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Création artistique Photoshop à partir d´une feuille blanche virtuelle.
Merci pour vos visites et pour vos commentaires.
Je me suis amusée à photographier des montres...Certaines ont plus de 100 ans et fonctionnent encore ! C'est étonnant.
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I had fun photographing watches ... Some are over 100 years old and still working! This is amazing.
I think this is the most important chart in technology business.
(It's an updated version of Ray Kurzweil's published work, posted with permission, and updated here through 2016. Further UPDATE here, post Tesla AI Day.)
In this abstraction of Moore’s Law, Kurzweil plots computational power on a logarithmic scale, and finds a double exponential curve that holds over 100 years (a straight line would represent a geometrically compounding curve of progress).
In the modern era of accelerating change in the tech industry, it is hard to find even five-year trends with any predictive value, let alone trends that span the centuries.
Ray argues that through five paradigm shifts – such as electro-mechanical calculators and vacuum tube computers – the computational power that $1000 buys has doubled every two years. For the past 30 years, it has been doubling every year.
Each dot is the frontier of computational price performance of the day. One machine was used in the 1890 Census; one cracked the Nazi Enigma cipher in World War II; one predicted Eisenhower’s win in the 1956 Presidential election.
Each dot represents a human drama. They did not realize that they were on a predictive curve. Each dot represents an attempt to build the best computer with the tools of the day. Of course, we use these computers to make better design software and manufacturing control algorithms. And so the progress continues.
Notice that the pace of innovation is exogenous to the economy. The Great Depression and the World Wars and various recessions do not introduce a meaningful change in the long-term trajectory of Moore’s Law. Certainly, the adoption rates, revenue, profits and economic fates of the computer companies behind the various dots on the graph may go though wild oscillations, but the long-term trend emerges nevertheless.
Any one technology, such as the CMOS transistor, follows an elongated S-shaped curve of slow progress during initial development, upward progress during a rapid adoption phase, and then slower growth from market saturation over time. But a more generalized capability, such as computation, storage, or bandwidth, tends to follow a pure exponential – bridging across a variety of technologies and their cascade of S-curves.
Moore’s Law is commonly reported as a doubling of transistor density every 18 months. But this is not something the co-founder of Intel, Gordon Moore, has ever said. It is a nice blending of his two predictions; in 1965, he predicted an annual doubling of transistor counts in the most cost effective chip and revised it in 1975 to every 24 months. With a little hand waving, most reports attribute 18 months to Moore’s Law, but there is quite a bit of variability. The popular perception of Moore’s Law is that computer chips are compounding in their complexity at near constant per unit cost. This is one of the many abstractions of Moore’s Law, and it relates to the compounding of transistor density in two dimensions. Others relate to speed (the signals have less distance to travel) and computational power (speed x density).
Unless you work for a chip company and focus on fab-yield optimization, you do not care about transistor counts. Integrated circuit customers do not buy transistors. Consumers of technology purchase computational speed and data storage density. When recast in these terms, Moore’s Law is no longer a transistor-centric metric, and this abstraction allows for longer-term analysis.
What Moore observed in the belly of the early IC industry was a derivative metric, a refracted signal, from the bigger trend, the trend that begs various philosophical questions and predicts mind-bending futures.
Moore’s Law is a primary driver of disruptive innovation, such as the iPod usurping the Sony Walkman franchise , and it drives not only IT and Communications and has become the primary driver in drug discovery and bioinformatics, medical imaging and diagnostics. As Moore’s Law crosses critical thresholds, a formerly lab science of trial and error experimentation becomes a simulation science and the pace of progress accelerates dramatically, creating opportunities for new entrants in new industries.
This non-linear pace of progress has been the primary juggernaut of perpetual market disruption, spawning wave after wave of opportunities for new companies.
I just watched Transcendent Man, so I have Kurzweil on the mind.
Editor's note: It is a fairly long read but hopefully worth the time.
It used to be that, in my generation, we made friends first at our neighborhood, then at school/college and finally at work, or by pursuing common interests like sports, hobbies or artistic activities, to name a few. Then the Internet appeared and soon after, social networks. We were then able to connect with our current friends at a level in which physical distance was no longer an issue. We were reminded of Birthdays and were able to witness, virtually, anything that our friends wanted to share. They also provided the means to find people who shared a common interest, all over the world.
