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Environment Canada predicts a colder winter with more snow than average. This past week has been wintry with 15 cm snow, freezing rain and fog. If this trend continues, the river may freeze up before the Christmas holidays limiting our paddle opportunities. Not a good thing for my 100 paddles project!
this evening in the western sky. This is unprocessed straight from the phone. The ISS is predicted to be even brighter at sunset here tomorrow.
It was predicted in the forecast....we chose not to believe it....we got it.
She always wanted a white wedding...but chose to have it in October for fear that guests would not show...9.7 inches of the white stuff later...she was right....some guests did not show, but it was the most beautiful day ever!
And now they are going from snow to sand...for their honeymoon.
I am super excited to get started on this one! But right now I am off to cook some chili on this snowy day.
I went out to catch a sunset landscape last night to give you a break from birds! The sunset predictor said a 10. Wowee, I was somewhat excited so went back to the the little Greek Orthodox Church down the road.
The predictor dropped to an 8 before the sunset. This isn't an 8 but the flashes of pink dancing in those wispy clouds were quite lovely for a few minutes. I took photo's of the sunset, my eyerolling daughter took selfies on the dirt road! Everyone went home happy.
Still waiting for that 10.
With two Fall storms predicted this weekend, I though a couple of pumpkin loaves to have with a hot tea might be just the thing. Bring on the wind and rain. We're ready!
I predict the Dip would have been super brief this year .... but it has been cancelled due to all the ice on the lake unfortunately. They plan on rescheduling for a later date - we'll keep you posted!
As predicted, the snow enforced a walk to work today although I did manage to hop on a bus about half way there. I didn't mind though as I got the opportunity to take a few photos en route.
*I've swapped the photo I originally submitted to the pool as it was a bit blurry!
During this session I was looking for a good autumn colors shot. The weather was predicting periods of light rain for the morning, but the atmospehere was definitely moist - which is always welcome. This was my final shot during this session. I was not sure how good this would turn out until I previewed this on my PC.
This is one of my very close friends. his name I Dan.
Here he is predicting a Vancouver Canucks win while we were watching the game last night.
I tried to be a bit creative with the pop up flash. It made the ball look cool.
This was taken in March 2013. Might be worth nipping up to this spot after work tomorrow, so glad I finish at 3pm :-)
Green Bee-eater हरियल पतरिंगा, पतुरी (Merops orientalis), like other bee-eaters, is a richly coloured, slender bird. It is about 9 inches (16–18 cm) long with about 2 inches made up by the elongated central tail-feathers. The sexes are not visually distinguishable. The entire plumage is bright green and tinged with blue especially on the chin and throat. The crown and upper back are tinged with golden rufous. The flight feathers are rufous washed with green and tipped with blackish. A fine black line runs in front of and behind the eye.
Bird Facts: Green bee-eaters may be capable of interpreting the behaviour of human observers. They showed an ability to predict whether a human at a particular location would be capable of spotting the nest entrance and then behaved accordingly to avoid giving away the nest location. The ability to look at a situation from another's point of view was previously believed to be possessed only by primates.
While predicting where the birds will overnight on this refuge is an iffy proposition, this shallow lake just off the tour-route road is a regular hangout. The trick is to check it out early to see if any pathfinder birds have already selected it. If so, they will continually vocalize to the overflying birds trying to entice them to drop down and join them (increasing safety in numbers). There are several blinds here that you can select for different vantage positions. It's still early, and this lake was eventually completely filled with overnighting birds.
IMG_4274; Sandhill Cranes
- www.kevin-palmer.com - Hooting owls cut through the frosty air. A quiet gurgling sound came from the open water on the Tongue River. Sudden snaps, cracks, and pops disturbed the stillness as river ice shifted. After staring at nothing for an hour, finally my eyes could see what my camera had already detected: a noticeable glow to the north. It could be mistaken for light pollution, except there were no cities in that direction. Slowly the glow increased in brightness before it broke out into a substorm. Pillars rose up from the horizon and drifted from right to left. In the past I’ve not had much success aurora hunting in the middle of winter. But there’s a first time for everything. After months of quiet, the sun recently came to life again. Numerous large sunspots are currently moving across the solar surface, spitting out flares and explosions left and right. So much activity all at once makes it difficult to predict exactly when the northern lights will show up next. But more displays like this are likely in the near future.
