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NW Thailand, approximately 40 km from the Myanmar border. A small town situated in a valley surrounded by mountains. This time of year it is hot during the day but it cools very nicely at night. Easily walkable, or manageable on a bicycle, the town is a nice respite from the hustle and bustle of Bangkok. Fresh food markets and a few good Thai food restaurants. Wakes up early, thanks to the roosters, and goes to bed early. The Pai River flows through town and Hilltribe villages can be accessed via water or road. Mostly for tourist purposes these days, the hill tribes still practice the tradition of rings around the neck. Hence. the name "long necks." The neck actually doesn't lengthen, but the shoulders drop giving the illusion of a longer neck.
New Brazilian Keratin Hair Treatment ELIXIR Keratina 1L
Does the weather turn your hair into a big, frizzy ball? Do you transform your curly hair into a beautiful, straight, shiny new do? Do you want to protect your hair from environmental stress and damage, dust, chemical build-up and frizz? If you answered yes to any of these questions, then Elixir Hair Mask and Reconstructor is the product for you.
Many women are interested in straight or relaxed hair, but also want to stay away from chemical hair straightening. The Brazilian keratin hair treatment can be a great option for anyone who wants straight hair.
Elixir Hair Mask and Reconstructor is a unique Brazilian keratin treatment formula that straightens, softens, and conditions dry, overprocessed, or damaged hair. Clients with resistant, extremely curly, or multicultural textured hair will benefit from and enjoy the Elixir Hair Mask and Reconstructor. The product can be used on any type of hair, including color-treated hair.
More information at www.KERAINFUSION.COM
One of the few photos from my trip taken on the Hasselblad that isn't ruined by a massive light leak. There is definitely one in this photo, but it's manageable. Kids, don't buy non-matching film backs. More on the way.
Hasselblad 500c/m
Zeiss 150mm t*
natural curl with a mild texurizer makes hair more manageable and it definitely will respect my authority in my chair!
I've always been taught to double my thread for handsewing. I'm not sure where that came from, but I can't stop now. My guess is my mum taught me and she's the expert so I continue to do it. I work with an arms length of thread doubled at a time. Very manageable. Thread your needle and tie a knot at the end. Pull it through from the backside of the binding where it will be hidden and trim the end off.
A simple photo taken without artificial light.
A complicated dog.
You asked, so here's a post with my thoughts.
So, Magnus is home. And he definitely is significantly better. Far, far from perfect, but we knew that would be the case. The most important thing is that he is now manageable by us. Particularly when visitors come over.
Her trick for visitors is using an elevated bed (so we brought his outside bed into the house). He has to make a conscious decision to get off an elevated bed while our mats were at floor level. When visitors arrive, we get him to sit (he has on a short slip collar) by pulling up on the weakest part of his neck. Works well even when done with someone my size and strength. Then we guide him over to his elevated bed and tell him "place." Magnus then gets "good" and rewarded every time he relaxes or directs his attention toward us instead of the visitors. He also gets rewarded whenever he slips in "normal" dog behavior such as sniffing the air to smell the visitors.
Magnus simply never learned socialization when he was an impressionable wee pup. The guess is that he was kept in a small kennel or box until he was dumped out in the country at about three months old. He was--and unfortunately remains--clueless. After all, why would a three-month-old puppy sit, unrestrained, in the same spot for six hours? He simply didn't know what to do.
We've had people over, and having Magnus on his elevated bed works well. Granted, he's not allowed to interact with visitors yet. That'll be months--maybe years--away. Magnus' circuits get crossed and he gets overwhelmed. I've known that about him for as long as he's been in our home. We need to keep him looking to us to handle things that overwhelm him.
We also are using "back" to keep him out of our space and maintain the home as our home, not Magnus'. That makes him not feel the need to be so protective. We'll keep him out of the kitchen when Kevin's cooking, for instance, or when I am feeding the feline crew. I keep him back from the front entrance when I am filling the front bird feeders.
All of that worked well the other night. Kevin had already gone to bed, but I still had that caffeine from the pomegranate energy frozen yogurt coursing through my veins. I was serving my felines their dinner, and Magnus had to stay out of the kitchen. Suddenly, Magnus started woofing under his breath, those uncertain, punctated low woofs he makes. He briefly stared out the sliding glass door, then came over to the edge of the kitchen and stared up at me as if to ask, "What are you going to do about that?" Of course, I had to investigate. Our rotund raccoon had arrived on our back deck, looking for any droppings from the feeders. Prior to his month away, Magnus would have barked loudly and intensely, escalating beyond direction. So, he has obviously much improved.
Walking is another issue. Yes, he's better. Stellar, in fact, without distractions. But Magnus is not allowed to interact with others at all on a leash at this point. We are learning to arc him around anyone we encounter. Eventually the idea is that he will calm enough to be able to lessen the arc and finally walk right by people. However, he just gets overwhelmed too easily. Deconditioning is going to be quite possibly a life-long process with him.
With all that said, why do you sense some hesitancy in me over these past few days? Well, Magnus is currently wearing three collars all the time. He has his standard collar with his name tag. Fine. He also has a short length of a slip lead that is kept over the weakest part of his neck by a small tab. That's fine, too. Works well to get him to sit. You lift up, he's conditioned to sit. It's the third collar that I am still pondering. You see, Magnus not only is a massive, clueless dog, he also is physically insensitive. Whether that's his thick fur or merely his emotional makeup or a combination of both doesn't really matter. What matters is that he does not respond to simple correction without both nagging and strength. The trainer spoke to me about it on the phone and we agreed to try a starmark collar, a collar that has plastic triangles inside that increase the pressure applied by pulling on the leash. Magnus apparently did not respond to that. Ultimately, what Magnus has in place for his back-up control method is a dull, pronged metal collar that has a four-inch tag dangling off it as a grip. The trainer actually put it on us so that we could feel what happens when it is pulled. It really does not hurt at all; it merely increases the pressure and concentrates it in points. Nothing painful at all. But I am still wrestling with the thought that a pronged collar is on my dog. Of course, there are specific instructions for it. For instance, we are not to pull that collar when he is fixated on something in order to avoid having him associate the collar with whatever is making him unnerved. We have to lift up on the slip lead to break his concentration and intensity first, etc., etc. I go through all of this in my mind with a bit of sadness in my heart, but I know that Magnus is not your typical dog. He does not have social skills--simply didn't learn them--and he is just too big of brute for most people to control physically. The physics of amplifying our strength makes sense with him. It won't be used viciously, and it will help Magnus as he learns to look to us when life is uncertain.
