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At the Student Research Poster Session, students share their summer research projects with peers, highlighting the fascinating work that can be done at Lewis & Clark.
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Didem Ozbek, Moaning Diary, artist book as installation and performance. UK print on vinyl, body scanner, QMatic machine, performers, 2011
©PiST///
Chapter 10. A fault tree showing ways in which an automobile might fail to start. Deletion of branches responsible for about half of all failures produced only a 7% increase in people's estimates of what was missing. Professional auto mechanics were about as insensitive to changes as ordinary drivers. In contrast to an auto, which is a relatively simple system, a nuclear reactor has thousands and thousands of components, making fault-tree analysis far more difficult. Source: Adapted from Baruch Fishhoff, Paul Slovic, and Sarah Lichtenstein, "Fault trees: sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation," Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance, 1978.
The seventh graders studied theoretical and experimental probability. The students conducted trials to determine whether two 2-player dice games were fair games (games in which each player has an equal probability of winning). Students identified the sample space in order to calculate the theoretical probabilities; the class then compiled its data in a shared Google Sheet and observed that the experimental probability approached the theoretical probability as the number of trials increased.
The seventh graders studied theoretical and experimental probability. The students conducted trials to determine whether two 2-player dice games were fair games (games in which each player has an equal probability of winning). Students identified the sample space in order to calculate the theoretical probabilities; the class then compiled its data in a shared Google Sheet and observed that the experimental probability approached the theoretical probability as the number of trials increased.
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The topic for week 42 of Hayling Island Camera Club's 52 week challenge is "Odds" (as in an odd number of things).
So I chanced my arm by dropping five poker dice onto black felt. The probability of keeping all 5 in frame, in focus, and getting a pleasing pattern, was remarkably small. I spent rather a long time crawling round the floor looking for the odd missing dice, while maintaining a poker face of course.
iPredator Probability Inventory #Cyberstalking PSA - Visit the #iPredator #Cyberbullying and #OnlineSafety Website to D/L the Free IPI-CS by Michael Nuccitelli, Psy.D. NYC #BeBest - Link: www.ipredator.co/ipredator-probability-inventory-cybersta...
the Pleiades.... The Clouds of Probabilities.... Doors to the Parallel Universes.... the facts of Present.... Past.... and Future can be changed getting in contact with those Clouds in the most high frequency that exists.... The Infinite Frequency.... access to The Divine Particle....
what Am I talking about???.... Quantum Physics....
David / Zafiro DSP
the Pleiades.... The Clouds of Probabilities.... Doors to the Parallel Universes.... the facts of Present.... Past.... and Future can be changed getting in contact with those Clouds in the most high frequency that exists.... The Infinite Frequency.... access to The Divine Particle....
what Am I talking about???.... Quantum Physics....
David / Zafiro DSP
Bayesian phylogenetic trees derived from 79 global samples of DENV-3 NS1 gene sequences inferred with MrBayes program.