Chaos is the science of surprises, of the nonlinear and the unpredictable. It teaches us to expect the unexpected. While most traditional science deals with supposedly predictable phenomena like gravity, electricity, or chemical reactions, Chaos Theory deals with nonlinear things that are effectively impossible to predict or control, like turbulence, weather, the stock market, our brain states.
Something different, just for fun. I just associated the word "chaos" with the hurricane season and we'll have maybe a major hurricane next week...total chaos!
It predicted many indivdual design features of Fords over the following three years. While it was a 'pushmobile', the press releases stated that it was planned around a gas turbine engine.
RBC Is First Bank to Predict Canada Headed For Recession in 2023
Economy to contract by annualized 0.5% pace in middle of year
‘Inflation has been too strong for too long’: economists
By Randy Thanthong-Knight
July 7, 2022 at 7:33 AM EDTUpdated onJuly 7, 2022 at 11:54 AM EDT
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Royal Bank of Canada became the first of the country’s major banks to predict the nation’s economy will fall into a recession next year amid four-decade high inflation, historic labor shortages and aggressive interest-rate hikes.
In a new set of projections released on Thursday, Canada’s largest bank said it expects back-to-back quarters of negative growth in 2023, a situation economists refer to as a technical recession.
The recession call illustrates the extent to which Canada’s resource-heavy economy -- which has been benefiting from the recent boom in energy prices -- remains vulnerable to global economic headwinds and higher borrowing costs that threaten to stall expansions in most major advanced economies.
Canada’s central bank will need to continue hiking into the slowdown to temper inflation expectations threatening to entrench price pressures, RBC said.
“Though higher rates will technically push Canada toward a contraction, the Bank of Canada now has little choice but to act,” according to the report, which was written by economists Nathan Janzen and Claire Fan. “Inflation has been too strong for too long and is starting to creep into longer-run business and consumer expectations.”
Earlier this week, the central bank’s quarterly surveys of executives and consumers showed inflation expectations over the next couple of years have hit a record in Canada: 78% of businesses expect the consumer price index to exceed 3% over next two years.
Still, the recession in Canada will likely be moderate and short-lived by historical standards and will be reversed once inflation settles enough for central banks to lower rates, RBC said.
The Canadian economy is expected to contract by an annualized 0.5% pace in the second and third quarters of 2023, according to the new forecasts. Growth will average 0.8% next year, down from 3.7% this year.
As the economic contraction plays out in 2023, Canada’s unemployment rate will likely rise about 1.5 percentage points to 6.6%, they said, adding that it wouldn’t take long to unwind that weakness in 2024 and beyond.
Toronto Office Vacancies Rise to a Record on Recession Fears
Royal Bank projects the Bank of Canada will increase its benchmark policy rate to 3.25% by the end of this year, from 1.5% right now. The central bank is widely expected to hike the overnight rate by three quarters of a percentage point at its next decision on July 13.
RBC cited a number of headwinds facing the nation’s economy.
While Canadians continue to fuel a recovery in the travel and hospitality sectors and higher commodity prices have boosted the mining and energy industries, RBC said soaring prices are cutting into households’ purchasing power. The housiing market, meanwhile, is sliding in some regions with prices in Toronto down 11% in four months.
Canada will also feel the spillover from slowing global growth. The US unemployment rate is expected to climb and emerging markets will struggle with higher food and energy prices and borrowing costs, acting as a drag on Canadian exports.
Even without rate hikes, labor shortages would be hampering Canada’s economy as businesses struggle to find workers to grow, Fan and Janzen said.
Scientists predict that when climate change eventually leads to the extinction of the human species there will be a new dawn...