I am convinced that the vast majority of people would not keep Magnus. He was a foster we couldn't adopt him out because I really felt he'd end up put to sleep. Even 97% of dog owners and dog lovers (random number, but seems about right) would not put up with our lovable goof. Right now, we have hope. And maybe, just maybe--in a matter of a year or two--he will be calm and trustworthy around other people. There's always hope. At least now, finally, he has a good start.
[SOOC, f/1.4, ISO 3200, shutter speed 1/160]
I knew I my LEGO version of this locomotive was off, but good Lord... I didn't know I was so very very off.
An explanation:
The real #500 has three pairs of drivers that are 74" in diameter. #300, the previous picture in my stream, has four pairs of drivers that are 56" in diameter.
56" x 4 = 224 "
74" x 3 = 222"
Thus, the driver wheel length on these two locomotives should be equal, and if I make them 16 studs long they will be. Unfortunately for me, this means that my locomotive, as built, is a whopping 7 studs too short!
It also means that my "innovative" use of a central flanged driver will probably have to be dropped, since I don't think I can manage turns with that much locomotive hanging off the curves. Sigh.
The proposed changes would include changing the locomotive to 8 wide with a cheese slope boiler that goes from 5 studs on the nose to 6 wide at the cab. The color of the locomotive should probably be dark green, but unfortunately the dome pieces don't come in dark green, and I don't know what I'd do in their stead.
My pack is at 4, John and I both realize how much more manageable 4 is than 6! We used to either take the littles or The SpooCrew. Now we can take everyone at the same time!
Enjoying a spot of lunch and mistakenly thinking he could carry such a large piece of ham back to the nest. He had to return many times to cut the slice into more manageable pieces. Dorset garden.
this truck started life as a 3 window; splitting the cab at the factory welds at the "A" pillars and at the spot welds at the rear belt line made it very manageable.
Just having fun. I don't have an IR filter on this lens - I wanted to see just how bad the IR sensitivity is on the M8. RAW - my shirt was definitely purple and the WB was all over the place. This is maybe 5 minutes of post work...it really didn't require too much outside of my normal DNG workflow. Very manageable in my opinion. Not perfect (my shirt should be really black) but not terrible either.
Leica M8 // Jupiter 8
Cowpens National Battlefield
As a photographer I adore dawn and dusk as they provide the soft, most manageable lighting. But how often do I neglect the actual beauty produced in these moments but the tilted rays of the sun, and the shadows everything produces that appear poetic and rhythmic. At Cowpens, as we reminisced the battle that had occurred a quarter of a millennium before, only the direction of the passing sun created something indicative of the dimensions we were in, as well as the tangibility of fleeting time.
The ONLY editing I did to the pictures was reducing them from the size I shoot in SL (4000×3500) down to a 1024 size manageable for the blog and Flickr. There’s been no cropping, no liquifying, no adjusting contrast or color balances or any of the other Photoshop tools I use on a regular basis.
slicesoflifesl.wordpress.com/2014/03/31/sooc-the-void-par...
2.5, and the other S2 classes are attempting to simplify their clock designs so that the right balance between visual interest and technical complexity is established. Evaluation criteria are discussed and agreed with the class. We came up with the following rules:
1. No more than five parts. [Not including backing piece]
2. No more than thirteen edges.
3. No tiny little parts.
4. No really tight curves.
5. If possible, all parts should be the same colour.
6. Must collapse back to a square, circle or triangle.
7. Must be manageable in a six period build time.
All rules were agreed after the practical limitations were explained. Pupils were urged to, "design in simplicity". After all, if the model is not completed within the build time what we'll end up creating is scrap. Also, we're firm believers in Mies van der Rohe's famous line, "Less is More". A day rarely passes when somebody is not heard proclaiming this statement. And it really is true. Simplicity is harder to design than complexity. Good design should look effortless but it rarely is.
These pupils have really grasped this and are demonstrating some really clever ways of explaining their design thinking in diagrammatic form using arrows to sequence the stages their thinking goes through. Interesting. Well done you lot. Keep it up!
New Brazilian Keratin Hair Treatment ELIXIR Keratina 4oz
Does the weather turn your hair into a big, frizzy ball? Do you transform your curly hair into a beautiful, straight, shiny new do? Do you want to protect your hair from environmental stress and damage, dust, chemical build-up and frizz? If you answered yes to any of these questions, then Elixir Hair Mask and Reconstructor is the product for you.
Many women are interested in straight or relaxed hair, but also want to stay away from chemical hair straightening. The Brazilian keratin hair treatment can be a great option for anyone who wants straight hair.
Elixir Hair Mask and Reconstructor is a unique Brazilian keratin treatment formula that straightens, softens, and conditions dry, overprocessed, or damaged hair. Clients with resistant, extremely curly, or multicultural textured hair will benefit from and enjoy the Elixir Hair Mask and Reconstructor. The product can be used on any type of hair, including color-treated hair.
More information at www.KERAINFUSION.COM
The bin is a manageable size and made of inexpensive materials. Worm castings are a high value fertilizer.
WMATA Bus Stop (Northbound) on 14th at Q Street, NW, Washington DC on Monday evening, 3 June 2013 by Elvert Barnes Photography
DC TAKES ON HIV PSA: HIV IS MANAGEABLE PSA Poster
A rather hefty piece of acrylic, several inches thick, purchased for a college project that changed direction post-purchase.