The posterior probabilities expressed in percent are indicated at important nodes. DENV-1 (M87512) and DENV-4 (AY618992) strains were used as outgroup. Horizontal branch lengths are drawn to scale. Aligned sequences were analyzed in the MrModeltest 2.3 program to identify the best fit-model of nucleotide substitution for Bayesian phylogenetic reconstruction. The nucleotide substitution model used was under a General Time Reversible model of nucleotide substitution with gamma-distributed rate variation (G = 1.9241) and a proportion of invariable sites (I = 0.4401) (GTR+G+I), using Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC). Five runs of 4 chains each (one cold and tree heated, temperature = 0.20) were run for 1.5×106 generations, with a burn-in of 6000 generations. GenBank accession numbers: D3BR PV7 03 (FJ481174), In_98901403_DSS_DV_3_98 (AB189125), In_98901437_DSS_DV_3_98 (AB189126), In_98901517_DHF_DV_3_98 (AB189127), In_98902890_DF_DV_3_98 (AB189128), ET_D3_Hu_TL018NIID_2005 (AB214879), ET_D3_Hu_TL109NIID_2005 (AB214881), ET_D3_Hu_TL029NIID_2005 (AB214880), ET_D3_Hu_TL129NIID_2005 (AB214882), China_80_2_ (AF317645), D3_H_IMTSSA_SRI_2000_1266 (AY099336), D3_H_IMTSSA_MART_1999_1243 (AY099337), BDH02_1_02 (AY496871), BDH02_3_02 (AY496873), BDH02_4_2 (AY496874), BDH02_7_02 (AY496877), In_Sleman_78 (AY648961), Singapore (AY662691), ThD3_0104_93_ (AY676350), ThD3_0055_93_ (AY676351), BR74886_02 (AY679147), PF89_320219_89 (AY744678), PF90_3056_90 (AY744680), PF92_4190_92 (AY744684), PF94_136116_94 (AY744685), In_BA51_04 (AY858037), In_den3_98 (AY858039), In_FW01_04 (AY858040), In_FW06_04 (AY858041), In_KJ30i_04 (AY858042), In_KJ71_04 (AY858044), In_PH86_04 (AY858045), In_PI64_04 (AY858046), In_TB16_04 (AY858047), In_TB55i_04 (AY858048), Thail_C0331_94_94 (AY876494), In_InJ_16_82 (DQ401690), PhMH_J1_97 (DQ401695), BR_DEN3_95_04 (EF629366), BR_DEN3_97_04 (EF629367), BR_DEN3_98_04_ (EF629368), BR_DEN3_290_02 (EF629369), BR_DEN3_RO1_02 (EF629370), BR_DEN3_RO2_02_ (EF629373), D3_SG_SS710_2004 (EU081181), D3_SG_05K791DK1_2005 (EU081182), D3_SG_05K843DK1_2005 (EU081187), D3_SG_05K4648DK1_2005 (EU081225), VietN_BID_V1008_2006 (EU482452), VietN_BID_V1009_2006 (EU482453), VietN_BID_V1010_2006 (EU482454), VietN_BID_V1011_2006 (EU482455), VietN_BID_V1012_2006 (EU482456), VietN_BID_V1013_2006 (EU482457), VietN_BID_V1014_2006 (EU482458), VietN_BID_V1015_2006 (EU482459), VietN_BID_V1016_2006 (EU482460), VietN_BID_V1017_2006 (EU482461), VietN_BID_V1018_2006 (EU482462), PtoR_BID_V1043_2006 (EU482555), PtoR_BID_V1049_1998 (EU482558), PtoR_BID_V1050_1998 (EU482559), PtoR_BID_V1075_1998 (EU482563), PtoR_BID_V1078_2003 (EU482564), PtoR_BID_V1088_1998 (EU482566), PtoR_BID_V858_2003 (EU482595), PtoR_BID_V859_1998 (EU482596), VEN_BID_V904_2001 (EU482612), VEN_BID_V906_2001 (EU482613), VEN_BID_V913_2001 (EU482614), Philip56_H87 (M93130), NC_001475 (NC_001475), ThD3_1687_98 (AY676348), 98TWmosq_98 (DQ675532), ThD3_1283_98 (AY676349), In_KJ46_04 (AY858043), Thail C0360 94 (AY923865), DENV1 (M87512), DENV4 (AY618992).
the Pleiades.... The Clouds of Probabilities.... Doors to the Parallel Universes.... the facts of Present.... Past.... and Future can be changed getting in contact with those Clouds in the most high frequency that exists.... The Infinite Frequency.... access to The Divine Particle....
what Am I talking about???.... Quantum Physics....
David / Zafiro DSP
The most important thing in life is to stop saying “I wish” and start saying “I will.” Consider nothing impossible, then treat possibilities as probabilities.
-- David Copperfield
Emmy Award-winning illusionist and founder of the charity Project Magic.
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The seventh graders studied theoretical and experimental probability. The students conducted trials to determine whether two 2-player dice games were fair games (games in which each player has an equal probability of winning). Students identified the sample space in order to calculate the theoretical probabilities; the class then compiled its data in a shared Google Sheet and observed that the experimental probability approached the theoretical probability as the number of trials increased.
