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John Hook, Speaker of the Arizona House Steve Montenegro, State House Minority Leader Oscar De Los Santos, State Senate President Warren Petersen and State Senate Minority Leader Priya Sundareshan speaking with attendees at the 2026 Legislative Forecast Luncheon hosted by the Arizona Chamber of Commerce & Industry at the Phoenix Convention Center in Phoenix, Arizona.
Please attribute to Gage Skidmore if used elsewhere.
It was Thursday. I laid in until nearly eight, snoozing and dozing.
I leap up, have a shower and get dressed. Despite the dreadful weather forecast, I would go out.
And after Col and Aidan mentioned their trips on buses, I thought I would take the X18 to Warwick.
One left at 09:52, giving me just enough time to walk to Wood Street, find a place to eat and be ready.
It was indeed raining, but it was just five minutes to Wood Street, and opposite the bus stop was an independent bakery. I go in, order a tea and a cheese and salsa or something toastie.
Both were good, but I realised I had ten minutes before the bus, even though there was another in half an hour.
I go out, cross the road and soon a bus with Warwick on the destination board pulled in. I didn't notice the route number, but instead of the express service, I was on the slow, calling at all villages services.
But it was fine, I was in no hurry.
So the bus roared and bounced its way down narrow roads in housing estates, short bursts of full speed, before pulling off into a village.
The rain still came down, running down the windows, but they were all condensated, so you couldn't see out of them anyway.
All trips on buses in the county cost just £3, so was a bargain.
After an hour we arrived in Warwick, pulling in at the small bus station. We all thanked the driver as we got off, as its what Brits do.
A map and signpost showed the way to the town centre, so I walked up the street until it opened up into a square with the town hall in the centre.
If only I knew where the church was. I looked round and saw the four pinnacles of the tower over the roofs of the shops.
I walked towards it.
St Mary was open. Col had checked that it would be. It was due to open at 11, it was ten to, but the door swung open, and the warmth inside hit me like a woolly blanket.
I received a warm welcome too. A guide showed me to the Beauchamp Chapel, down some steps where Elizabeth I's beau is buried with his higher born wife, so in eternity, she lays slightly above him to remind Dudley he didn't marry Good Queen Bess.
The church is huge, and full of delights. I was inside for nearly 90 minutes, and still missed things to photograph and admire. There was some ancient glass, and some good Victorian glass too.
At quarter past twelve I was done, or churched out. I walked outside, and into the Rose and Crown opposite, where I ordered a pint of Timothy Taylor Boltmaker, which was so good I had a second, and an Indonesian curry with sambal.
Delicious.
One last thing to see and snap, was the Westgate with Lord Leycester Hospital beside it. The latter sadly closed until March, so I made do with shots of the gate, with chapel above and the timber framed buildings of the hospital, timbers and walls all at different angles.
Rain began to fall. And it looked set in, so I checked with the bus timetable, and it seemed a bus was due in ten minutes, so I walked back to the bus station, to shelter A.
And waited.
And waited some more.
It was twenty five minutes late, so not sure if it was the next one early, or the previous nearly half an hour late.
Whatever, it was the express service, and it made good time. I sat on the upper deck, because its the law on a double decker, so the trees being shaken in the strong wind, scratched down the roof.
It was still raining in Stratford, so I went into Tesco for supplies of pop, crisps and biscuits before walking back to the hotel for a feast of dirty food.
I read more of Cameron Crowe's book as rain hammered down outside. It grew dark and so I climbed into bed to read, so to keep warm.
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The Collegiate Church of St Mary is a Church of England parish church in Warwick, Warwickshire, England. It is in the centre of the town just east of the market place. It is Grade I listed, and a member of the Major Churches Network.
The church has the status of collegiate church as it had a college of secular canons. In governance and religious observance it was similar to a cathedral (although not the seat of a bishop and without diocesan responsibilities). There is a Bishop of Warwick, but this is an episcopal title used by a suffragan bishop of the Diocese of Coventry.
The church foundations date back nine hundred years, being created by Roger de Beaumont, 2nd Earl of Warwick, in 1123.[1] In addition to founding the church, de Beaumont established the college of dean and canons at the church. The only surviving part of the Norman church which de Beaumont had built is the crypt.