My memory made it smaller, lighter, and more manageable, and I had hoped to shoot light through it... somehow.
Reality required it remaining on the floor.
I did use the anti-reflector on the left and the second flash on the right, which brought out the edges rather nicely.
Our Daily Challenge - Apr 26, 2015 - "Square"
Daily Dog Challenge 1271. 1272. "The Right Light"
Stop on by Zachary and Henry's blog: bzdogs.com
It looked to be a good day for a hike in the foothills east of the Rocky Mountains, except for some wind. Snow was patchy on the trail in the lower reaches, but still manageable with just our boots. Once past the junction with Prairie Link Trail, we had to don our spikes to continue. A kilometre from the summit, however, the ridge had been swept free of snow, and we were back with just our boots without spikes. The same winds that kept the snow off the ridge top returned to pester and annoy us, cooling us down. We walked just over 18 km's, gaining just over 800 m's, and taking 5 1/4 hours to so.
* * * * * * * *
St. Mellion Golf Club's 2014 Mens & Ladies Club Championships started on the hottest day of the year so far, temperatures were well into the the thirties for the Saturday medal round on the Kernow Course. Mike Bush had set out some of the toughest pins ever seen on a course that was firm and bouncing. The temperatures were a little cooler for the second medal round on the legendary Nicklaus Course making the course much more manageable, although being the Nicklaus it was never going be easy! The presentation of prizes was hosted on the Nicklaus 18th green afterwards by Club Captain Robin Hancock and Lady Captain Sue Poole. A great weekend of Golf.
* * * * * * * *
To view the rest of my Photography Collection click on Link below:
www.flickr.com/photos/nevillewootton/sets
* * * * * * * *
Photography & Equipment sponsored by my web business:
We are UK's leading Filter Specialists, selling online to the Plant, Agricultural, Commercial Vehicle and Marine Industries.
* * * * * * * *
PLEASE NOTE: I take Photographs purely as a hobby these days so am happy to share them with anyone who enjoys them or has a use for them. If you do use them an accreditation would be nice and if you benefit from them financially a donation to www.sightsavers.org would be really nice.
* * * * * * * *
gmbh firmenwagen kaufen oder leasen: Bist du bereit, um Vorteile aus den neuen Tischlereien Bewertungen blau ziehen?
welcher Erfolg eines Tischlereien gmbh firmenwagen erstehen oder leasen Geschäfts hängt (auch: Antezedens): vielen Faktoren von (…) an gerechnet und du findest im folgenden sie wichtigsten Eckpfeiler. Herausgefiltert aufgebraucht tausenden Geschäftsabläufen und kopiert von erfolgreichen Menschen:
Inhaltsverzeichnis Tischlereien:
gmbh firmenwagen kaufen oder leasen Rangeleien Analyse in Michelau
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siegreich aufbauen
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gmbh firmenwagen kaufen oder leasen Marktpreisberechnung in Michelau
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Geschäfts- / Bueroadress in Michelau
Marketing & PR Erfolg
Erfolreicher Aussendienst (Michelau)
gmbh firmenwagen kaufen oder leasen Urteile
GesmbH firmenwagen kaufen Oder leasen Eigene Analyse bestellen
TOP gmbh firmenwagen kaufen oder leasen News Aktuell :
###NEWS###
überwältigend Konkurrenz Analyse fuer Tischlereien in Michelau:
Wafer direkten Konkurrenten sind:
Derzeit noch Konkurrenz los!
Derzeit noch kein weiterer Eintrag!
Derzeit noch kein weiterer Eintrag!
Taetigkeitsfeld – Unternehmenszweck – Informationen in Michelau:
Einzelhandel mit Möbeln, Bauelementen, Kaminen und Elektrogeräten als Reisegewerbe
herausragend Tischlereien kaufen hinein Michelau:
Fotokopien
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Massagen
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kann eine gmbh wertpapiere kaufen
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gmbh günstig kaufen
par exemple baut man hinein Tischlereien erfolgreich sein eigene GmbH aufwärts? ein und dasselbe steigert man jener Erfolg der eigenen Tischlereien Firma für verdongeln erfolgreichen GmbH Verkauf oder GmbH Kauf?
GmbH Gesetz: Tischlereien – tml>
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Die Geschäftsführer sind verpflichtet, für die ordnungsmäßige Buchführung der Gesellschaft zu sorgen.
wie etwa gut steht Tischlereien dar? Was zeichnet Kapitalgesellschaften mit hoher Bonitaet aus, die im Arbeitsgebiet Tischlereien taetig sind? (…) und so kann man Tischlereien GmbH kaufen? darauffolgend muessen Sie ins Gericht gehen (mit), vorausgesetzt, dass Sie Tischlereien käuflich erwerben wollen?
vorbehaltlich Sie Tischlereien käuflich erwerben wollen, sprechen Sie auf dasselbe hinauskommen mal mit ueber die Gesellschaft mit beschränkter Haftung Finanzierung oder vermittels.
Ein guter Finanzpartner ist das Rueckrat Ihres Erfolges!
