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The probability of having achieved human-level AI before a certain date implied by the answers to the Winter Intelligence conference survey. Respondents gave not only their estimates for when it was 50% chance of human-level AI but also 10% and 90%. Fitting a skew Gaussian probability distribution to each answer, the resulting average probability density gives an estimate of the collective belief.
The probability density in the past is due to tails of the component distributions being forced to extend before the present by certain answers.
Proposed cover design for a book on probability and statistics which got rejected in one of those "I like my idea better" scenario. Though admitedly, this design is quite inadequate in symbolizing the subject matter. (Title and author/s names removed) Entirely done in Photoshop. To read more about this, head on to adreamers.blogspot.com/2007/11/some-make-it-some-dont.html
Have a great day!
I made this ID based mainly on the head features. The other female juvie probability up here (Broad-tailed) does not have as much dark feathering behind its bill.
IMG_0453; Rufous Hummingbird
Greetings mate! I love voyaging forth to Yosemite to contemplate poetry, physics, the golden ratio, and the Tao te Ching! What's your favorite epic poetry reflecting epic landscapes? I recently finished a book titled Epic Poetry for Epic Landscape Photographers:
www.facebook.com/Epic-Poetry-for-Epic-Landscape-Photograp...
Did you know that John Muir, Thoreau, and Emerson all loved epic poetry and poets including Shakespeare, Milton, Homer, and Robert Burns?
I recently finished my fourth book on Light Time Dimension Theory, much of which was inspired by an autumn trip to Zion!
www.facebook.com/lightimedimensiontheory/
Via its simple principle of a fourth expanding dimension, LTD Theory provides a unifying, foundational *physical* model underlying relativity, quantum mechanics, time and all its arrows and asymmetries, and the second law of thermodynamics. The detailed diagrams demonstrate that the great mysteries of quantum mechanical nonlocality, entanglement, and probability naturally arise from the very same principle that fosters relativity alongside light's constant velocity, the equivalence of mass and energy, and time dilation.
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Fresh snow! More on my golden ratio musings: The Golden Number Ratio Principle: Why the Fibonacci Numbers Exalt Beauty and How to Create PHI Compositions in Art, Design, & Photography facebook.com/goldennumberratio
Best wishes on your epic hero's odyssey!:)
Bryce Canyon National Park Autumn Colors & Winter Snow Fine Art Photography 45EPIC Dr. Elliot McGucken Fine Art Landscape and Nature Photography: Nikon D810
Love shooting with both the Sony A7RII and the Nikon D810! :)
Epic Tunnel View Sunrise with El Capitan, Half Dome, the Merced River, and Bridal Veil Falls from Valley View too!
The restoration efforts at Bunny Meadows located in the BLM Oregon Medford District are a perfect example of native seeds collected from BLM land and reseeding efforts that use locally sourced and/or adapted seeds for a higher probability of success.
Photo by BLM Oregon.
Calculate conditional and distribution probability Let us explore more about queries on probability and conditional probability. When there are chances of occurring an event in more than one way at particular time then the term probability arises. It is all about guessing the number of occurrence of that event in respect of external environment. The term conditional probability adds an external condition which provides a certain boundary to the chances of an event happening and this external condition is provided by an event which is happening in parallel.
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“The detectors don’t induce the phenomenon of wave function collapse; conscious observation does. Consciousness is like this giant roving spotlight, collapsing reality wherever it shines—and what isn’t observed remains probability. And it’s not just photons or electrons. It is everything. All matter…A testable, repeatable fault in reality.”
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13/11/2017
Financing the Rutenberg Plan, 11 August, #1922Live, The American Jewish World, Timeline of British Mandatory Palestine
By JUDGE JULIAN MACK, CHAIRMAN, PALESTINE DEVELOPMENT COUNCIL
(The coming to the Twin Cities this month of Rabbi Abba Hillel Silver, chairman of the Central Committee Palestine Development League, on behalf of the financing of the Rutenberg Plan, makes timely the publication of the address of Judge Mack delivered before a group of a Jewish financiers last June in New York’s at the Hotel Pennsylvania in Mr Rutenberg’s Room. All interested in the upbuilding of Palestine will find it informative to give this address a careful reading – Editor’s Note.)