The chancel vestries and chapter house of the church were extensively rebuilt in the 14th century by a later Earl of Warwick, Thomas de Beauchamp (died 1369, later pronounced Beecham), in the Perpendicular Gothic style.[2] Between c. 1370 and 1394, the chancel, transept, nave and aisles were rebuilt, then forming a basilica with wooden roofs.[3] Thomas Beauchamp's descendants built the Chapel of Our Lady, commonly known as the Beauchamp Chapel. It contains the effigial monuments of Richard de Beauchamp, 13th Earl of Warwick, Ambrose Dudley, 3rd Earl of Warwick, and Robert Dudley, 1st Earl of Leicester. Buried in the chancel of the church is William Parr, 1st Marquess of Northampton, the brother of queen consort Catherine Parr.
The college was dissolved in 1546, and the church was granted by the Crown to the burgesses of Warwick.[2] Before their destruction in the Civil War, Wenceslaus Hollar copied many of the stained glass windows in the Beauchamp Chapel, showing heraldry of the Beauchamp family.
The church, along with much of Warwick, was devastated by the Great Fire of Warwick in 1693. The nave and tower of the building were completely destroyed. In 1704, the rebuilt church was completed in a Gothic design by William Wilson (appointed by the Crown Commissioners).[5] Sir Christopher Wren is also said to have contributed to the design, but that is disputed.[1][2] The tower rises to the height of 130 feet (40 m).[4] The design was described by John Summerson as being "as remarkable for its success as for its independence in style from other seventeenth-century English Gothic".[6]
The church has been undergoing significant maintenance for renovation since early 2023 and is expected to be complete by the end of 2023. At a cost of £1.4 million, the renovation was planned after a piece of masonry fell from the church's tower.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collegiate_Church_of_St_Mary,_Warwick
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he Beauchamp Chapel, in the parish church of St Mary’s in Warwick, is a superb example of the architecture of the late middle ages, with its soaring fan vaulting and exquisite stone tracery. It is also a monument to the medieval belief in purgatory and the efficacy of Masses for the dead – its function originally being to benefit the soul of Richard Beauchamp, 13th Earl of Warwick.
However, the significance of the Chapel did not end with the Reformation – instead, it was the focus of the Dudley family’s bid for power and influence in the Midlands of England. John Dudley, Duke of Northumberland’s, maternal descent from the Beauchamp family was a matter of immense pride, and explains the grant to him of the earldom of Warwick. His surviving sons, Ambrose, Earl of Warwick, and Robert, Earl of Leicester, were equally eager to promote recognition of their noble heritage. Consequently, Ambrose and Robert saw the Beauchamp Chapel as the appropriate place for their own interments, flanking the tomb of their 4 x great-grandfather, the aforementioned 13th earl. Robert’s wife, Lettice Knollys, lies beside him, despite having remarried and outlived him by nearly fifty years, and the tomb of their son, Lord Denbigh, ‘the noble impe’, is also there.
tudortimes.co.uk/places/the-dudleys-and-the-beauchamp-cha...
I took this photo in April 2013 in the Train Tunnels. I thought it was a really cool piece of graffiti.
At Barbar Financial Solutions we provide business forecasting for new or upcoming businesses effectively.
clickeventonline.com/event/politica/151209-LatinAmericaan...
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 2016:
ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL FORECAST
Wednesday, December 9, 2015
7:45-8:15 a.m. – Registration and Continental Breakfast
8:15 a.m.-12:30 p.m. – Presentations and Discussion
Reception to Follow
Conrad Miami
1395 Brickell Avenue
Miami, Florida
Some of the 2,000 runners Sunday morning on Philbrook Avenue in South Portland at the start of the Santa Hustle Half Marathon. The race, which benefited Easter Seals, also featured a 5K run and walk. Both races started and ended at The Maine Mall.
Here's a look at storm possibilities across the U.S. today.
Severe weather is expected through parts of the Central and Southern Plains.
Large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes are the main concern.
For more information visit www.MyWeather.com
You need to be a little more skeptical of predictions about tomorrow.
Trust me, as a futurist who makes his living advising people of my predictions for tomorrow, it pains me to write that sentence - but I've been thinking about this strategy for quite some time.
