View allAll Photos Tagged Predictive
It's really hard to predict when a sunset will be good for stacking. I thought that last time lapse would come out well in lighten mode, but actually darken mode worked better. This picture is the result f keeping the darkest pixel at each point of the previous time lapse video (and then boosting brightness and colors, which tend to come out dark and muddy from all the blending). You can also see the paths of a bird and a rower on the water.
Lots of acorns this year. It seems that acorn production is one of those bits of folklore that was once used to predict the severity of the coming winter. Many acorns = severe winter. Apparently now disproven by science which has determined a number of theories behind the size of the crop.
During sunset, a cloud flew in in an amazing shape (a bird, a dragon, and maybe an angel ...)
A little understanding of the physics of cloud formation underscores the complexity of the atmosphere and sheds light on why predicting weather for more than a few days is such a challenge.
Six types of clouds you can see and how they can help you understand the weather.
1) Cumulus clouds - On a sunny day, rays warm the earth, which heats the air located directly above it. The heated air rises upward due to convection and forms cumulus clouds. These “good weather” clouds are like cotton wool. If you look at the sky filled with cumulus clouds, you can see that they have a flat bottom, located at the same level for all clouds. At this altitude, air rising from ground level cools down to the dew point. It usually doesn't rain from cumulus clouds, which means the weather will be good.
2) Cumulonimbus clouds.
Small cumulus clouds do not rain, but if they grow and grow in height, it is a sign that heavy rain is coming soon. This often happens in summer when morning cumulus clouds turn into cumulonimbus during the day. Cumulonimbus clouds often have a flat top. Air convection occurs inside such a cloud, and it gradually cools until it reaches the temperature of the surrounding atmosphere. At this moment, it loses its buoyancy and can no longer rise higher. Instead, it spreads out to the sides, forming the characteristic anvil shape.
3) Cirrus clouds form in very high layers of the atmosphere. They are smoky because they are composed entirely of ice crystals falling in the atmosphere. When cirrus clouds are carried by winds moving at different speeds, they take on a characteristic curved shape. And only at very high altitudes or at high latitudes, cirrus clouds give out rain that reaches the ground.
4) Stratus Clouds - A low-lying, continuous cloud sheet that covers the sky. Stratus clouds are formed by slowly rising air or gentle winds that cover the cold land or sea surface with moist air. Stratus clouds are thin, therefore, despite the gloomy picture, it is unlikely to rain from them, a little drizzle at most. Stratus clouds are identical to fog, so if you've ever walked in a mountainous area on a foggy day, you've been inside a cloud.
5) Lenticular clouds. Smooth and lenticular lenticular clouds form when air is blown up and over a mountain range, and as it travels over a mountain, the air descends to its previous level. At this time, it heats up and the cloud evaporates. But it can slip further, as a result of which the air rises again and forms another lenticular cloud. This can result in a chain of clouds extending far beyond the mountain range. The interaction of wind with mountains and other surface features is one of the many details that must be taken into account in computer simulations to obtain accurate weather predictions.
6) Kelvin - Helmholtz like a breaking ocean wave. When air masses at different heights move horizontally at different speeds, their state becomes unstable. The boundary between the air masses begins to ripple and form large waves, such clouds are quite rare.
The photo was taken in the city of Konakovo. Russia. On the banks of the Volga River.
T-Minus two hours. It's been months since I've been out nightscaping and I'm feeling like Rip VanWinkle, as I am throwing my gear in the car on my way to the Nightscape Photography Conference In Moab Utah.
So proud to announce that I have been invited to speak at the conference.......Wait, wait, hold-up. I'm not sure if I was "invited" It was more like I finagled my way into a spot on the staff, It's really a bizarre story too hard too believe, but to make a long story short, after talking to Royce Bair on the phone I managed to, via Royce's kindness land a spot in a side conference room.
That quickly changed to two presentations and two workshops. I have spent the last two years preparing a line of products that teaches the techniques I use in the field to navigate, plan alignments and predict the weather.