Bewaehrt fuer den Autokauf hat sich rein Michelau der GmbH fahrbarer Untersatz Kauf Händler . da drüben gab es gerade vor 9 Tagen eine grosse Sonderaktion, bei der die Gesamtheit Alt Gesellschafter ihre Autos / Fahrzeuge und Dienstwagen für jene eigene GmbH aussergewöhnlich günstig (sich) zulegen konnten. Nur 5 Stunden später hatte fahrbarer Untersatz Händler die gleiche Sonderpreis Aktion! Es lohnt sich beim GmbH Auto Kauf genau zu schauen.
somit sollten Sie zwingend Leasing in Betracht ziehen, denn nichts ist opitmaler als ein gut ausgehandelter Mietvertrag. als Spezialist für GmbH / Kapitalgesellschaften und Firmenleasing hat sich an die brillant der Anbieter gearbeitet, außerdem wird er häufiger zustimmend in der Lokalen Presse erwähnt. und sind nicht so glücklich darüber, aber notfalls sind sie gegenwärtig dadurch noch bemühter, Ihnen ein besseres GmbH Leasing Angebot zu fahren. weiterhin hier sei erwähnt, dass es durch aus Sinn und Zweck macht auch zusätzliche Dinge zu mieten, (…) und so andere Maschinen, Computer obendrein Software.
bspw. stellt sich eine gute Tischlereien Bonität dar, bzw. was zeichnet eine Stirnlocke GmbH Kreditlinie oder GmbH Bewertung gar (fränk., bair.)?
vorbehaltlich bekommt Sie, wenn diese und jene Tischlereien kaufen im Rahmen (von) folgenden Grosshändlern deutlich bessere Einkaufskonditionen:
Derzeit noch kein weiterer Eintrag!
weiterhin können so überlegen, ob Sie nicht im Entferntesten mal bei folgenden Einzelhändlern aus vorsprechen, denn dort Erhabenheit in der Präteritum besonders oft triumphierend ein GmbH Geschäft abgewickelt und die Bewertungen sind durchweg reich bestückt als 4 Grund; 5 Sternen:
Derzeit noch kein weiterer Eintrag!
u. a. wenn Sie jetzt grade Ihre Tischlereien GesmbH verkaufen wollen, lassen diese sich am besten hier einen aktuellen Marktpreis berechnen: www.aktivegmbhkaufen.de
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.
Ihnen fehlt noch jene zündende Idee? Was halten diese von:
Täglich neue Ideen für erfolgreiche Unternehmen: Geschäftsidee, Marketing, Finanzen, Unternehmer, Strategie, Innovation, Internet.
Ges.m.b.H. Sitz, Firmensitz, Geschäftsniederlassung und der Raum zum Atmen des Geschehens: (die) Leute haben eins zusammen = Die Lage – Die Lage – Die Lage
beherrschend für ein erfolgreiches Geschäft ist der Standort wie Sie sollten ebendiese Überlegung zwingend in Ihre Planung einschliessen. Auf Schuld der bewerteten Angebote hier die unübertrefflich 5 Anbieter rein Michelau:
Derzeit noch kein weiterer Eintrag!
Marketing ist nicht alles – aber ohne Marketing ist alles nichts
Erfolgreiche Werbung ist dies Benzin für den Triebfeder des Erfolgs. ABER: was ist, wenn Sie Diesel statt Benzin mit Kraftstoff befüllen? holen Sie sich Die besten Leute für den Job und spüren Tag täglich den Erfolg!
Verkaeufer braucht das Grund und Boden! etliche Umsatz fuer Ihre Tischlereien GmbH nicht mehr befestigt einem Top Aussendienst und einer motivierten Verkäufermannschaft!
Sind Sie in jener glücklichen Lage und bieten eine Tischlereien geholt? zu einem späteren Zeitpunkt nichts wie ran und bauen die einen erfolgreichen Aussendienst auf. Die folgenden Geschäftspartner ritzen bereits mit den Hufen und (sich) anstellen auf ihre Chance:
Derzeit noch kein weiterer Eintrag!
Grundsätlich ist gerade in Relation auf den Aussenauftritt einer Gmbh rein Tischlereien die rechtliche und steuerliche Absicherung wichtig und sollte auf keinen Materie unterschätzt werden. zum Leidwesen können Tischlereien Geschäfte auch im Übrigen gehen. Die aktuellen Urteile hierzu sind:
selbige möchten gerne eine umfangreiche Analyse zu Tischlereien kaufen oder Ihrer GmbH kaufen? -> klickern Sie hier
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For a company starting with manageable risk of buying a GmbH is a good approach. Here’s liability is limited. When buying a GmbH Time and costs are saved. Many conditions, such as the Statute of formulation have already been met. Furthermore, the registration has already taken place in the commercial register. It is in any case a personal liability. Alternatively viewed the purchase of a GmbH is the safest solution
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Real العقارية وGmbHsVermögens- الأرض الشركات ذات المسئولية المحدودة باو GmbH المزيد من البناء والهندسة المدنية، وبناء الطرق
قم بإجراء
Real Estate GmbHsVermögens- ve arazi LLCs Bau GmbH inşaat ve mühendislik, yol inşaatı
her türlü mal alma ve İhracat Ticaret. Ulusal ve Uluslararası
www.aktivegmbhkaufen.de/news/gmbh-firmenwagen-kaufen-oder...
My alma mater, University of California at San Diego. Check out all the flicker pics tagged UCSD. It all looks so manageable from space. Notice the non-gridlike construction -- this is so it is not easy to march around campus with large groups. Also, there are very few straight roads from one place to another.
Für Kinder ist dieses Fähr-Floß, mit dem man sich aus eigener Kraft ans andere Ufer vom unteren Gasselsee am Seil entlang hanteln kann, eine kuriose Attraktion. Die Fährstrecke wird wohl etwa 30 Meter betragen und ist auch für nicht so starke Kinder gut machbar.
This ferry raft is a curious attraction for children, allowing them to pull themselves along the rope to the other shore of the lower Gasselsee lake. The ferry route will probably be about 30 metres long and is easily manageable even for children who are not so strong.
2.5, and the other S2 classes are attempting to simplify their clock designs so that the right balance between visual interest and technical complexity is established. Evaluation criteria are discussed and agreed with the class. We came up with the following rules:
1. No more than five parts. [Not including backing piece]
2. No more than thirteen edges.
3. No tiny little parts.
4. No really tight curves.
5. If possible, all parts should be the same colour.
6. Must collapse back to a square, circle or triangle.
7. Must be manageable in a six period build time.
All rules were agreed after the practical limitations were explained. Pupils were urged to, "design in simplicity". After all, if the model is not completed within the build time what we'll end up creating is scrap. Also, we're firm believers in Mies van der Rohe's famous line, "Less is More". A day rarely passes when somebody is not heard proclaiming this statement. And it really is true. Simplicity is harder to design than complexity. Good design should look effortless but it rarely is.