It will be the Jealopus that will evolve and take our place...
Snow begins to drift when wind speeds exceed a threshold velocity of 5 meters per second. Of course, the quality of the snow already on the ground has much to do with this too, and its physical composition changes with the drifting process. The mechanisms involved can be difficult to predict. Extensive research and complex equations have been created in efforts to make those predictions.
Likewise, the reasons for which the majestic snowy owl seem to drift southward in unpredictable irruptions every few years are just as uncertain. The reproduction and survival of these exalted raptors of the north seem to be intimately tied to those of a rodent, the lemming. So population growth of the birds and the lemmings are at least part of the reason that some of these birds have traveled as far south as Bermuda. Each year, it seems, at least a few birds manage to make it to our region. I hope we will have ample opportunity to see them again this year. #SnowyOwl
Experts make different forecasts: someone predicts a tough scenario, and someone is sure that the economy will not suffer much. Personally, I believe that any crises open up new opportunities, motivate, reveal our strengths and weaknesses, which should be worked on. Crises come and go, recession is replaced by growth. It has always been so. All that remains is not to panic, adapt and move forward.
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And what do you think about this? Should we wait for an economic crisis or not? What does it depend on? Share 🙏 in the comments.
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P.S. November is fully scheduled. An entry is open 📝 for December. All those who sign up for a photo shoot right now will get a great discount! Free dates are getting smaller, have time to book!
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#blackhair #eyewear #fashiondesign #fashionmodel #flashphotography #formalwear #jewellery #sleeve #thigh #waist #NikonD800 #safronoviv_photo
An international team of scientists have used data collected by the NASA/ESA/CSA James Webb Space Telescope to detect a molecule known as the methyl cation (CH3+) for the first time, located in the protoplanetary disc surrounding a young star. They accomplished this feat with a cross-disciplinary expert analysis, including key input from laboratory spectroscopists. The vital role of CH3+ in interstellar carbon chemistry has been predicted since the 1970s, but Webb’s unique capabilities have finally made observing it possible — in a region of space where planets capable of accommodating life could eventually form.
This image is NIRCam’s view of the Orion Bar region studied by the team of astronomers. Bathed in harsh ultraviolet light from the stars of the Trapezium Cluster, it is an area of intense activity, with star formation and active astrochemistry. This made it a perfect place to study the exact impact that ultraviolet radiation has on the molecular makeup of the discs of gas and dust that surround new stars. The radiation erodes the nebula’s gas and dust in a process known as photoevaporation; this creates the rich tapestry of cavities and filaments that fill the view. The radiation also ionises the molecules, causing them to emit light — not only does this create a beautiful vista, it also allows astronomers to study the molecules using the spectrum of their emitted light obtained with Webb’s MIRI and NIRSpec instruments.
The two very large, bright stars are two of the three stars in the θ² Orionis system — the Trapezium Cluster is also known as θ¹ Orionis. The brightest star here, θ² Orionis A, is surrounded by particularly bright and red puffs of dust, which are reflecting the star’s light towards Earth. Its great brightness — it is visible with the naked eye — is due to the fact that θ² Orionis A is itself a ternary system made of three closely bound bright stars.
There are more proplyds visible in this image than just d203-506 — the Orion Nebula is replete with such new stars. In the very top left, a tiny star is visible within a long, dusty cocoon. This globule has formed from the star’s protoplanetary disc, as the disc is broken down by the energetic radiation of the Trapezium Cluster. Around the globule, a round shockwave is strikingly visible moving through the gas of the Orion Nebula.
[Image description: A nebula made of many layers of cloudy, colourful material. The top-left side of the image is brightly lit, filled with wispy, thin material in pale shades of pink and blue. A thick bar of denser, cloudier material crosses diagonally at the bottom right. It begins as orange and grows darker and sparser down to the corner. Two very bright stars, with very long diffraction spikes, lie in this sparse area.]