For those of us who had a very important yet extremely private and “unaccepted” interest, the Internet opened a new world of information and realization. We were no longer alone and the fact that we could share something so private with someone who was continents apart, would create a special bond that, in my case and many of you, was stronger than the one we had with lifelong friends.
The next step was to try to meet these dear online friends in person and make the virtual bond something real and tangible. I will not expand on this as I wrote extensively about my experiences at the first conferences that I attended. However, after not going to a large conference for over 7 years, my attending Keystone in 2022, helped me realize, again, the importance and relevance of giving that online friend a real hug. Yes, I continued to meet with close friends, from previous events, every year, but in small groups in which almost everyone knows everyone from before. Being able to talk to and hug friends you know online but have never met in person is something that I had missed for some time and found gratifying in Harrisburg, last month.
There are no emojis that can effectively express the satisfaction of a real hug, a smile, or a laugh from a friend! Nothing beats laughing together and seeing friends’ expressions as they smile or tell a joke or an anecdote. An emoji is generic, you see it and then forget it, but personal interactions are indelible memories that will last a lifetime!
If you ever have a chance to attend any TG conference, I encourage you to do all you can to be there and experience what I am trying to convey here. I am sure that if you never attend any other again, you will never forget it, and if you have the chance to attend again, you will do it for as long as you can.
You may have noticed that after Keystone I have focused on posting photos where I am with friends and not of myself, because that is what mattered the most to me. Yes, I had the opportunity to participate in a couple of exciting adventures and took a lot of photos of Cristy by herself, but those photos, although I will eventually share them, are mostly relevant at a personal level. On the other hand, photos with friends are reminders of that bond that becomes stronger with each face-to-face encounter with someone you don’t see often but feel closer to your heart and soul than most of your longtime friends from the “normal” life.
People often ask me how I manage to dress only for that one time a year and then put Cristy in hibernation. Well, the memories I gather through that week along with a continued online interaction, mostly with the friends I have met in person, make it easy to deal with the long wait.
About the photo: It was taken by the queen of selfies, Miss Jamie Kendall. I am not going to identify who is featured in it to protect Jamie's, Christina's, Nora's, Sophia's and my own privacy. :P
The Keystone Logo is used without express written consent of the Organization but I hope they understand :-)
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Nota: Es una lectura larga pero espero que valga la pena
Solía ser que, en mi generación, hacíamos amistades primero en el vecindario, después en el colegio/universidad y luego en el trabajo, o por intereses en común como deportes, pasatiempos o actividades artísticas, entre otros. Luego surgió Internet y poco después, aparecieron las redes sociales. Esto nos permitió estar en comunicación con nuestras amistades sin importar la distancia. Ya no se nos olvidaban los cumpleaños y podíamos presencia, de manera virtual, cualquier cosa que nuestras amistades quisieran compartir. También nos permitieron encontrar personas en todo el mundo que compartieran algún interés personal que tuviéramos.
Para quienes teníamos un interés muy importante pero que no era aceptado, el Internet abrió un nuevo mundo de información y descubrimiento. Ya no estábamos sol@s y el hecho de poder compartir algo tan privado con alguien que estaba en otro continente, produciría una conexión que, en mi caso y el de much@s de ustedes, era más fuerte que la que teníamos con amistades de toda la vida.
El siguiente paso era intentar conocer en persona a estas amistades en línea y hacer que esa conexión virtual se hiciera tangible. No me voy a extender en esto porque ya lo he descrito al relatar mis experiencias en las primeras convenciones a las que asistí. Sin embargo, luego de no asistir a una conferencia grande por más de 7 años, el asistir a Keystone 2022, me ayudo a recordar la importancia y relevancia de dar a esa amistad en línea un abrazo real. Es cierto que continué reuniéndome con amigas cercanas, de eventos anteriores, cada año, pero en grupos pequeños en los que todas nos conocíamos de antes. El poder conversar y abrazar a alguien que conoces en línea pero ves en persona por primera vez es algo que extrañaba y me llenó de satisfacción en Harrisburg, el mes pasado.