These pupils have really grasped this and are demonstrating some really clever ways of explaining their design thinking in diagrammatic form using arrows to sequence the stages their thinking goes through. Interesting. Well done you lot. Keep it up!
* * * * * * * *
St. Mellion Golf Club's 2014 Mens & Ladies Club Championships started on the hottest day of the year so far, temperatures were well into the the thirties for the Saturday medal round on the Kernow Course. Mike Bush had set out some of the toughest pins ever seen on a course that was firm and bouncing. The temperatures were a little cooler for the second medal round on the legendary Nicklaus Course making the course much more manageable, although being the Nicklaus it was never going be easy! The presentation of prizes was hosted on the Nicklaus 18th green afterwards by Club Captain Robin Hancock and Lady Captain Sue Poole. A great weekend of Golf.
* * * * * * * *
To view the rest of my Photography Collection click on Link below:
www.flickr.com/photos/nevillewootton/sets
* * * * * * * *
Photography & Equipment sponsored by my web business:
We are UK's leading Filter Specialists, selling online to the Plant, Agricultural, Commercial Vehicle and Marine Industries.
* * * * * * * *
PLEASE NOTE: I take Photographs purely as a hobby these days so am happy to share them with anyone who enjoys them or has a use for them. If you do use them an accreditation would be nice and if you benefit from them financially a donation to www.sightsavers.org would be really nice.
* * * * * * * *
www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/covid-19-herd-immunity-is-a-mir...
COVID-19 herd immunity is a mirage. Here's how the virus could become 'manageable' instead
Last May, “we had enough vaccination and natural immunity to have basically almost achieved a population level of immunity,” said Dr. Eric Topol. “We were getting down to fewer than 10,000 cases a day. We were looking good.”
Then the delta variant moved the goal posts.
With the original version of the virus that causes COVID-19, America's current vaccination rate of about 65% would have been enough to stop the spread.
"If we were dealing with the original, we have sufficient vaccination such that the large-scale pandemic would be over in this country," said Dr. Joshua Schiffer, a physician and mathematical modeling expert who studies infectious diseases at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle.
Unfortunately, the now-dominant delta strain is more than twice as contagious and requires more people to be immune through vaccination or previous infection for the virus to stop spreading, say experts.
“Now we need 85 to 90% vaccinated against delta,” said Topol, vice president for research at Scripps Research in La Jolla, California, and a national expert on the use of data in medical research.
It’s not an impossible number. In countries like Portugal, Singapore and the United Arab Emirates, upwards of 80% of the total population are now vaccinated, and cases and deaths are falling.
'Cannot believe we are here': 700,000 US COVID-19 deaths is a milestone we never expected to reach
That seems unlikely to happen in the United States, where only 55% of the total population is fully vaccinated, and 12% of Americans say are adamantly opposed to it.
Herd immunity is now effectively out of reach, said Stephen Kissler, an infectious disease fellow at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.
“I don’t think it’s realistic,” he said.
What is herd immunity?
The concept of herd immunity is simple: When disease sweeps through a herd of animals, the ones that survive become immune. Eventually, enough have what’s known as natural immunity, and the disease has so few animals left to infect that it dies down or evens out.
The concept got a lot of press early in the pandemic when various politicians and even nations suggested that if young, healthy people got mild cases and recovered, there would be enough immunity that the virus wouldn’t circulate anymore and vulnerable people would be protected.
This was before vaccines were available, and the United Kingdom, Sweden, Brazil and the U.S. under the Trump administration advocated the idea to varying degrees.
On one extreme was a group, which included Florida’s now surgeon general, that in October 2020 published the Great Barrington Declaration. It called for the world to end lockdowns and other transmission prevention measures and embrace herd immunity for COVID-19 to protect the vulnerable while allowing economies to thrive.
New Florida surgeon general Dr. Joseph Ladapo stands apart, agrees with governor on COVID policy
The idea was quickly denounced. With a death rate at the time of 1%, COVID-19 would have had to kill 3.2 million Americans for enough people to be infected to reach herd immunity.
For a time, the arrival of COVID-19 vaccines changed the calculation. If two-thirds of Americans had gotten immunized in the spring, the virus would have had so few new people to infect that it could have been largely stopped.
Then the delta variant hit.
At the same time, new data began to show natural immunity wasn't as protective as vaccination, and the benefits of shots began to fade after about six months.
Vaccine mandates: California becomes first state to announce plans to mandate COVID-19 vaccine for schoolchildren
More than a third of COVID-19 infections result in zero protective antibodies, said Dr. Mark Rupp, an infectious disease expert at the University of Nebraska Medical Center.
“I wish it weren’t true,” Rupp said. Many of his patients are convinced that having recovered from COVID-19 is all the defense they need.
The good news is that for people who’ve recovered from COVID-19, a single dose of vaccine gives excellent immunity, Topol said.
“You cannot replicate that with any vaccine we have," he said. "It’s pretty extraordinary.”
So far, Rupp isn’t having much success convincing his vaccine-resistant patients to get a shot.
“I've been pleading with folks,” he said.
When will the pandemic end?
With 55% of Americans fully vaccinated and at least 30% recovered from COVID-19 at least once, how is it possible the pandemic can still be surging in so many places?
America is a big country, and even a small number is a lot of people. While it’s hard to pinpoint the number of people not exposed to COVID-19 either through infection or vaccination, experts put it likely at about 15% of the U.S. population. That’s almost 50 million people – plenty to still be getting sick, said Harvard’s Kissler.
It’s also becoming clear that COVID-19 is not “one and done,” said Lauren Ancel Meyers, a professor of statistical and data science and director of the COVID-19 Modeling Consortium at the University of Texas at Austin.
Reinfection and breakthrough cases are changing the landscape of susceptibility as immunity wanes.