Credit: ESA/Webb, NASA, CSA, M. Zamani (ESA/Webb), the PDRs4All ERS Team
Laut Aussage von:www.Nabu.de
Das Tagpfauenauge war Schmetterling des Jahres 2009 in Deutschland.
Ein Porträt des Tagpfauenauges: 🐛Anders als die hoch spezialisierten Raupen sind die Falter wenig wählerisch. Im zeitigen Frühjahr werden Weiden, Huflattich, Schlehen und Löwenzahn besucht, im Sommer mit Vorliebe rote und blauviolette Blüten.Das Tagpfauenauge, wissenschaftlich Inachis io, gehört zur Familie der Edelfalter, seine Flügelspannweite beträgt fünf bis sechs Zentimeter.Und wie bei Kleinem Fuchs, Admiral und Landkärtchen ernähren sich die Raupen nahezu ausschließlich von Brennnesseln, weshalb diese Arten auch als Brennnesselfalter zusammengefasst werden.Die jungen Raupen sind zunächst grüngelb gefärbt, später werden sie leuchtend schwarz mit weißen Punkten. Sie tragen fleischige, bedornte Fortsätze. Die Raupen treten in großen Nestern auf, sie leben also gemeinschaftlich und überziehen dabei mehrere Brennnesselpflanzen mit ihrem Gespinst. Bevorzugt werden dabei sonnige Standorte.Dank ihrer typischen Flügeloberseiten mit vier bunten Augen auf braunrotem Grund kann man das Tagpfauenauge kaum verwechseln. Die großen Augen sollen möglichst Fressfeinde abschrecken, umgekehrt dient die graubraune Flügelunterseite der Tarnung im zusammengeklappten Zustand.Anders als die hoch spezialisierten Raupen sind die Falter wenig wählerisch, mehr als 200 Nektarpflanzen wurden registriert. Im zeitigen Frühjahr werden Weiden, Huflattich, Schlehen, Pflaumen und Löwenzahn besucht, im Sommer mit Vorliebe rote und blauviolette Blüten. Wichtig sind dabei Disteln, Wasserdost, Flockenblumen und Skabiosen, Klee und Luzerne. Gerne fliegt das Tagpfauenauge auch Schmetterlingsflieder (Buddleia) im Garten oder auf Siedlungsbrachen und Bahnflächen an. 🐛
According from www.Nabu.de
A portrait of the daycare eye: unlike the highly specialized caterpillars, the moths are not very picky. In early spring, pastures, hoof slattish, slopes and dandelion are preferred to be red and blue -violet flowers in summer. The day -to -day eye, scientific inachis io, belongs to the family of the noble butterfly, its wing span is five to six centimeters. As with a small fox, admiral and country cards, the caterpillars eat almost exclusively from fuel, why are these types Also combined as a nettle butterfly. The young caterpillars are first colored, later they become bright black with white dots. They wear fleshy, so far. The caterpillars occur in large nests, so they live together and cover several nettle plants with their web. Sunny locations are preferred, thanks to their typical wing tops with four colorful eyes on a brown -red background you can hardly confuse the dayfall eye. The big eyes are supposed to scare as predictors as possible, conversely, the gray -brown underside of the camouflage is used in the composite condition. Other than the highly specialized caterpillars, the moths are little selective, more than 200 nectar plants have been registered. In early spring, pastures, hoof slattish, slopes, plums and dandelions are visited, in summer red and blue -violet flowers. It is important to thistle, water dost, flake flowers and skaboses, clover and lucerne. The dayfall eye also likes to fly butterfly lilac (Buddleia) in the garden or on settlement wasteland and railway areas.
They are predicting rain overnight and into tomorrow. We had been cool all day until the wind shifted. That brought in humidity and the cloud bank you see here started to form. We will most likely get a thunder shower overnight. They are not calling for severe weather.
This is what happens during the autumn months. We will keep getting changes in wind direction. From the northeast, it will be cool, from the southwest it will bring in warmer moist air and when they meet, depending on conditions, all heck can break lose. it can be anything from constant rain and windy to tornadoes and gale force winds.
