatment for a flu-like illness in November 2019, before the COVID pandemic emerged.
Nothing has ever transpired to suggest these workers had COVID — November is flu season, after all. That they sought treatment at a hospital is immaterial, since it is well-known that people in China often go to hospitals for primary care, which residents of other countries would tend to receive in a doctor's office.
A CNN reporter appearing on air overstated the case, saying the patients were "hospitalized with an unknown illness." There has been no evidence that they were admitted to the hospital or that their illness was "unknown."
CNN doesn't bring its audience up to date on any of the latest research supporting the zoonotic theory, though it was published well before the air date and superseded what Gupta described as "the only scientific study" of COVID origins.
More recently, the Intercept trumpeted a purported scoop based on a leaked document — a grant proposal submitted in 2018 by Daszak's organization, the EcoHealth Alliance, to the Pentagon's Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, or DARPA.
The proposal, for a laboratory manipulation of a virus related to SARS, the viral disease that caused an outbreak of pulmonary disease in China in 2003. DARPA rejected the proposal, however, and there's no evidence that it was submitted to, much less approved by, any other funding body.
"Many questions remain about the proposal, including whether any of the research described in it was completed," the Intercept acknowledged.
Commentators on the Intercept's disclosure have displayed, perhaps in spite of themselves, that they lack the courage of their own convictions. In an article published Sept. 24, the Atlantic, unable or unwilling to delve into what the Intercept's document actually meant, if anything, settled for declaring that it made the lab-leak debate "even messier."
The magazine's Daniel Engber and Adam Federman wrote: "Does the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic have an unnatural origin? The answer hasn’t changed: probably not. But we have learned something quite disturbing in the past few days, simply from how and when this information came to light."
By pretending that the debate itself is important, as if both sides have something to offer, they manage to report on a claim that has no substance. The approach also protects journalists from their persistent fear of landing on the wrong side of things — the authors preserve an out in case the lab-leak hypothesis turns out to be true, as unlikely as that is. If that happens, they can point to their lily-livered observations and say, "See, we knew it all along."
In this debate, however, the zoonotic camp has evidence and the lab-leak camp nothing to offer but innuendo.
Here's the true state of the discussion. There is no evidence that the virus leaked from the Wuhan laboratory or any other lab. There is no evidence that the Wuhan lab was working with a bat virus that had anything but a very distant resemblance to SARS-CoV-2. Viruses that resemble it much more closely have been found in natural settings a thousand miles from Wuhan, as the crow, or bat, flies.
Evidence that artificial manipulation of a virus gave rise to SARS-CoV-2 has faded, as scientists find more evidence that features of SARS-CoV-2 thought to be unnatural occur in nature. Meanwhile, evidence for zoonotic transmission is constantly accumulating. No one who reports on the issue without acknowledging these two trends should be trusted.
Visit my fine art photography gallery show in West Hollywood!
Enjoy my new fine art landscapes & ballet video!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3b1df46oKw
Let me know what you think! :)
Join my new 45EPIC fine art landscapes page on facebook!
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Working on a couple photography books! 45EPIC GODDESS PHOTOGRAPHY: A classic guide to exalting the archetypal woman. And 45EPIC Fine Art Landscape Photography!
Fresh snow! More on my golden ratio musings: facebook.com/goldennumberratio
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Greetings all! I have been busy finishing a few books on photography, while traveling all over--to Zion and the Sierras--shooting fall colors. Please see some here: facebook.com/mcgucken
Let me know in the comments if you would like a free review copy of one of my photography books! :)
Titles include:
The Tao of Epic Landscape Photography: Exalt Fine Art with the Yin-Yang Wisdom of Lao Tzu's Tao Te Ching!
The Golden Number Ratio Principle: Why the Fibonacci Numbers Exalt Beauty and How to Create PHI Compositions in Art, Design, & Photography
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And I am also working on a book on photographing the goddesses! :) More goddesses soon!
Best wishes on your epic hero's odyssey!:)
I love voyaging forth into nature to contemplate poetry, physics, the golden ratio, and the Tao te Ching! What's your favorite epic poetry reflecting epic landscapes? I recently finished a book titled Epic Poetry for Epic Landscape Photographers:
www.facebook.com/Epic-Poetry-for-Epic-Landscape-Photograp...
Did you know that John Muir, Thoreau, and Emerson all loved epic poetry and poets including Shakespeare, Milton, Homer, and Robert Burns?
I recently finished my fourth book on Light Time Dimension Theory, much of which was inspired by an autumn trip to Zion!
www.facebook.com/lightimedimensiontheory/
Via its simple principle of a fourth expanding dimension, LTD Theory provides a unifying, foundational *physical* model underlying relativity, quantum mechanics, time and all its arrows and asymmetries, and the second law of thermodynamics. The detailed diagrams demonstrate that the great mysteries of quantum mechanical nonlocality, entanglement, and probability naturally arise from the very same principle that fosters relativity alongside light's constant velocity, the equivalence of mass and energy, and time dilation.
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Join my new 45EPIC fine art landscapes page on facebook!
Enjoy my new fine art landscapes & ballet video!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3b1df46oKw
Let me know what you think! :)
Elliot McGucken Fine Art Landscape and Nature Photography