Much of this mindset has come from the rather dismal record of forecasting by economists and financial pundits in the last few years; after all, it was just over 14 months ago that Bloomberg predicted - with 100% certainty -- that we would see a recession in 2023.
It never happened, of course.
The darned global economy kept chugging along, with month after month and quarter after quarter of continuous growth. Yet at the same time, global economic forecasters and financial pundits kept peddling their forecasts of doom and gloom, almost seeming to will for it to happen - and then seemed apoplectic and angry when it never transpired!
This, of course, caused me to work this observation into my Daily Inspiration post some months ago, observing that if you were basing your strategies for the future based on their forecasts, you were making a big mistake.
Failed predictions and missed forecasts? I got to thinking about the issue of failed forecasting in the last few days, as I have watched global meteorologists try to make sense of the current weather conditions in North America and increasingly, it seems, fail to do so.
Case in point - as I write this, I'm at my ski chalet, enveloped in fog. Everyone who skis in North America knows that it has been a dismal season, full of mud runs, heavy rain, and abnormally high temperatures. Those of us who want to try to understand when this misery might come to an end turn our attention to the long-range weather forecasters. They're the specialized set of experts who try to interpret the many different weather models to figure out what is happening with the jet stream, ocean temperatures, and more to have a sense of what might transpire two to three weeks out.
It's been challenging watching them this year since the only conclusion I can come to is that many are admitting their confusion about what is going on with the weather. As the forecasted winter arrival keeps getting pushed out, they seem to be busy trying to figure out why their previous predictions were in error - and worse yet, commenting often that 'the models don't make sense.' What does that last bit mean? Our world of meteorology today relies upon several vast supercomputer models - the GFS, NAMS, ECMWF, UKMET, and others. These models undertake specific 'runs' - or model forecasts - with forecasted jet stream patterns, high and low-pressure zones, wind speeds, and more. Interpreting these many different models is an art.
And it seems the models are simply not making sense anymore. Case in point - these maps are from one particular weather model, predicting North American temperature anomalies one month out. These two maps come from the same computer model run 24 hours apart. The first suggests abnormal cold for all of North America.
But 24 hours later, the same model suggests abnormal heat for a large portion of North America.
The first thing you learn about meteorology is that trying to predict actual temperature trends a month out is nearly impossible. and so these maps have little to no value. Most of these forecasters simply don't rely on this particular set of data that far out since they know it will be notoriously unreliable. And yet, to see such variation in a computer model is rather stunning. To me, as an untrained observer watching this industry in real-time, it also seems as if their ability to interpret the weather is breaking down, as, the models they rely upon almost seem to be making no sense anymore. That's worrisome - perhaps our ability to accurately forecast tomorrow is breaking down at the very time that these models are subjected to new risks because of the climate crisis.
Back to the future - we all know that the business of predictions and forecasts has long had a rather shady and volatile track record and that history is littered with failed predictions. Let's reprise just a few:
"I cannot conceive of any vital disaster happening to this vessel. Modern shipbuilding has gone beyond that" - Edward J. Smith, captain of the Titanic
"There is no danger that Titanic will sink" - Phillip Franklin, vice president of the White Star Line
"X-rays will prove to be a hoax" - Lord Kelvin, President of the Royal Society
"I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova" - Robert Metcalfe, 1995
"The Americans need the telephone, but we do not. We have plenty of messenger boys" - Sir William Preece, Chief Engineer, British Post Office, 1878
"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home" - Ken Olson, president, chairman, and founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977
"These Google guys, they want to be billionaires and rock stars and go to conferences and all that. Let us see if they still want to run the business in two to three years" - Rob Wrubel, former CEO of Excite, 1999
Oops.
What's going on? I'm increasingly wondering about that, and am coming to several conclusions - I think there is the interplay of many different factors happening all at once.
First, there are a greater number of 'tomorrow' experts, many of dubious quality, out on social media and within networking circles - social media has permitted so many more people to present their expertise about tomorrow to the world. A flood of insight with few parameters on quality makes it extremely difficult to separate the realistic predictions from the bogus; it makes it complex to separate the noise and the low-quality insight from predictions that might matter.
Second, perhaps there is an over-reliance on models that no longer make sense - whether it be with the weather, global economies, demand forecasting, or consumer behaviour. We live in a world in which volatility is the new normal, and it might be the case that models built upon presumptions of clarity no longer fit within our crazy turvy world. That's worth thinking about.
