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There's just as much equipment on that tripod as under that hood.
But speaking of equipment, here are some thoughts on the new Canon 1DX.
For those who haven't heard, Canon has just announced - but for March 2012 delivery - their first new pro camera in two years, the first new full-frame camera in over three years, and their first new full-frame pro camera in over four years. It is called the 1DX and it represents the long-awaited merger of the 1D and 1Ds lines.
It is 18 megapixels, which is more than the 1D Mark IV, but less than the 1Ds Mark III, and the same as every other current DSLR in their lineup except the 1100D and 5D Mark II. Other headline features are a 12-fps framerate (14-fps with a number of restrictions, but still at full resolution) and a top native sensitivity of ISO 51,200 (boosted up to 204,800).
For comparison, the two fastest cameras on the market, the 1D Mark IV and Nikon D3S max out at 10 and 9 fps, respectively - the latter can do 11 fps but only in reduced-resolution DX mode. The ISO comparison is even more eye-opening, as the 1Ds Mark III this replaces could only do ISO 1600 natively, and even the 1D Mark IV this also replaces could only do up to ISO 12,800 natively.
So on with the rhetorical questions:
Q: Is this the end of the megapixel war?
A: No. It is a necessary breather to allow Canon to unify the two 1D lines. The 1Ds and 1D lines share the same processors and thus have the same pixel-processing bandwidth. In the 1Ds line this fixed bandwidth was used to process more pixels per frame and in the 1D line it was used to process more frames per second. As per-frame megapixel count kept pace with Moore's Law, there was no power to spare to increase framerate to a level that would satisfy sports shooters - the people Canon built the EOS brand on. Either frame size or frame rate had to give, and Canon decided in favor of framerate - IMHO, the right choice for the vast majority of 1D buyers. But this only had to happen once - from now on, I expect the megapixel count to continue to keep pace with Moore's Law.
Q: If this is the replacement for the 1Ds Mark III, does that mean we won't see a higher-resolution full-frame camera from Canon for another 3+ years?
A: I suspect Canon will announce a much-higher-megapixel-count camera within 12-18 months. If I had to guess, I'd say a 32-36 megapixel full-frame sensor. The clues include hints dropped by Canon representatives that their decision to improve their already astronomically-good full-frame telephoto lineup was made in preparation for the next generation of cameras - why would your lenses have to be sharper for a lower-density sensor? - and the likelihood that Canon is not going to simply surrender the high ground to Pentax and their 645D. I don't put much stock in rumors of a square-format or medium-format successor to the 1Ds line, as Canon's lens lineup is both their cash cow and their number one strength, and those lenses would be either useless or seriously compromised on a larger-than-full-frame camera.
Q: How much faster will framerates go?
A: Not much, if any. At some point the mechanicals are the limiting factor, and I suspect that with a carbon-fiber shutter and given that 14fps was the max achievable in a film SLR (with a big motor attached), there's not much room for improvement. Anyways, much faster and we're crossing into the realm of motion pictures.
Q: How usable will that ISO 204,800 be?
A: I can only speak to my own tastes, but given that I've been satisfied with ISO 12,800 (out of a possible 25,600) on my 5D Mark II, and I expect the 1DX to be dramatically better at ultra-high ISO, I'd guess 51,200 will likely be usable (Canon included it in their standard range, after all, and Canon doesn't take decisions like that lightly) and possibly 102,400. In other words, I expect a two-stop improvement over the 5D Mark II or 1Ds Mark III.
Q: What makes you think two stops are probable?
A: I don't think it will be two stops better in every measurable way (I don't see how Canon could make a 4x improvement in a single generation), but in the way that counts to me - lack of obvious artifacts at normal viewing distances - I expect big improvements. Specifically, I expect Canon to greatly reduce the pattern noise seen in the 5D Mark II in low light. It's not that the 5D Mark II is all that noisy overall (compared, say, to the RAW output of my Panasonic GF1), rather it's the obvious grid pattern in the shadows at ultra-high ISO that distracts in those shots. This is something that can be fixed in circuitry - as opposed to being a fundamental quality of light or the limits of the light-gathering power of the camera system - and I expect Canon engineers are up to the challenge.
Q: Will you be buying a 1DX?
A: $6800? Heck, no.
Q: Will you be buying a 5D Mark III with this sensor/processing technology?
A: Not unless my 5D Mark II dies or is stolen. I'm saving up for a Prius c. 60mpg!
Any thoughts you'd like to share?
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