Jews from Eastern Europe and Jews from Central Europe and Jews from other parts of the world are going to Palestine. They are going to Palestine because they want to go in part; they are going to Palestine because they cannot with safety in life and limb, or to peace of soul stay at home; and they are going to Palestine partly because they prefer to go to Palestine rather than any other place and partly because there isn’t any other place on earth to which they can go. We have closed the doors in America. In the last ten months some 45,000 Jews have come to America. There have been times when a million immigrants came in a year. The probabilities of even lowering the present quota are great. Canada the same; Western Europe the same; South America doesn’t offer the opportunities. Some people are talking about Mexico , Cuba. That is in the distant future. And the nations of the world have said, the opportunity shall be given to the Jews in Palestine, under Great Britain’s mandate on behalf of the League of Nations. Now, it does not make any difference what the ultimate future in Palestine is to be so far as we are concerned. We, as an organization are concerned only with this – there is the land of our fathers; there are our brethren going and wanting to go there by the hundreds of thousands – there is land which, if developed, if fully developed so that it may be no only brought to its highest powers agriculturally, but also industrially, is capable, according to the best experts, of maintain in decency anywhere from three to six million people.
Let us assume that it is not the solution of the Jewish problem at all. Opinions differ. Let us assume that the minimum that I have given you is wrong; that it is only a million Jews that can go there. Even if there be only that many – it is the one ray of hope offered our brethren who are in the blackest of despair in Eastern Europe. And that is the basis of our activities. That is the reason why we believe there is a duty on the part of prosperous Jewry all over the world, but primarily in America, of course, to help lay the foundations on which that million or two million or five million Jews can build, and can build for themselves, a home and life and civilization and industry and agriculture, that will make them self-supporting, that will not bring fortunes to the individual, but what we trust will keep whatever million there may be there, from slum life or from overcrowded conditions that prevail in the Jewish centers of Easter Europe and even this country.
Charity Work
There is much that is to be done, and will continue to be necessary in the way of charity. For some time to come, assistance must be given both to the present population and those new immigrants. They have their orphans, widows and aged; they need some help in the schools and sanitation. But you cannot build up a land on charity. You cannot make the Jews over there self-sustaining or self-respecting on charity. And the finest thing about the generation of pioneers and they have been pioneers for forty odd years, both the present and new generation of pioneers, young men and women, university bred, trained to be physicians, engineers, lawyers, architects, and what not, who are tramping down through Eastern Europe seeking Palestine, and despite all hardships and suffering, rejoicing when they get there – these Chalazim – I say the finest thing about the old and new, is that they do not want charity. What they do want, what they ask the Jews of the world, is that we who can afford it, have some stake with them in Palestine, that we who are not going there, evidence our kinship and our feeling towards them and recognize our duty both to our ancestry and our descendants by doing something that will enable the Jews who go to Palestine to be the kind of Jews of whom we can all be proud. Because the world has decided – it is not open to question any more – they are going to be held up as the typical Jews, these Jews of Palestine, and we in a measure are going to be judged by them. We always are judges as a people seldom individually.
The P.D.C
Now, there are organizations that are attending to the charity end of the work. We who started the Palestine Development Council, started it because we believed that in the nature of things, any charity work must be clearly and absolutely differentiated from constructive investment business – that the two cannot be intermingled in any sense whatever, that the differentiation ought to be marked as we have come to believe in the course of the last year, by an entirely different organization, that marks in itself more clearly than anything else the distinction between the two things, and between the two we believe the business upbuilding of that land is the more important. And because of that, a year ago, on the 4th of July, when some of us gathered together to make concrete these thoughts, we decided to create a business organization. We started a million dollar Delaware corporation for the purpose of giving credits in Palestine because that at the time, was thought by Sir Herbert Samuel and others to be the most essential thing, and to give credits first in the way of helping the Credit Unions, because we all believe that in a little land like that, it was more essential to foster the spirit of cooperation by cooperative enterprise than to do anything else. And then as a second business undertaking, the next most essential thing was credits for building of homes. When we set out on the first undertaking we found immediately that other organizations interested in Jewish work like the Reconstruction Committee of the Joint Distribution Committee and the I.C.A (Jewish Colonization Association) of Paris, which spends Baron Rothschild’s money in Palestine and composed primarily of non-Zionists, like the London Economic Board of which Sir Alfred Mond and Sir Robert Waley-Cohen are at the head, which has on its directorate some of the wealthiest Jews of Great Britain, and mostly non-Zionists – agreed with us on these fundamental questions and were ready to join hands with us in establishing this first Credit Union Bank. We have gotten together; we have selected a manager, and Mr Sol Rosenbloom who has been out there for the last 5 months in our interest, has cabled letting us know that the thing is going – work has begun.