A Hindi Woman tells predicts a clients future near Batu Caves in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
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For the first time in seemingly weeks Friday was predicted to be perfect bluebird weather. Coupled with the news just released the day prior that the Pan Am Railways acquisition by CSXT had been approved I figured I should skip my beloved ex Boston and Albany for once and go to the old Boston and Maine before the changes come. While it won't happen overnight, it will be quicker than we expect before blue dip or ugly patched GEs are rare and intermodal trains on District 3 are but a memory.
With that in mind a look at the turnover revealed that a 22K was tied down at Fitchburg scheduled for an early recrew to bring into Ayer and that an EDPO was out of East Deerfield headed east and counterpart POED was moving with work at Graniteville before going west. Throw in regular AYPO building in Ayer and it was an unusual busy morning to the point that you actually had to make a choice what you wanted to focus on!
Anyway, first up I headed here to find 22K (47th Street Chicago to PAS Ayer) tied down on Main 2 just west of CPF FG as outbound Keolis/MBTA train 403 trails away for Fitchburg and Wachusett on Main 1. The standard NS SD60E has a colorful BNSF and UP GE duo trailing making for some nice variety here in the morning sun just west of Bemis Road at MP 48.3 (from North Station via the Fitchburg Route main) and 328.3 (from Mattawamkeag, ME via Pan Am's Freight Main).
Fitchburg, Massachusetts
Friday April 15, 2022
The weather forecast predicted some NLC display so I headed out to see it. While quite nice the were visible just barely above the horizon. I was hoping for more clouds like this around the sky this setting allowed to see the milky way at the same time as the NLC - pretty cool :)
Anyway the sky was pretty bright, I had to choose ISO 1600 and even stopped down to f/2.8 to not overexpose the highlights (NLC). This lead to a generally low visibility of the night sky.
NLC happen mostly in summer and when viewed to the north. They are located in the Mesopause, about 90-100km above earth (imagine this, there are clouds in 'space'). Also I have never seen such pattern of clouds (apart from the forum post the other day). These clouds are the highest clouds by a big margin (nex would be 60km lower or so!)
August 4, 2023 - Kearney Nebraska
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Early August 2023...
Storms were predicted & delivered right after midnight. Severe Warned for high winds & hail... This was a sculptured outflow dominate storm. I learned a long time ago doing night storm photography that you have some extra light to make this happen. Not the light from the storm but I use the city lights to help paint the sky.
Sitting now on the so called edge of the city (always expanding). One the few last places I can get good clear view of the sky to the west without power-lines... Probably the last year I can take snaps from this location since there is construction going on all around.
I forgot one of my nice 4k cams with extra sensitivity for night... Figures I had everything ready but forgot to load the battery. Cam in hand I went to town with this set of images with this most impressive ominous overnight shelf cloud. This was an Night Time Eye Candy Storm. What a beauty!
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Predicted weather forecast for this morning sounded promising... so took the plunge, got up in the dark and drove an hour to this spot (Chalky Beach, NSW; Australia) eager for what might happen.
The image you see here was taken during a 10 minute splash of color!
I managed a couple of other keepers during this brief episode and will post them later..
Hope you like this one - thanks in advance for any comments, views or favorites - always very much appreciated!!!
Hope you have an awesome day and weekend!!
The folklore of using wild persimmon seeds (from the native American persimmon tree, Diospyros virginiana) to predict winter weather is a longstanding tradition in the United States, particularly in the South, Midwest, and Ozarks regions. It's often described as an "old wives' tale" or nature-based prognostication, similar to reading woolly bear caterpillars or squirrel nest heights. Of course, they were never considered as accurate as the famed Farmers' Almanac.
Here’s the traditional meaning of each shape found inside a wild persimmon seed:
Spoon (or shovel):
Predicts a cold, snowy winter with lots of heavy, wet snow that you’ll have to “scoop” or shovel.
Fork
Predicts a mild winter with little snow, light powdery snow, or generally dry conditions.