¡No hay emojis que puedan expresar de manera efectiva la satisfacción que producen un abrazo, una sonrisa o una carcajada real de una amiga! Nada se compara con reírse juntas y ver las expresiones de tus amigas cuando sonríen o cuentan una anécdota. ¡Un emoji es genérico, lo ves y lo olvidas, pero las interacciones personales producen recuerdos indelebles que duran toda la vida!
Si alguna vez tienes la oportunidad de asistir a una conferencia TG, te recomiendo que hagas todo lo posible por ir y experimentar lo que trato de expresar aquí. Estoy segura que si no vuelves a asistir a otra, jamás la olvidarás y, si puedes repetir la experiencia, lo harás cada vez que te sea posible.
Habrán notado que tras volver de Keystone, me he enfocado en compartir fotos en las que estoy con amigas y no solamente yo, porque eso es lo que más significó para mí. Es cierto que tuve la oportunidad de participar en varias aventuras interesantes y tengo muchas fotos de Cristy sola pero esas fotos, aunque eventualmente las compartiré, tienen relevancia a nivel más personal. En cambio, las fotos con amigas son recuerdos de esa conexión que se hace más fuerte con cada encuentro cara a cara con alguien a quien no ves con frecuencia, pero con quien sientes más cercanía que con la mayoría de tus amistades de toda la vida.
Con frecuencia me preguntan que cómo hago para sobrevivir vistiéndome solo una vez al año y poner a Cristy a hibernar. Pues bien, los recuerdos que acumulo durante esa semana junto a las interacciones en línea, principalmente con las amigas que he conocido en persona, hacen de la larga espera algo muy manejable.
fotografía tomada por la Reyna de las Selfies, Jamie Kendall.
Sometimes love is not as bright as we expect it to be. Sometimes it’s more rustic and on the dark side.
Just out and about with Hallbadorn. We planned to go for coffee and a pizza. I really liked the feel of the Downtown Transcend Coffee.
I did a soft shallow depth of field natural light shot and a strobed wide depth of field shot. Let me know which one you like. Each have their own feel.
My favorite place, where even if I can't reach up and physically touch the sky, I feel the closest to it on a soul level. A sense of freedom, peace and strength.
Taken in Cairo, during my last visit.
©PhotographyByMichiale. All images are copyright protected and cannot be used without my permission. please visit me on Facebook, too! www.facebook.com/photographybymichiale
Louvre
"J'ai vu un ange dans le marbre et j'ai seulement ciselé jusqu'à l'en libérer. "
(Michel-Ange)
From Wikipedia:
Transcending is an arch sculpture and the Michigan Labor Legacy Landmark. It is located west of the entrance to Hart Plaza near the intersection of Woodward Avenue and Jefferson Avenue and was dedicated on August 30, 2003.
In 2000, the Michigan Labor History Society established a project to create a monument that would celebrate Michigan's contributions to the labor movement. Funding was obtained from the United Automobile Workers, AFL–CIO, and other civic and labor organizations. Sculptors were invited to enter a competition and submit sketches of their designs; 120 artists entered the competition. The selection committee chose Transcending, by David Barr from Livonia, Michigan and Sergio de Guisti, an Italian sculptor living in Redford Township, Michigan at the time of the sculpture's selection. The two steel arcs, the work of David Barr, stretch 63 feet (19 m) into the sky and weigh 30 short tons (27 t). Barr saw them as an elegantly stylized gear emerging from the ground. They are not joined and many assume that reminds viewers of the unfinished mission of the American labor movement. However, at night, a light projects from one of the arcs at its zenith to the other. The sculptors assumed that viewers would focus on that light. To them, this light symbolized the energy of workers.
At the base there are fourteen Vermont granite boulders, each 6 feet (1.8 m) in height. The bas reliefs on the boulders are the work of Sergio de Guisti. They are meant to symbolize the sacrifices and achievements of American workers. There are also more than a dozen plaques commemorating the accomplishments of the American labor movement such as the prohibition of child labor, free public school education and employer paid pensions and health care.
The monument stands close to where Martin Luther King, Jr. first gave his “I Have a Dream” speech on June 20, 1963, a speech that was repeated later that year at the Lincoln Memorial during the March on Washington for Jobs and Freedom. One of Dr. King’s phrases - “The arc of history bends toward justice” - is included in the sculpture.
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Difficult roads often lead to beautiful destinations.
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