I think I found a niche.
The Smart App bootcamp sold-out in 5 Hrs. Whaaaat!
Wait, it gets better. Well maybe I will save that for my next post.
I should mention that Wayne Pinkston had a hand in my participation there, he has got to be the coolest "Night walker" on the face of the Earth.
Thanks Wayne and Thanks to Royce as well. You guys are two amazing people!!!
Wish me luck my friends!!!
Thanks as always, for taking the time to take a look at my photos, and reading my descriptions.
I am always grateful for your views, comments, faves, and support, they are truly appreciated!! Have a great day my friends!! :)
Always Respect Mother Nature And Your Fellow Man, So:
****TreadLightly>LeaveNoTrace> PackItIn/PackItOut****
The weather forecasters are predicting that we might get some winter weather in the next few days, so far we have got off relatively lightly . I doubt however it will be as cold as Arctic Norway this was taken around lunchtime in December and whilst there was no sunlight, the snow does make it appear brighter then I was anticipating . The light has an unusual blueish tone through the short Arctic day .
The image is looking down toward the Malangen fiord about thirty miles south of Tromso
THANKS FOR YOUR VISITING BUT CAN I ASK YOU NOT TO FAVE AN IMAGE WITHOUT ALSO MAKING A COMMENT. MANY THANKS KEITH. ANYONE MAKING MULTIPLE FAVES WITHOUT COMMENTS WILL SIMPLY BE BLOCKED
The groundhog predicted an early spring here in Ottawa. Right now we’re being hit by another big snowstorm and I’m not very optimistic about the prediction. I haven’t been able to take many photos with the frigid temps and cold this winter so I’ll be digging into my older files for a while.
Here’s hoping this little gosling will bring some luck and is taking his first tentative step forward into spring!
Have a great weekend Flickr friends. Tina and the Puglets xo
I would like to thank all of you that have taken the time to view and comment on my photos, it is very much appreciated.
Chase the morning fog at Grizzly Peak Berkeley this time. It was bit early when I predicted the fog would come to the bay. Well, I was so lucky to see it with my friends! The lucky one as one of my favorite fog shot.
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08-november-2021: in the beautiful mountain environment between "Sella Nevea" Ski Resort (1162m a.s.l.) and Plains (1551m a.s.l.) of mount "Jôf di Montasio" (2754m a.s.l.), the summit in the background of this shot.
Well it certainly took a little longer than the predicted 5hr journey time to get there. Nine hours with only one stop for coffee and recharge the battery for my phone.
Two bad accidents on the A19 and the M90 created tailbacks for over ten miles. On both occasions we stood still for over an hour.
So you can appreciate the delight the next morning, when we were treated to this beautiful sunrise behind the castle.
Named after it's Gaelic name, Dun Fhoithear, literally meaning "fort on the shelving slope"
As far as castles go, it's difficult to imagine a more remote and dramatic location than Dunnatar.
Perhaps with the most impenetrable position of all Scottish castles, this one sits on top of it's own cliff peninsular on the road to Aberdeen, defended on all sides by the forces of nature.
Dunnatar Castle also comes with a good dose of dastardly history with an intrepid mix of torching, smuggling and pillaging.
Add to this some seriously stunning scenery and vistas to rival the best.
There are 50metre high cliffs on three sides of the site. While those are pounded by the North Sea, the fourth is joined to the land. This section was once a peninsular, but it's access was destroyed in favour of a cliff pathway. As a result you can only reach Dunnatar via a narrow, twisting route that ends in a tunnel, making it one of the most difficult Scottish castles to get into.
Strong winds and rain predicted for today and this evening, so Marnie and I had a good walk this morning. Here's my goodbye to 2024.
To be honest, I'm hoping the weather will be bad enough this evening to put off lots of the fireworks, as they really do cause Marnie a lot of trauma, and therefore, me too !