On October 1, the seven-day daily COVID-19 deaths in the United States were at 1,479, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
“I find it humbling that the leftover percentage, 15%, is still enough to overwhelm our health care system," said Schiffer.
Experts say endemic COVID-19 could make virus 'manageable'
The optimistic expectation, experts say, is that the pandemic will die down, and the virus will become one of the world's many endemic viruses that continue to circulate but cause much less disease and death.
It's predicted to become an infection that still sweeps through the adult population in the winter, sickening some but generally delivering serious illness only to the very old, those with compromised immune systems, and pregnant women who are unvaccinated, said Dr. Gregory Poland, editor-in-chief of the journal Vaccine.
“Once we get to the point where everybody has been exposed or vaccinated and if – and it’s a big if – COVID does what other respiratory illnesses do, it may be a disease that’s manageable,” said Jeffrey Shaman, an epidemiologist at Columbia University.
June 2021: How does COVID-19 end in the US?
February 2021: Health officials say the coronavirus will likely become endemic in the next several years.
Ideally, babies and toddlers would get it multiple times before making it to kindergarten, experts say. For the vast majority, COVID-19 would be mild as it is today for most young children. By the time they begin school, they would have pretty strong immune protection.
The COVID-19 vaccine would become one of the routine immunizations of childhood, probably requiring several doses and possible boosters if new variants appear, experts say.
Much like the flu, COVID-19 in the Northern Hemisphere is expected to be an illness that shows up in the colder months.
If infected, vaccinated adults would generally have mild or even asymptomatic cases. Unvaccinated adults would be at higher risk for severe disease. With age, the immune system becomes less robust, so annual COVID-19 shots would be especially important for those over 65 and the immunocompromised.
COVID-19 also would likely continue to mutate. In some years it would be very mild, in others more severe.
COVID-19 is still evolving
But will this virus follow the typical path of others that we come to live with?
“That’s the trillion-dollar question,” said Columbia’s Shaman.
There are no guarantees with SARS-CoV-2, which can so quickly mutate. The worst-case scenario is that it evolves into something even more dangerous or more contagious than delta.
"All that has to happen is for a new variant with a greater escape from immunity to come along, and we start all over again," Poland said.
Fact check: Yes, viruses can mutate to become more deadly
Public health experts have worried for years about a virus with the infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2 and the death rate of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV), which is 32% fatal.
Learning to live with COVID-19 means accepting uncertainty and staying ever-vigilant for what might come, said Rustom Antia, a professor of population biology at Emory University.
“Barring a miracle,” added Schiffer, “COVID will be part of our lives for the rest of our lives.”
Contact Weise at eweise@usatoday.com
PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS DESCRIPTION HAD BEEN ALTERED AS TO DATE AND ORIGIN.
This is a leaf from an early copy of Gregorius Magnus "Moralia in Iob" that was written c.775-800 probably in Switzerland at Saint Gallen near Lake Constance.
The text is from Book 33, Chapter 15 of the Morialia.
There are 30 lines in a pre Carolingian minuscule in dark brown/black ink and without rubrics.
Letter forms and various different ligatures initaly make the text quite difficult to read but it does quickly become manageable. The following should be noted: -
The diphthong “ae” - of the 20 occasions needed it is written out in full 15 times, as “e” with cedilla once (verso line 12) and as “e” only twice (recto line 8 and verso line30).
The letter “a” - written as “cc” on 210 occasions (including in diphthong), as “oc” twice (recto line 20 “valde” and verso line 10 “bona”) and with an uncial “a” twice (recto line 8 “di ma” and recto line 9 “avis”).
The letter “r” is in ligature with most letters that come after it and often has a long descender.
Tletter “e” is in ligature with most letters that come after it.
The letter “g” always has both bowls open as a “3”.
Ascenders and descenders are always long in “b”, “d”, “f”, “h” and “p”, and are sometimes clubbed.
Some examples of words that are very difficult read are as follows: -
Verso, line28 “teneret” Recto, line 28 “vero”
Recto, line 16 “serpens”
Word separation is not always as good as it could be which adds to the difficulty of reading the text.
The leaf has no illumination or decoration of any description.
The leaf is ruled in blind on the verso and prickings remain in the outside margin for all horizontal lines.
The size of the leaf is 257mm x 176mm (10 1/10ins. x 6 9/10ins.).
The size of the text block is 232mm x 140mm (9 1/10ins. x 5 1/2ins.).
PURCHASE DETAILS: -
Purchased from Giuseppe Solmi, Studio Bibliografico Restauro Libri Antichi, 40064 Ozzano Dell'Milia, Italy.
PROVENANCE: -
1. Expert opinion has been obtained indicating that the leaf is similar to manuscripts of scribes active, when Abbot Werdo (784-812) was abbot in Saint Gallen and pointing out that Saint Gallen manuscripts Codd. Sang 6 (i.e. p.2,12); Cod. 44 (i.e. p.85); Cod. 125 (i.e. p. 109); or Cod. 567 (i.e. p.135) are quite similar.
2. Obtained by Mr. Solmi in a small collection from a collector and manuscript expert in Paris, a Mr. De Coligny.
3. Received with Export Licence No. N. 342 dated 7th. July 2016 issued by the Italian authorities.
CONDITION: -
It looks as though the leaf has been used as part of a binding or as part of a folder. The top margin has been removed (without taking any of the text) and it is now somewhat rough, as is the inside margin. There is a natural flaw in the bottom margin that has been extended a little to the left by another very small loss of velum. The text at the inside edge at the bottom half of the recto, and in the bottom two lines particularly, is somewhat worn with the loss of a few letters. There are 17th./18th. Century notes on either side which do not detract and whilst the recto has browned the verso is quite bright. Overall, considering that the manuscript is all of 1200 years old, it is in very good condition.
GENERAL COMMENTS: -
This leaf is a truly superb addition to the collection. It is of great rarety.
Unable to afford anything like the London Eye, Loughborough council have downgraded their ambitions to something more manageable.