The Rutenberg Concession
And now, in the last two months, Mr Rutenberg has come. And Mr Rutenberg has brought with him what you see on the walls here which is the concrete expression of his fundamental ideas. That fundamental idea is that Palestine, a land without coal and as yet without developed oil, has in the falls of the river Jordan and its tributary streams the power essential to build up industries in the land, the power essential to supply the light and heat necessary, to be developed from these waters. For two years he has been working out a great hydro-electric development scheme which has met with approval of the present government of Palestine, the High Commissioner, who submitted it to British engineers, the Colonial Office which is in the charge of Palestine, Baron Rothschild who submitted it to French engineers and ourselves, the Palestine Development Council, who have on our board of trustees an eminent hydro-electric engineer, one of the vice-presidents of great General Electric Company of America, who has personally gone over the whole matter and all the documents with Mr Rutenberg and called in the leading engineers of the General Electric. I refer, of course, to Dr Loewenstein.
Who is Pinchus Rutenberg?
Let me say a word or two about Mr Rutenberg. He is a romantic figure in Jewish life. He was a revolutionist in Russia. He had to get out in 1905 when the revolution failed. He then went to Milan and there he was a hydro-electric engineer, and when the war broke out he came to America. And he thought that the only way to help the Jews was to get the Jews of America united to speak to the nations of the world as to the way in which the Jews in Eastern Europe should be treated and what should be done in Palestine. And as a result of his efforts and others, there was created an American Jewish Congress which did send a delegation to Europe and did succeed in doing a good many things in behalf of the Jews of Eastern Europe for the securing of their rights and for the settlement of the Palestinian problem.
But then came the great revolution in Russia and with that he immediately went back. He saw liberty for the whole Russian people and he got there while Kerensky was still at the head of things. And he became assistant commander in chief under the command of Kerensky. And when the Bolsheviks came, they put him in the Peter and Paul prison for six months until he managed to get out. And then he got to Palestine. He had been dreaming all these things all these years and the moment he got to Palestine, with that tremendous energy which is characteristic of him and so many of the Russians, he set to work and he has been working day and night not only on the engineering scheme but on the practical business scheme because he has secured the concession from the government, approved by the Colonial Office, a concession which is broad, liberal, but which is fair and just. It is a 70-year concession. It gives him an option dependent upon his creation of a company within a limited time with a million pounds paid capital and 200,000 pounds paid in and the commencement of work within a limited time.
Taking these concessions in his name, he takes them for the Jews of the world, takes them for this company in which he has no personal interest at all – no personal financial profit. This concession permits of a profit to the corporation of 10 per cent on all the invested capital. In addition to most liberal provisions for amortization, for depreciation, and for reserve, After 10 per cent is earned it can still earn up to 15 per cent, sharing half and half with the government. After 15 per cent, the government gets the profits, but the government is to devote all its profits towards the reduction of the price to consumers.
I won’t go into the details. Rutenberg is being attacked right now by the anti-Semites led by the Morning Post, for having obtained this concession. That fight illustrates the real value of the concession – the importance of it for the Jews, not as a money making thing but as a means of building up Palestine in the proper way.
Financing the Plan
Baron Rothschild and the Jewish Colonial Trust of England have been putting up the money necessary for all the preliminary work for the past two years and they are ready to put up not less than 100,000 pounds each towards the million pound corporation. The Economic Board for Palestine, this English body which is, as I said, composed primarily of non-Zionists – wealthy Jews – is going to put up 100,000 pounds. The J.D.C. the Reconstruction Committee, under certain conditions is ready to put up $200,000. Jewish communities all over the world will be appealed to to put up the rest, but, of course, the bulk will have to come from America, and the Palestine Development Council, which is a non-profit organization, a membership corporation of New York, which has a Board of Trustees whose sole purpose is to stimulate and to further projects that will be beneficial to Palestine, has undertaken to help raise this money primarily among Jews in America. It is starting out to raise one and a half million dollars, and starting out to raise it on a business basis, as an investment enterprise. Of course, there won’t be returns for some time to come. Of course, Palestine may be swallowed up by the sea and everything lost, but don’t count on that. Of course, Palestine may have all sorts of troubles, but we don’t believe that it will. Located as it is, between Asia, Africa and Europe, with the nations of the world pledged to assist in its growth and development and with England as the mandatory power keenly interested because of the Suez Canal and routes to India, there is no reason to fear that it has not a great future.