Whatever the weather, have a good night and an even better 2025 my Flickr friends !
Thanks for all your support in 2024 -- so appreciated !
😃
I am wearing:
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Wasabi Pills hair - Tsukiko, exclusive for Kagami Event (NEW)
Izzie's "Body & Face Beach Sand" appliers
Catwa head - Jessica
Maitreya Lara body and Bento hands
Lara Hurley skin - Beth
The pose is from Luanes World poses - " Predict the Future " - exclusive for Indie Teepee 2017 opening july 21st (NEW)
This year the FFF+ have decided to have a monthly challenge called "Freestyle On The Fifth" (FOTF).
This month it was Margaret’s turn to choose the theme, and she chose “Sunset”.
This image was taken on the evening of my Mangrove tree expedition. On the return from Coronet Bay, we stopped for ice-cream at Tooradin where the river meets the sea. I was kind of hinting at hanging around for sunset but everyone was tired. The stupid sunset app predicted a 6 (out of 10) so I felt O.K about heading home and missing it. Around sunset I was looking out the car window and congratulating myself on the sensible decision of putting my family first. The sky looked uneventful. I closed my eyes to relax for a few minutes when the eye-roller said look at the sky now and started snapping away with her phone. I had that sinking feeling you get when you miss the opportunity for a shot when I realised we were not too far from the turn off to Westgate Park. Would I make it on time ? I asked if everyone was O.K with the detour. They were. Phew. So within five minutes I was running out of the car with camera and tripod, all fumbles trying to set up as quickly as possible before it all disappeared . The colours in the sky were the best I had witnessed in awhile. A beautiful ending to a lovely day.
Apologies it is not a creative sunset shot for the challenge but I am snowed under with work and my time is limited. I am also at a reduced commenting pace at the moment too. Damn this having to work business!
“If the oak is before the ash,
Then we’ll only get a splash,
“If the ash is before the oak,
Then we’re sure to get a soak”.
This West Country, (UK), rhyme, indicates that the tree that gets it’s leaves first, predicts either a dry or wet summer.
The ash trees in this photo were just beginning to come into leaf on 22nd of April, while the oak tree in the background already had a good covering of leaves. The oaks are usually one of the last trees to get their new leaves, this year they were very early. It remains to be seen how accurate the rhyme proves to be in predicting the summer weather!
Light Filter dark clouds and an odd light filter through the trees predicting rain to come soon, shot in North Carolina.
I predict that the dividing line will not be Mason and Dixon's, but between patriotism and intelligence on the one side, and superstition, ambition, and ignorance on the other :-)
Ulysses S. Grant, 1875
HSS!! Truth Matters! Science Matters!
japanese flowering quince, 'Atsuya Hamada', j c raulston arboretum, ncsu, raleigh, north carolina
Kral KOYU
Gazipasa
The unknown or predicted history of Gazipaşa goes deep within the historical perspective. In general, this historical adventure begins in the 2000s BC. The Luwians, a branch of the Hittites, lived in the region that the Hittites called the Kizzuvatna (Çukurova region) and Arzava (Antalya region) countries. Since Gazipaşa is in this region, it is highly probable that the historical journey of the district started with the Luwians - Hittites. As a matter of fact, the lion remains in the ruins around Karatepe (Sivaslı) confirm this information.
Another important milestone in Gazipaşa's historical journey is 628 BC. There are two cities in history with the name of Selinus. Selinus, which was founded as a city-state at this date by the Greek Cave-Hyblaia people in Sicily, and Selinus in the south of Anatolia. It is a port city established in the Cilicia Region and on both sides of the Hacımusa (Kestros) Stream. Its castle, on the other hand, is at the location of the current castle ruins and was an island at that time. From here, maritime trade was carried out with the trade centers of that day, especially Egypt.