When your bike parking is too close to the curb, the probability of bicycle-motor vehicle collisions increases. CDOT installs bike racks at least 36 inches (3 feet) from the curb.
My take on this very popular place in NYC. If we could only focus on what is possible, and not probable, we would be so much better off.
50% majority rule consensus cladogram for all 88 species based on the nuclear gene 18S.Node labels give posterior probabilities. Branch lengths are not meaningful. As shown in the upper left diagram, the cladogram consists of the Isopoda outgroup, and two subsections: A) suborder Gammaridea, and B) suborder Corophiidea. Two species (*) are grouped with the Corophiidea (although with low support), but are classified as Gammaridean. Rounded brackets show families with monophyletic topologies, plus the monophyletic superfamily Lysianassoidea (**). Monophyly brackets are supported with probability >0.99 with the exception of two families marked with ***. Non-monophyletic families are marked with vertical lines; families with no marking are represented by 1 species. New sequences from Bodega Bay are marked with BB for the 14 amphipod species with trait data and bb for the 2 without.
- Adding and subtracting numbers (or multiplying and dividing)
- Model probability activities
- Create fractions to draw (roll numerator and denominator)
- Counting activities (good for small children because they can move around with them)
50% Majority rule consensus phylogram showing the phylogenetic relationships in the Bolbitiaceae.Branch support values are MrBayes posterior probabilities, ML bootstrap values, BEAST posterior probabilities, in order. Nodes for which ancestral fruiting body type has been reconstructed are labeled nodes 1–5, corresponding to the Bolbitiaceae, Bolbitius+Pholiotina 1, Bolbitius, Conocybe 6 and section Candidae. Taxa with coprinoid combination of characters (pseudoparaphyses, ephemeral fruiting bodies which collapse upon maturity, plicate cap surface) are highlighted in blue. Relationships tested by constraint analyses are marked by dashed lines. The composition of stipe covering either as hairs only (open squares), lecythiform cystidia only (filled squares) and both types (fountain fill) is shown to the right of the tree. Note that ML bootstrap values and Bayesian posterior probabilities from the BEAST runs were obtained without the indel data.
the Pleiades.... The Clouds of Probabilities.... Doors to the Parallel Universes.... the facts of Present.... Past.... and Future can be changed getting in contact with those Clouds in the most high frequency that exists.... The Infinite Frequency.... access to The Divine Particle....
what Am I talking about???.... Quantum Physics....
David / Zafiro DSP
“The moment of enlightenment is when a person's dreams of possibilities become images of probabilities.”
Vic Braden
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1-12-09
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The seventh graders studied theoretical and experimental probability. The students conducted trials to determine whether two 2-player dice games were fair games (games in which each player has an equal probability of winning). Students identified the sample space in order to calculate the theoretical probabilities; the class then compiled its data in a shared Google Sheet and observed that the experimental probability approached the theoretical probability as the number of trials increased.
These were shot for the Macro Monday challenge of Paradoxical Problems.
Bertrand's box paradox is a classic paradox of elementary probability theory. It was first posed by Joseph Bertrand in his Calcul des probabilités, published in 1889. There are three boxes: a box containing two gold coins, a box with two silver coins, and a box with one of each. After choosing a box at random and withdrawing one coin at random that happens to be a gold coin, it may seem that the probability that the remaining coin is gold has a probability of 1⁄2; in fact, the probability is actually 2⁄3.
In describing this problem to my wife, who holds a PhD., we got into a rather heated argument because she insisted that it was 1/2...
An increased probability of land and mudslides during the monsoon season is expected to hamper ongoing humanitarian operations (Rasuwa District).
2015 © Rene Nijenhuis, OCHA UNEP Joint Environment Unit
Didem Ozbek, Moaning Diary, artist book as installation and performance. UK print on vinyl, body scanner, QMatic machine, performers, 2011 (detail)
©PiST///