All experts have told us about the possibilities. It is a second California, one twentieth the size. And its topography, the climate and the conditions of climate are similar to California, only in a little area. It has the possibilities that California had 50 years ago and because of location even greater possibilities. We believe therefore in view of the experts’ report to us as to the present demand and the probable demand of the future as the country grows, that the Rutenberg plan is what the British Government believes it to be, what the engineers in Europe and here say in their judgement it is – a sound undertaking. We believe, but we offer no guarantee, that it is an investment where returns may be deferred, but a real investment. We know that they carrying out is absolutely essential to a real upbuilding of Palestine and for that reason, even though returns be deferred, even though we be disappointed in the getting of returns, we feel that we are offering an opportunity to the Jews of America to do a fundamental thing, vital in the life of the Jewish people.
As to the financial phase, our present plan is this; The Palestine Development Council, of which the trustees in addition to myself, are, Mr Sol Rosenbloom, multi-millionaire, now in Palestine, and our Treasurer, Mrs Mary Fels; Lewis Straus, Jr., of Kuhn Loeb & Company; F. Julius Fohs, geological expert; Dr Loewenstein, Leon Kamaiky and Senator Nathan Straus, Jr., is asking that subscriptions be made to it and trust certificates issues by it and that it be entrusted as trustee to determine when and how the thing should be done. We state in the document we are issuing that our idea is this; That the company to be formed shall have preferred stock and common stock and the common stock not less than 20 per cent of the whole., shall be taken out of the funds owned by the public bodies and controlled by them. And we ourselves, the P.D.C. have funds of that kind, because in all of our enterprises there are some people who, while they want to further investments, nevertheless want also to make a donation of their investment for the benefit of Palestinian Jewry.
And funds that come to us in that way are completely within our control, and we would invest those in common stock. We are saying in this prospectus that we are offering preferred and common stock, and the preferred stock is to be sold to private investors and that the preferred stock will bear interest up to 8 per cent, non-cumulative, with the right to share in the surplus profits up to 12 per cent, and the common stock shall be enabled to get up to 15 per cent. What we are offering now is the trust certificates of the P.D.C. as trustee.
As to the expenses for all this work of getting in subscriptions, in the declaration of trust we say that out of the funds subscribed there shall be used for these expenses not exceeding 4 per cent. We want the investor to feel that he is getting a real investment and that not more than that is being taken, and we have to rely on private donations to meet administration fund in order to meet our additional expenses. In our million dollar corporation, not one penny has been taken for expenses and we got up among ourselves a private administration fund to pay for our work, so that every penny that is given to us as trustee, with the deduction of not exceeding 4 per cent for the general expense of doing this work, will be used for the purpose of the corporation itself when it is formed.
The Talisman of Charlemagne is a Carolingian reliquary amulet, which may once have belonged to Charlemagne and is purported to contain a fragment of the True Cross. It is the only surviving piece of goldwork which can be connected with Charlemagne himself with some degree of probability, but the connection has been seriously questioned. The talisman is now kept in Rheims in the Palace of Tau (inv.no. G 7).
The 7.3 cm long medallion is one of the few surviving items of goldsmithery from the ninth century AD. It is not really a piece of religious artwork, but a reliquary for personal purposes. Originally, it was set with two large sapphires in the centre, with the supposed hair of Mary between them, but in 1804 they were replaced with a piece of enamel glass. The talisman is covered in sumptuous gemstones and filigree work, but it lacks the figural depictions, coloured enamels, animal designs and interlace patters which are common in older works. The work is thus dominated by the filigree work itself, along with pearls and jewels in box and palmette designs. Thus the arrow-shaped repoussé decorations between the filigree could recall motfs which were previously common. The shape of the amulet combines three different forms with their own meanings. Firstly, it mimicked the shape of the Palestinian pilgrims' ampules which had been particularly common in the west in the fifth and sixth centuries, and thereby indicated the origins of hair which it originally contained. Secondly, it uses four emeralds and a central stone to create the a cross, just like St Stephan's Purse (de). Finally, the magnificent front serves as a frame for the relic visible behind the trasnlucent gemstone. It is likely that it was used to heal or protect a high ranking individual.