Knife
Predicts a bitterly cold, harsh winter with piercing winds that “cut like a knife,” often icy but not necessarily snowy.
Top temperature predicted this week by the kind folks at the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM or as we used to call it, the Weather Bureau - why a Bureau though?) is a humid 35C. Sounds like no-one has told them it's now Autumn! Putting that aside, we were down the back alleys of Fortitude Valley in Brisbane and I noted these old commercial buildings (read shops and maybe Bubbles Bath House - whatever that could be!!!!) with four old brick chimneys. Well, they are old and back then of course before Global Warming it seemed to get colder for sure in winter. Chimneys are not rare in Brisbane at all on older buildings but I do wonder even then how many times they were lit up.
Thanks to everyone for your kind enquires about my hearts progress this last week, that support is greatly appreciated. After all the tests, they have confirmed that my heart has deteriorated in terms of its pumping capacity since my last echo sound three years back. Well, that's the heart failure for you I guess. It's kind of relentless. One happy note amongst a sea of bad (my blood pressure is also very low too which goes with the above)...when I started my cardio vascular journey as a 34 year old it was high enough 240/150 to blow my head off and get rushed immediately to hospital. My doctor at the time thought his blood pressure machine (it has a name but I can't spell it) was broken and took three readings on two machines. I have battled high BP since and it's an unpleasant change really to swim to the other end of the pool as low BP is harder to treat.
Anyway, the happy note was that I also had a four hour stress test on my heart, that test is a chemical one (walking on a treadmill uphill would kill me) so they do CT's before and after filling you with chemicals that mimic stressing your heart and radio active tracers that allow them to see your heart arteries and muscle - the upshot of which was 13 years after my quadruple by-pass, the arteries are at least still good, despite all those chocolates that our neighbour gave us at Christmas etc etc etc!
So now I am on new drugs for me and new drugs on the market that hopefully will strengthen my heart a bit without lowering my BP further. It's kind of a Catch 22 and complicated journey. I know that many of you have your own to make and of great challenge...getting old isn't all line dancing and orchid growing! Have a happy weekend everyone. And thanks again.
The weather forecast predicted heavy snowfall. The temperature was about -15C. The relentless wind out of the south-east had a familiar bite.
This female Snowy Owl is big and she is beautiful. After having been on foot for more than 90 minutes to reach this area I had decided to change locations because the wildlife activity was quiet. There was a couple more areas I wanted to explore. Not more than 30 seconds later I looked to my right and saw something white, at a distance.
I raised my camera and took a look and there she was. She had seen me but due to the distance between us she remained unconcerned. I took a few shots and moved closer. Every 50 feet I would take a series of shots as I made my approach. She remained relaxed and I'm certain that the weather conditions made her feel right at home.
She may have felt comfortable in this deep freeze but my fingers were so cold that they were starting to not function. Yes, I have to wear better gloves and I remembered I had a long walk ahead of me to get out of here, so I decided to start my exit. I would also be losing light soon and the decision to leave was an easy one.
The weather was predicted to be overcast and rainy this morning ...so l wasn't expecting to get any sunrise photos ....but while l was drinking my coffee and listening to all the bad news about the world on tv ...l happend to notice some color through the window in the eastern sky ....so l grabbed my camera and went outside and got a few shots ....
It was a strange sky, because there was actually a fine drizzle of rain falling ...and the colors faded to a dull gray just a few minutes after these pics .......and the sunrise itself was gray and colorless ...
Thanks for the visit ...wishing you a nice week :-)
This is from my early year trip to the desert east of San Diego. The winds were 20 mph plus that day which made it a rough outing. Little did I know at that time that this was a sign of things to come. This year has been my toughest yet in finding butterflies, primarily due to a staggering 4 year drought. A El-Nino is being predicted for this winter. I'll believe it when I see it but also welcome the rain. If the rain comes in good numbers, 2016 could be an amazing year for nature photography here in Southern California. Plum Canyon, Anza-Borrego Desert State Park, San Diego County, CA.
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