Third, there is the fact that there is simply too much information to figure out what is going on anymore - we are drowning in insight, publications, forecasts, social media posts, and now, AI-generated content. How can we ever figure out clarity if we cannot interpret the lack of insight?
Fourth, there is the bias towards 'relentless doomsterism.' The impact of failed economic headlines? The interesting thing is that so many people seem to rely on such failed forecasts. Throughout the year, I saw countless organizations pull back, scale back, defer initiative, pause plans, wait for clarity, and put on the brakes. All of them now look rather embarrassed, sheepishly admitting that they were acting like sheep.
And yet, some of that mindset remains - in that vein, the Washington Post weighed in on the national mood in the US - despite the current reality that they are in the best financial and economic circumstances in decades, doom and gloom manage the mindset.
So what is my point with all of this? I think in the last few years, something has changed with the entire industry of 'future forecasting,' and so in 2024, it might be worth your while to be somewhat more skeptical of what you see.
That’s why this is Strategy #23 of my 24 Strategies for 2024 series.
Cast a bit more of a jaded eye on the words of wisdom of tomorrow from those you follow!
Including, perhaps, me! Or, maybe not. I'm not sure - I can't predict what might happen!
Original post: jimcarroll.com/2023/12/daily-inspiration-24-strategies-fo...
The 2025 Legislative Forecast Luncheon hosted by the Arizona Chamber of Commerce & Industry at the Phoenix Convention Center in Phoenix, Arizona.
Please attribute to Gage Skidmore if used elsewhere.
I entered this picture into a surf photography competition run by Surf-Forecast and managed be voted a place in their 2013 Calendar.
Here is my photo for the September month. Thank you to Surf-Forecast for running the competition and I'm looking forward to the next.
To purchase a copy please follow the link...
www.eryc.co.uk/products/surf-forecast-com-2013-calendar.html
I'm trying to incorporate more purples into my knitting and wardrobe, and I think this'll be a good start.
24 de Abril de 2015, 23h45m. Há 41 anos algo de fantástico se passava. O Estado Novo, ditadura de 48 anos, estava prestes a terminar. Nuvens negras pairam sobre o Novo Estado.
Governor Katie Hobbs speaking with attendees at the 2025 Legislative Forecast Luncheon hosted by the Arizona Chamber of Commerce & Industry at the Phoenix Convention Center in Phoenix, Arizona.
Please attribute to Gage Skidmore if used elsewhere.
When I get bored I doodle using my Wacom Intuos3 graphics tablet and Corel Painter and this is the kind of crappy drawing I usually produce. I used: 2B cover pencil, digital watercolour, liquid ink and digital airbrush. This is of course inspired by the fact that we're planning a ForeCast road-trip/tour next summer, hehe.
Governor Katie Hobbs and Danny Seiden speaking with attendees at the 2025 Legislative Forecast Luncheon hosted by the Arizona Chamber of Commerce & Industry at the Phoenix Convention Center in Phoenix, Arizona.
Please attribute to Gage Skidmore if used elsewhere.
© All rights are reserved, please do not use my photos without my permission
Name:Stena Forecaster
IMO:9214678
Flag:Sweden
MMSI:266040000
Callsign:SCKZ
Vessel type:Ro-ro Cargo
Gross tonnage:24,688 tons
Summer DWT:12,300 tons
Home port:Gothenburg
Class society:Det Norske Veritas
Build year:2003
Builder: DALIAN SHIPYARD - DALIAN, CHINA
EUR/USD Forex Analysis 13 of February 2013 : www.forex-forecasts.com/2013/02/eurusd-forex-analysis-13-...
© All rights are reserved, please do not use my photos without my permission
Name:Stena Forecaster
IMO:9214678
Flag:Sweden
MMSI:266040000
Callsign:SCKZ
Vessel type:Ro-ro Cargo
Gross tonnage:24,688 tons
Summer DWT:12,300 tons
Home port:Gothenburg
Class society:Det Norske Veritas
Build year:2003
Builder: DALIAN SHIPYARD - DALIAN, CHINA
Forecast se suma a la oferta de moda del Centro Comercial L'Aljub con la inauguración de una nueva tienda. Más info en cclaljub.com/directorio/forecast