According to legend, the talisman was a gift from Caliph Harun al-Rashid to Charlemagne in 801. In fact, the reliquary appears to be a late work of Aachen in the time of Charlemagne, based on stylistic factors. It originally held hair purported to belong to the Virgin Mary.
Charlemagne's pre-eminent theologian, Alcuin (735-804) wrote in a letter to Archbishop Æthelhard of Canterbury, that he was trying to stop the emerging custom of wearing reliquaries around the neck, since it was "better to imitate the example of the saints with the heart than to carry their bones around in little sacks... this is a Pharisee superstition."
The talisman is meant to have been found around Charlemagne's neck when his tomb in Aachen Cathedral was opened by Emperor Otto III in the year 1000 or when it was opened by Frederick Barbarossa on 8 January 1166. The truth of this story is not clear. It would then have formed part of the Aachen cathedral treasury, but again there are many doubts about this because a medallion containing the hair of the Virgin Mary is not mentioned in the records until the 12th century. The connection to Charlemagne is mentioned for the first time in 1620.
Until 1804, the Talisman was kept in the Aachen Cathedral Treasury, but then Marc-Antoine Berdolet (de) the first Bishop of Aachen gave it to the Empress Josephine, wife of Napoleon Bonaparte, along with a bone fragment from Charlemagne's right arm, on the occasion of her visit to Aachen, during the procession of Corpus Christi on 9 December 1804 in order to thank Napoleon for returning the relics of the cathedral which had been confiscated during the French Revolution. She gave it to her daughter Hortense, who passed it in turn to her son, Napoleon III. At the fall of the Second French Empire, Empress Eugenie entrusted it to Henri Conneau who hid it in a wall of his house and transmitted it to her in England. In 1919 it passed from to the Archbishop of Rheims, Cardinal Louis Luçon, who placed it in the church treasury of the Abbey of Saint-Remi. The exchange of the hair of Mary for a peace of the True Cross may have taken place in this period (Wikipedia).
The cost of certified mould remediation firms is usually coated by insurance, as are most of the bills associated with fire and water harm restore In all probability one of the best advantages of utilizing a remediation firm is that the corporate will usually assist clients with insurance claims. It's a good idea to twist some kitchen roll into every open end of the radiator to absorb any extra water. However, there are precautions that may be undertaken both pre- and put up-flood that can help mitigate the consequences and contribute to rushing up the flood restoration process. There are a number of steps that could be taken so as to forestall flood damage to your home.
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The restoration efforts at Bunny Meadows located in the BLM Oregon Medford District are a perfect example of native seeds collected from BLM land and reseeding efforts that use locally sourced and/or adapted seeds for a higher probability of success.
Photo by BLM Oregon.
All the lights shine randomly! None are in sync!
Sometimes though, they are all the same color! Rarely!
My beautiful European friend gave these to me as a gift long ago.
I love them, as do all my friends and family that see them. I want more! ^_^
This image is excerpted from a U.S. GAO report:
www.gao.gov/products/GAO-15-334
AUTO SAFETY: Status of NHTSA's Redesign of Its Crashworthiness Data System
a) In some police jurisdictions, there may be too many police accident reports to be reviewed. In those instances, every other police accident report might be reviewed, depending on the number of reports.
A Ukrainian map of the Mohyliv-Podilskyi area displaying areas which are likely to be flooded with probability 1% each year.
I think there is a good probability this machine will be a more regular visitor, relieving the two MPAs of the training role.
Probability worksheets Simple Probability worksheets designed for lower ability pupils dealing with events such as rolling dice, selecting from deck of cards, the alphabet and using the probability terms unlily, likely, certain and impossible.
N202XT Challenger 300, N404XT Gulfstream IV & N371JC G550 on the ramp at CYVR. High probability they are here for the Olympics.
The text with these is in no way finalized and needs to be cleaned up in all probability, but here's how the interiors of the book will pretty much look!
Let your retailer/book store know "PRESIDENTS OF THE UNITED STATES" has a diamond order code of: NOV084121 or that it's ISBN number is: 1600103448 if you actually want a copy to come in. You have to be proactive with these sorts of books or it'll never even make it to many stores for you to look through!
If all else fails you can always find it on Amazon here.
Hope you dig them.