The city, which passed from the Greek administration to Roman rule in 197 BC due to Antiochus, was built in AD. In the 1st century, the Roman King Trojan, who went on the eastern expedition of the Mediterranean coast, got sick and came to the port of Selinus and was the guest of a merchant's house. Hadrian, who would succeed him on the throne, came to Selinus and took the corpse to Rome, and had a tomb built in commemoration. For this reason, it is known that Selinus was called Traianapolis for a while, and in the Christian period, it was the Episcopal center affiliated to the Archbishopric of Seleukeia - Silifke. The period of the Roman Empire, which started in the 1st century BC, continued until the 6th century in Gazipaşa, which is within the Anatolian borders of this state.
M.S. Starting from the 6th century, the Southern Mediterranean was dominated by the Byzantine Empire, in the first half of the 12th century, it was attached to the Armenian Kingdom of Cilicia, and in the period of the Turkification of Pamphylia together with Gazipaşa, Antalya and Alanya, Selinus became the ruler of the Seljuk Sultan Alaaddin Keykubat I in 1221. In the year 1225, Alanya was started to be known as Selinti because of the fact that the five big streams that originate from the Taurus Mountains and flow through the city center and mix into the sea from here until 1225 cause floods from time to time. However, the conquest of the Seljuks, except for Alanya, was short-lived and the Armenians, who took advantage of the defeat of Gıyaseddin II by the İlhanlılar in the Kösedağ War in 1243, recaptured this place and remained in their hands until the conquest of the Karamanoğlus in 1275. During the Mongolian invasion of Anatolia in the 1270s, Selinti was located within the borders of Konya and its affiliated regions of the Anatolian Seljuk State.
During the period of Anatolian principalities, Antalya and its surroundings remained in the Teke Principality since 1335, while Alanya, Selinti and the eastern and northern regions came under the rule of Karamanoğulları, whose center was Konya.
Gedik Ahmet Pasha, the Commander of the Naval Forces (Captain Derya) of Fatih Sultan Mehmet in the Ottoman Period, took Alanya in 1470 and Selinti, Anamur and Silifke regions in 1472 from the Karamanoğlu Principality and included them under Ottoman rule. Famous traveler Evliya Çelebi states on page 126 of his famous Travelogue, "In the 18th century, Selinti accident is a town within the borders of İçel (Mersin) with 26 villages connected to Silifke Sanjak and paying a tax of 80 coins annually. It is surrounded by well-kept mosques and houses by the sea. It has lush green mountains. It has a pier 70 miles from Cyprus."
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The forecast predicted clouds, so arising early I brought coffee and cameras to the roof.
It was very pleasant, about 40ºF and almost windless. I found that I miss the old swamp cooler, the top of which made a nice table for my gear.
he predicted yesterday didn't happen today :-) Laurence J. Peter.
pink flowering japanese apricot, 'bonita', j c raulston arboretum, ncsu, raleigh, north carolina
When your up in Algonquin Park and they are predicting the storm of the season, this is what you do! Oh and hunker down for an extra night, be safe on the roads everyone.
Packard was an American luxury automobile marque built by the Packard Motor Car Company of Detroit, Michigan, United States, and later by the Studebaker-Packard Corporation of South Bend, Indiana. The first Packard automobiles were produced in 1899, and the last in 1958, with one of the last concept cars built in 1956, the Packard Predictor.
52 Weeks of 2022. Environment.
Dragonflies are an ancient family of insects. They have been around for 300 million years and predate the dinosaurs. There are over 5,000 species spanning all continents except the Antartica. They are important bio-indicators for environmental health both of water and land.
Our daughter has been madly buying Christmas costumes for Bella, her deaf red Australian Cattle Dog who just turned 5 in hooman years - the caveat of course is that Bella isn't impressed with this dressing up at all. She just wants Rudolf's bones! I have borrowed her photo for a Monday morning smile. Have a great week everyone, I may be a bit scarce this week. Brisbane is expecting a mid week heatwave then cooler on Friday. Hope yours is better than our predicted three days at 35C.