After a great breakfast at a small cafe we took the Scenic Drive into Capitol Reef National Park. It's mostly a paved road until the very end but still manageable. We spent a few hours exploring the area. When we left Capitol Reef we decided to look for something new. I read about the Notom Road, east of the park, so we decided to check it out. Good decision. We went in about 12 miles before the road got rougher. Great scenery - it is the back side of the Waterpocket Fold - another area we need to check out. We then drove through some really desolate landscape before coming to the Hite Overlook. Great view of the Colorado River in the Glen Canyon Recreation Area. After this we were going to visit some Indian ruins but took a wrong turn somewhere so we just headed to Cortez, CO for the evening. Good day.
I took these photos in April 2018 in south eastern Utah.
This blend is always a beautiful display but particularly this time around. It has a very nice manageable size of 5' tall that does not need to be staked.
Price AU $160,000
Vessel NameFreebooter
Year1974
Length39' 6" - 12.04m
Beam3.6m
Draft1.6m
Displacement12 ton
Keel / BallastLead, integral with keel
LocationNewhaven, Phillip Island
RegionVictoria
HINN/a
RegistrationON 355274
DesignerLaurent Giles
BuilderRod Levy
Hull MaterialFibreglass/GRP
Decks MaterialGRP
EngineM series naturally aspired 4 cylinder diesel, with dual controls (throttle, fwd & reverse) to aft steering station. Inventory of engine spares.
Engine MakePerkins
Number Engines1
Horsepower80 hp
Fuel TypeDiesel
Engine HoursAprox 3,000 hrs
Fuel ConsumptionAprox 3.5 l/hr
Max Speed8 kts
Cruise Speed6.5 kts
PropulsionShaft driven 4 blade propeller
ThrustersVetus 12512D 250mm 125 kgf fitted 2017
Fuel800 lt
WaterAprox 800 Lt
Dinghy2.4m Aquapro. Aft mounted davits, or can be stowed on deck forward of mast.
Outboard2 hp Mariner
CoversWheel house cover, aft wheel & pedestal cover.
AccommodationDouble berth aft cabin, 2 x single berths saloon, 2 vee berths forward cabin.
ShowerAft en suite, with hot water. Shower and wash basin discharge to aprox 60 Lt grey water holding tank
Toilet1 electric mascerating aft en suite, 1 electric mascerating forward. Aft toilet can discharge to aprox 60Lt black water holding tank, with pump out connections.
EntertainmentTV, DVD player, CD player/am fm radio.
GalleyU shaped configuration, double bowl sink, pressure fresh water (hot & cold). Foot pump saltwater. Sink discharges to grey water holding tank.
RefrigerationAprox 40Lt 12v galley fridge
FreezerChest style, aprox 80 Lt. Utec (Sydney) eutectic system, engine driven compressor with 12 v back up.
Hot WaterAprox 40 Lt
Ground Tackle200 ft aprox 7/16" chain, regalvanized 2017.35kg NZ plough, 25kg plough, 20 kg danforth.
Nilsson 2000 12v anchor winch, overhauled 2017, manual overide. Deck wash.
Safety Gear2 x life rings, 1 dan bouy, 1floating lifebuoy light. Full length Jack lines. Stainless steel boarding ladder.
Bilge Pumps1 x 12v bilge pump, 1 x manual Whale Gusher bilge pump
Life Raft6 person, not currently in survey.
EpirbGME 406, currently in survey, registered with AMSA.
Life Jackets2 x personal inflatable vests, 4 x standard life jackets
FlaresCurrent inshore flare kit
Fire Protection3 x fire extinguishers
ElectricsTotal wiring & new circuit board replaced 2006.3 x 100AH house batteries, 1 x 100AH engine starting battery ( new 2015). Bow thruster battery ( new 2017). 80 amp engine driven alternator. Battery usage & charge monitoring instruments. 2 x 240v AC circuits with 3 GPO's for shore power. 240v multi stage 12v battery charger. 12v propeller shaft alternator. Navigation lights, cabin lights converted to LED's.
Electronics / NavigationFuruno 32 NM Radar, Garmin GPS. Wind speed & direction & sum log instruments. Depth sounder. GME Electrophone VHF. TMQ AP4 Automatic pilot (new 2010). Older style Sharpe automatic pilot. Hydrovane (wind vane) self steering.
Sail InventoryCross cut furling (number 1) Genoa, furling (number 3) self tacking working jib, fully battened radial dacron Liesure Boom furling main, fully battened mizzen with lazy jacks, storm jib (for demountable inner stay). All sails new, by Hoods Sydney, 2015, except storm jib. Light weight MPS (old, but in excellent condition).
Mast / RiggingNew ketch rig (2015), including refurbishment of existing alloy mast & spreaders, new fabricated aluminium mast head fitting, sheaves etc, and fitting of Liesure Furl (NZ) in boom furling system. Furlex 304S headsail furling gear (new 2015). Refurbished mizzen mast to laurent Giles Design Office specifications (2015). All standing and running rigging replaced 2015.
Deck GearAll mainsail and headsail sheeting & reefing lines led back to wheel house. Liesure Furl in boom reefing operated by electric Harken self tailing winch (mainsail raising, & furling from wheel house). Upholstered rear seating, with stowage under.
RemarksFreebooter has recently (2017) been stripped of all old antifouling back to original gel coat, been treated in a few small areas for potential osmosis, had 3 barrier coats of epoxy applied, and is ready for extended trouble free cruising. The addition of dual station steering and engine controls, plus bow thruster, makes this yacht easily manageable in tight maneuvering situations.
[EN]Jimson weed - strong-smelling poisonous datura with large, trumpet-shaped white flowers and toothed leaves. It looks very interesting but it is really poisonous but in a timely intervention it is manageable...
[CZ]Durman - pěkně jedovatá/halucinogenní potvůrka
Making watermelon fresca at home.