The Grand Canyon NP & Grand Escalante Staircase! 45Epic Dr. Elliot McGucken ! Point Imperial! Fine Landscape and Nature Photography. Join my new 45EPIC fine art landscapes page on facebook!
facebook.com/mcgucken
Working on a couple photography books! 45EPIC GODDESS PHOTOGRAPHY: A classic guide to exalting the archetypal woman. And 45EPIC Fine Art Landscape Photography!
Fresh snow! More on my golden ratio musings: facebook.com/goldennumberratio
instagram.com/goldennumberratio
Greetings all! I have been busy finishing a few books on photography, while traveling all over--to Zion and the Sierras--shooting fall colors. Please see some here: facebook.com/mcgucken
Let me know in the comments if you would like a free review copy of one of my photography books! :)
Titles include:
The Tao of Epic Landscape Photography: Exalt Fine Art with the Yin-Yang Wisdom of Lao Tzu's Tao Te Ching!
The Golden Number Ratio Principle: Why the Fibonacci Numbers Exalt Beauty and How to Create PHI Compositions in Art, Design, & Photography
facebook.com/goldennumberratio
And I am also working on a book on photographing the goddesses! :) More goddesses soon!
Best wishes on your epic hero's odyssey!:)
I love voyaging forth into nature to contemplate poetry, physics, the golden ratio, and the Tao te Ching! What's your favorite epic poetry reflecting epic landscapes? I recently finished a book titled Epic Poetry for Epic Landscape Photographers:
www.facebook.com/Epic-Poetry-for-Epic-Landscape-Photograp...
Did you know that John Muir, Thoreau, and Emerson all loved epic poetry and poets including Shakespeare, Milton, Homer, and Robert Burns?
I recently finished my fourth book on Light Time Dimension Theory, much of which was inspired by an autumn trip to Zion!
www.facebook.com/lightimedimensiontheory/
Via its simple principle of a fourth expanding dimension, LTD Theory provides a unifying, foundational *physical* model underlying relativity, quantum mechanics, time and all its arrows and asymmetries, and the second law of thermodynamics. The detailed diagrams demonstrate that the great mysteries of quantum mechanical nonlocality, entanglement, and probability naturally arise from the very same principle that fosters relativity alongside light's constant velocity, the equivalence of mass and energy, and time dilation.
Follow me on instagram!
Join my new 45EPIC fine art landscapes page on facebook!
Grand Canyon Toroweap Tuweep Milky Way Astro Photography Elliot McGucken Fine Art Landscape Nature Photography
...or stacking the dice
a motley collection of dice that are in a box in a drawer with little purpose or destiny ...but then I needed some dice for a photo ...and now, for a short time, they have purpose
123 pictures in 2023: number 27. Dice
Throwing Muses - Not Too Soon
Zion National Park Autumn Colors & Fall Foliage Fine Art Photography 45EPIC Dr. Elliot McGucken Fine Art Landscape and Nature Photography: Sony A7RII and Nikon D810!
www.facebook.com/Epic-Poetry-for-Epic-Landscape-Photograp...
Did you know that John Muir, Thoreau, and Emerson all loved epic poetry and poets including Shakespeare, Milton, Homer, and Robert Burns?
How inspiring the grandeur of Zion is! It reminds us of those entities greater than ourselves, such as Homer's Iliad and Odyssey and Light Time Dimension Theory!
I recently finished my fourth book on Light Time Dimension Theory, much of which was inspired by an autumn trip to Zion!
www.facebook.com/lightimedimensiontheory/
Via its simple principle of a fourth expanding dimension, LTD Theory provides a unifying, foundational *physical* model underlying relativity, quantum mechanics, time and all its arrows and asymmetries, and the second law of thermodynamics. The detailed diagrams demonstrate that the great mysteries of quantum mechanical nonlocality, entanglement, and probability naturally arise from the very same principle that fosters relativity alongside light's constant velocity, the equivalence of mass and energy, and time dilation.
Follow me on intsagram!
Join my new 45EPIC fine art landscapes page on facebook!
Fresh snow! More on my golden ratio musings: The Golden Number Ratio Principle: Why the Fibonacci Numbers Exalt Beauty and How to Create PHI Compositions in Art, Design, & Photography facebook.com/goldennumberratio
Best wishes on your epic hero's odyssey!:)
Zion National Park Winter Fine Art Photography 45EPIC Dr. Elliot McGucken Fine Art Landscape and Nature Photography
Loved hiking the Zion Narrows and visiting the Zion Subway!