This is not a perfect photo, but the red fog, especially against the American flags, seemed ominous. I was walking down W. 33rd Street, between Broadway and Seventh Avenue, to Penn Station, and had passed the Empire State Building, which was almost totally obscured by the fog, on the previous block. I'd love to take this again, with more care, but one cannot predict the weather, especially fog. -- NYC -- January 21, 2017
As predicted by this years "Finch Forecast" there's been a relatively healthy influx of Evening Grosbeaks into Northeast Ohio. I say "relatively" because the population of these beautiful birds has been declining in recent years thought to be a result of the destruction of large areas of their boreal breeding grounds. Let's hope this can be addressed to help keep the numbers from decreasing. A huge thanks to one of Cuyahoga County's most talented birders who discovered this lovely finch.
As landscape photographers, we love and always look for color and texture in the sky. On this little scene, we had a lot of both: Fine cloud structures and a beautiful rainbow. The problem with this phenomenon is that they can hardly be predicted. This makes it hard to frame them in a good composition. Here, with the nice, blooming buttercup meadow as a foreground we were pretty lucky.
May 2021 | Swabian Albs
© Max Angelsburger Photography
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“One heart is not connected to another through harmony alone. They are, instead, linked deeply through their wounds. Pain linked to pain, fragility to fragility. There is no silence without a cry of grief, no forgiveness without bloodshed, no acceptance without a passage through acute loss. That is what lies at the root of true harmony.”
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with a predicted 18 to 24 inches of snow hitting this week in North Dakota, it's nice to see some positive signs of spring...these flowers will get buried, but will survive, with the extra moisture, hopefully they will really take off and bloom more.
As predicted a CME (coronal mass ejection) sparked a strong G3 class geomagnetic storm yesterday. Thankfully it cleared after midnight and I was able to witness some very colourful displays, even seeing red rather than just what the camera picked up. The storm is ongoing with another possible impact to come. From Space Weather:
"The lights spread across multiple US states including Oregon, Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Idaho, Montana, New Jersey and North Dakota. At maximum, the lights descended as far south as Colorado."
Weather app predicted 💯 low cloud cover - so I drove to my favorite woodland and was greeted by constant rain, zero wind and zero mist. Which seems to happen everytime I'm up that way. So I continued on and found paths that I hadn't walked before which for woodland I've walked through many mnay times was awesome. Most paths are either dog runs cyclists, or footpaths. But they sometimes throw up magical tree shapes, if upur really lucky 100 year old beech trees which survived the 1985 hurricane 🌀 which are now showing signs of age and fungal infections. They aren't long for the Tree world. So I've been photographing some of them recently they are so huge its hard to fit them in a frame. You can see the one of them in the previous photo I posted.
#Monochrome #CloseUp #Darkness #Black #FullFrame #Wet #Backgrounds #Drop #blackandwhite #structure #tree #woodland
They predicted wet and heavy snow from Winter Storm Riley. I think they nailed that one. The ground was bare and waterlogged when it started last night, and the temperature has remained above freezing, yet the snow has become quite deep by mid-day and is still coming down strong. I just saw a line snap outside my window, and there are broken branches in the back yard. It all looks quite beautiful though, with the big flakes coming down.
(update: This tree returned to it's upright position as the snow melted quickly, but another storm is rolling in already, Nor'Easter Quinn)
Le Solar Orbiter, fruit d'une collaboration internationale entre la NASA et l' Agence spatiale européenne (ESA), a été lancé en février 2020. Depuis, il a acquis des données qui aident les astronomes à mieux comprendre la volatilité de la surface solaire et à prévoir les tempêtes solaires.
Grâce à ses dix instruments de pointe, il s'agit du laboratoire scientifique le plus complexe jamais envoyé par l'humanité vers notre étoile la plus proche. L'un de ses plus grands exploits à ce jour est d'avoir obtenu la plus large vue haute résolution du Soleil jamais réalisée.