Chop watermelon into manageable chunks and blend with water. Mix in lime juice and some agave nectar / honey. Stir well and pour over ice cubes, though not as many as I did. Add mint leaves if you have them. Say yum and drink.
This was once a Gulf outlet but it hasn't sold fuel for a long time and certainly not throughout Streetview although all the pumps were still standing in the earlier images. It used to known as the Ilketshall St Lawrence Service Centre, but of a mouthful so Linstead Garage now seems a bit more manageable! Just the one pump remains now, bit hard to see in this photo but easier in the other,
www.google.co.uk/maps/@52.3951722,1.4982622,3a,75y,301.8h...
This is the 60' upper waterfall. Wanted to visit the other two, but the sun decided to show and the contrast not manageable. See more in the Plotter Kill album.
Hereditary Hemorrhagic Telangiectasia (HHT) is a blood vessel condition that not many doctors or medical people have heard about. HHT has no cure as of now. We are affected in various areas of our body, nose, lungs, brain, liver, spine, heart, stomach, GI track bleeding is the most common thing that we have. If not detected by a doctor is can cause death. It is manageable if a doctor is familiar enough to treat.
"[portraits] capture the personality of the subject by using effective lighting, backdrops, and poses."
Yeah I think I got all that XD
Woke up an hour early this morning, lots of background stress about having to deal with today. But! As all anticipated dreadful days are generally want to do; it was actually manageable and a very useful experience!
Plans have been made for the work year ahead and all that's left to do is to crack on!
I hope you all had unexpectedly cheerful days! x
We were looking forward to a good hike with mild temperatures and little wind. The winds were much higher than predicted, but manageable. There was much less snow than we would have thought, considering we've above average snowfalls for this year. While the wind was annoying, the fact that wet snow would often clump to our boots was very frustrating... With all the ups and downs, we gained just over 800 m's on this very undulating 10.3 km return distance hike, but took 6 and a half hours to complete. The loveliest surprise was herd of Rocky Mountain Sheep near the true summit.
Lego set 398, the USS Constellation (mod).
Try and find the 10 differences...
Top: as per instructions
Bottom: my modifications.
In some ways, for me Lego design peaked between the Lego Hobby set cars (flic.kr/p/2cbqewa) from the early seventies and this set from the late seventies. It was after my big Lego time, but looking back now, these show pretty all I tried to do with Lego as a kid.
I love the earlier designs for cars lorries, trains and houses because they were simpler and because they were manageable with less bricks. But these were the super-sets of their time.
Created by Art Club @ Gaywood, Seabrook, MD
Teacher: Mrs. Combs
Title: Heroes
Theme: American Heroes
Materials and techniques: We had 10 members in the club during the creation of this piece. They were asked, when you hear the words, 'American Heroes', what images come to mind?
Students drew out some images in their sketchbooks and drew them on canvas. We used acrylic paint on gesso covered canvas.
Did you enjoy this project? We enjoyed working on this project because the surface was a manageable size to work on within the time limits given.
About: When people say American heroes usually one thinks of the military forces that serve and protect us. But there are heroes everywhere and our students decided to place a few heroes on the backdrop of our American flags colors. They are Martin Luther King, Jr; a police woman; rescue services and a symbol for the medical field.
Learn more about the Dream Rocket Project and how to participate at www.thedreamrocket.com
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St. Mellion Golf Club's 2014 Mens & Ladies Club Championships started on the hottest day of the year so far, temperatures were well into the the thirties for the Saturday medal round on the Kernow Course. Mike Bush had set out some of the toughest pins ever seen on a course that was firm and bouncing. The temperatures were a little cooler for the second medal round on the legendary Nicklaus Course making the course much more manageable, although being the Nicklaus it was never going be easy! The presentation of prizes was hosted on the Nicklaus 18th green afterwards by Club Captain Robin Hancock and Lady Captain Sue Poole. A great weekend of Golf.
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To view the rest of my Photography Collection click on Link below:
www.flickr.com/photos/nevillewootton/sets
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Photography & Equipment sponsored by my web business:
We are UK's leading Filter Specialists, selling online to the Plant, Agricultural, Commercial Vehicle and Marine Industries.
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PLEASE NOTE: I take Photographs purely as a hobby these days so am happy to share them with anyone who enjoys them or has a use for them. If you do use them an accreditation would be nice and if you benefit from them financially a donation to www.sightsavers.org would be really nice.
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I seriously tried to have an open mind about the flickr changes, but I sadly have determined that I do NOT like the overall flickr layout now.
Multiple issues:
First, I tend to post in series to avoid clogging the front of my stream with numerous photos. Now those comment photos are generally hidden after the first few comments are posted. I would want them to somehow allow the comment photos to remain visible.
Second, when I am following flickr, the words are just as important to me as the photos. Given the description is not visible when viewing a photostream (requiring clicking on each photo and scrolling down to see the individual descriptions), I am dissatisfied.
Third, amplifying my second concern, I cannot as readily use flickr to advertise felines. Why? Sets do not give the complete set description when the set is shown. That is where I post a timeline of information on the feline(s). Oh, I have found a way to open up the description, but it shows comments made on the set as well and does not have the set photos visible. Requiring multiple steps for people to see the info I want them to see is a nuisance.
There are glitches as well (anyone who has used the "organize" feature will have noticed some), but those are simply glitches that can be fixed in time. It's the above changes (plus others, I suspect) that have me disappointed with the current flickr. Granted, all are fixable. If flickr would allow photos to be posted in the description, the buried comments wouldn't matter. But, does flickr care?
I'll take some time to ponder the situation. It may even drive me to start a facebook page to advertise adoptable felines. For those of you who do facebook, would that be more manageable? For now, in orer to view the comment photos I posted, unless you are the first few to comment on the photo, will have to press the view additional comments line below. Personally, I think it's worth it to see Vidalia's HTT faces. All clickable, of course.
[SOOC, f/2.2, ISO 100, shutter speed 1/640, -1 EV]