During isolation, you just need to occupy yourself with something. A book on probability theory is probably not the best way to spend your leisure time. However, in combination with a warm scarf and headphones, a very good option comes out.
Insectivorous birds try to snatch out a spider directly from its web. But when the middle networks such, probability to escape at the owner much more above.
Greetings mate! I love voyaging forth to Zion National Park to contemplate poetry, physics, the golden ratio, and the Tao te Ching! What's your favorite epic poetry reflecting epic landscapes? I recently finished a book titled Epic Poetry for Epic Landscape Photographers:
www.facebook.com/Epic-Poetry-for-Epic-Landscape-Photograp...
Did you know that John Muir, Thoreau, and Emerson all loved epic poetry and poets including Shakespeare, Milton, Homer, and Robert Burns?
How inspiring the grandeur of Zion is! It reminds us of those entities greater than ourselves, such as Homer's Iliad and Odyssey and Light Time Dimension Theory!
I recently finished my fourth book on Light Time Dimension Theory, much of which was inspired by an autumn trip to Zion!
www.facebook.com/lightimedimensiontheory/
Via its simple principle of a fourth expanding dimension, LTD Theory provides a unifying, foundational *physical* model underlying relativity, quantum mechanics, time and all its arrows and asymmetries, and the second law of thermodynamics. The detailed diagrams demonstrate that the great mysteries of quantum mechanical nonlocality, entanglement, and probability naturally arise from the very same principle that fosters relativity alongside light's constant velocity, the equivalence of mass and energy, and time dilation.
Follow me on intsagram!
Join my new 45EPIC fine art landscapes page on facebook!
Fresh snow! More on my golden ratio musings: The Golden Number Ratio Principle: Why the Fibonacci Numbers Exalt Beauty and How to Create PHI Compositions in Art, Design, & Photography facebook.com/goldennumberratio
Best wishes on your epic hero's odyssey!:)
Zion National Park Winter Fine Art Photography 45EPIC Dr. Elliot McGucken Fine Art Landscape and Nature Photography
I've been widening our driveway in a bid to appear of value to my family now that I'm unemployed and in all probability unemployable. Finding any sort of labour hugely tedious I decided to make an art project of the thing. A shot every two minutes, over an hour, taken with an automatic timer.
For day 1 gappers (segmented by gap bucket):
If a stock closes above the Open during the first 15 minutes, these are the %'s probability that the stock will be above the Open in each 30 minute after that until the close.
How many topics in physics are contained in a simple rainbow produced on the wall (and toilet) by sun shining through a plastic privacy screen?
Well...the light from the sun is composed of many different wavelengths...the distribution of which is dependent on the temperature of the star - which ours is centered on the the yellow. When the the light encounters an optically dense medium (glass or plastic in this case), the light is absorbed by the molecules and passed from molecule to molecule, the probability of which an absorption and emission occurs is described by Feynman's QED. The principle of least action (from D'Alembert and Lagrangian mechanics) finds the maximum probability amplitude, and hence the interaction that occurs, or the direction the light is refracted. The path of light through the medium is dependent on the wavelength and frequency of the light. One can back up to PAM Dirac's relativistic quantum mechanics, ingeniously melded Schrodinger's wave equation and/or Heisenberg's Matrix mechanics with Einstein's relativity, which determined that the only certainty in the universe is the speed of light. Everything else including Newton's fixed stars and time...TIME itself are mutable to make the speed of light constant in every situation. Dirac faced with the actual energy of a particle being the square root of the rest mass and its motion, devised a Hamiltonian that required matricies, later interpreted by Pauli as spin states of particles. Schoedinger and Heisenberg following Bohr's amazing leap of quantized orbits to describe Plancks description of light as quanta....actually they were named by Einstein to describe the photoelectric effect....but Planck needed the quantized description of light to explain the ultraviolet disaster of Rayleigh. Planck was working for the electric company to maximize the light output of municipal utilities at the least cost.... TBC
This illustration of the probability of contagion showed up on a social media site. From what I have heard from many of the experts – not the top office holder – this is factual. You are on the right.
Although John of Wisbeach superintended the work, the architect was in all probability Alan of Walsingham, c.1321. The roof is an elaborate lierne vault.