°°°°°°°°°°°°
The Solar Orbiter, an international collaboration between NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA) launched in February 2020. Since then, it has acquired data that helps astronomers better understand the volatile solar surface and predict solar storms.
Aided by its 10 state-of-the-art instruments, it is the most complex scientific laboratory sent by humankind to our nearest star. One of its biggest feats to date is having taken the widest high-resolution view of the sun ever achieved.
Credit : Photo : ESA et équipe NASA/Solar Orbiter/EUI, E. Kraaikamp (ROB) ( CC BY-SA 3.0 IGO )
As predicted it was cloudy... in fact it was "light fog". I gave up waiting (and hoping) and headed 40 miles east where I managed to find a small gap in the clouds to photograph the eclipse in a tiny village with a nice old church. This explains the crosses.
I took this with my 10 stop Lee Big Stopper filter as it seemed the best way to deal with some of the risks of looking at the sun. I also used the LCD display.
My video of some of it www.youtube.com/watch?v=csrKtVId7tQ&list=UUStMh9z7-hJ...
A Gallic druid predicted the meeting of Mona Lisa and Napoleon, 400 BC. This memorable meeting took place at Waterloo, in 1815 and so Napoleon received from Leonardo an object capable of dynamizing communications. I am not authorized to say that it was an Apple cell phone designed by Da Vinci and made in China. And also thee was a revolutionary copy of Charlie Hebdo newspaper of which Mona was editor since remote times. Buthow is contact between people from different eras possible? Well, Albert Einstein said that time and space are relative, but what really intrigues me is: why did Napoleon always keep his hand inside his coat ?
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The annual Liverpool Santa Dash event marked its 20th festive race in the city, with thousands of people donning their beards, hats and red (and blue) suits to race along the 5k route around the city centre in support of Claire House Children's Hospice. It is predicted that around 8,000 people took part in the charity event.
the course took runners through the Royal Albert Dock and onwards into the heart of the city and then on to the finish line outside Liverpool Town Hall.
After a rainy start to the day, the sun eventually came out for the runners, who made their way around the course dressed in a range of outfits. While most opted for the Santa outfit, others came as elves and there was even a grumpy Grinch in the mix.
The BTR Liverpool Santa Dash welcomes everyone—whether walking, jogging, or running. Wheelchair users and even tiny Santas in prams or pets are encouraged to join.
The weather was predicting clear skies in the morning, so my brother-in-law Bob and I headed up to Talkeetna to photograph the sunrise and see Denali, the highest mountain peak in North America. It sure was a good morning for it, with pink light hitting the mountain range and ice flowing down the Susitna River with mist rising from it. It was 6 degrees that morning, and my fingers hurt when they were thawing out, but it was worth it to see this sight. I could have raised the ISO to freeze the flowing ice's motion, but prefer the sense of movement. Talkeetna, Alaska, USA, November 2021
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On Friday, rain is predicted for Tucson, Arizona on Saturday afternoon. It arrived from Mexico early.
As predicted the hole in the sky let the arctic sun come flooding in. The whole feel of Lilliehöökbreen changed from brooding, steel grey to pure light, whites and blues. I made the decision to remain on the Plancius for just this zodiac trip out to see the glacial front due to my travelling partner feeling unwell and because the views over the glacier and the fjord I predicted would be "Otherworldly" as the sun appeared, I was right! Arctic landscapes in the arctic sunshine.
Europa Clipper is the largest spacecraft NASA has ever developed for a planetary mission with solar arrays spanning more than 100 feet (~30 meters) when deployed and weighing nearly 13,000 pounds (6,000 kilograms) at launch. Powered by 24 engines, Europa Clipper will make nearly 50 flybys of Jupiter’s icy moon Europa, surveying for conditions suitable to support life after scientists predicted that a salty ocean lies beneath Europa’s icy surface which has more water than Earth’s oceans combined. It will take five years to reach Europa, with an anticipated arrival in 2030.