This is a marroon soccer game from a couple years back I played in, although you cannot see it probability is almost everywhere.
Kalenderhane Mosque (Theotokos Kyriotissa) Istanbul/ Turkey
Kalenderhane Mosque (Turkish: Kalenderhane Camii) is a former Eastern Orthodox church in Istanbul, converted into a mosque by the Ottomans. With high probability the church was originally dedicated to the Theotokos Kyriotissa. This building represents one among the few still extant examples of a Byzantine church with domed Greek cross plan.
Architecture and decoration
The sanctuary with the mihrab and minbar
The building has a central Greek Cross plan with deep barrel vaults over the arms, and is surmounted by a dome with 16 ribs. The structure has a typically Byzantine with alternating layers of brick and stone masonry. The entry is via a esonarthex and an exonarthex (added much later) in the west side.
An upper gallery over the esonarthex, following the same plan of the one existing in the Church of the Pantokrator, was removed in 1854. Also the north and south aisles along the nave were destroyed, possibly during the nineteenth century too. The tall triple arches connecting the aisles with the nave are now the lower windows of the church.
The sanctuary is on the east side; however, the reconstructed mihrab and minbar are in a corner to obtain the proper alignment with Mecca.
Two small chapels named prothesis and diakonikon, typical of the Byzantine churches of the middle and late period have survived.
The interior decoration of the church, consisting of beautiful colored marble panels and moldings, and of elaborated icon frames, is largely still extant. The building possesses two features which both represent an unicum in Istanbul: a mosaic, one meter square, representing the "Presentation of Christ", which is the only pre-iconoclastic exemplar of a religious subject surviving in the city, and a cycle of frescoes of the thirteenth century (found in a chapel at the southeast corner of the building, and painted during the Latin domination) portraying the life of Saint Francis of Assisi. This is the oldest known representation of the saint, and may have been painted only a few years after his death in 1226. Both have now been detached and partially restored, and can be seen in the Archaeological Museum of Istanbul.
As a whole, the mosque of Kalenderhane represents – together with the Gül Mosque in Istanbul, the Church of Hagia Sophia in Thessaloniki and the Church of the Dormition in (Koimesis) in Iznik (Nicaea), one of the main architectural examples of a domed Greek cross church from the Byzantine middle period.
The most important thing in life is to stop saying “I wish” and start saying “I will.” Consider nothing impossible, then treat possibilities as
probabilities
David Copperfield
Sobesos ancient city.
It was specified that Sobesos is between Tomissos (modern Taşkınpaşa) and Soandos (Soğanlı valley) on antique sources. When it has been seen looked as locally, probability of being present Şahinefendi village is high. But it had not been found any ruin belonging to the Roman period. They could not have the common idea regarding the subject which place is Sobesos city.
Vestiges of the city have been discovered in an unexpected place by the way of who have made unlicensed excavation. Sobesos which is in start point of the valley, has been established on a field which is secure in terms of strategically and which is fertile land. Today, central of the city administration and bathhouse complex have been completely revealed. Floor mosaics which have been presented good workmanship, have been determined each two square. In addition, civil architecture examples have been revealed. But the border of town can not be determined yet completely.
Sobesos antik kenti.
Sobesos'un antik kaynaklar üzerinde Tomissos (modern Taşkınpaşa) ve Soandos (Soğanlı vadisi) arasında olduğu belirtildi. Yerel olarak görüldüğü zaman Şahinefendi köyünde bulunma olasılığı yüksektir. Ancak Roma dönemine ait herhangi bir harabe bulunmamıştı. Sobesos şehri olan yerle ilgili ortak bir fikirleri olamazdı.
Kentin kalıntıları beklenmedik bir yerde, ruhsatsız kazı yapanlar tarafından keşfedilmiştir. Vadinin başlangıç noktası olan Sobesos, stratejik açıdan güvenli ve verimli bir alan olan bir alana kurulmuştur. Günümüzde kent merkezi ve hamam kompleksi merkezi tamamen ortaya çıkarılmıştır. Her iki kare için iyi işçilik sunmuş olan döşeme mozaikleri belirlenmiştir. Ayrıca sivil mimari örnekleri de ortaya kondu. Ancak kentin sınırı henüz tam olarak belirlenemiyor.
... apparently quite rare and dating to WW2 when the probability of death was not insignificant ... approx. 12 mm diameter ...