View allAll Photos Tagged predictive

It's really hard to predict when a sunset will be good for stacking. I thought that last time lapse would come out well in lighten mode, but actually darken mode worked better. This picture is the result f keeping the darkest pixel at each point of the previous time lapse video (and then boosting brightness and colors, which tend to come out dark and muddy from all the blending). You can also see the paths of a bird and a rower on the water.

☼My works are often BEST VIEWED LARGE

 

The weather was not as predicted with sleet, snow and temps mostly 32.

I managed 2 tiny strolls in the sun before and after the storm, but did have to stay in the camper for over a day.

I was happy to see many beautiful nature views with some Autumn colors. The Washington pass was especially spectacular with fresh snow, luckily the road was dry and safe.

Weather forecast (when getting gas) was not in our favor . We had to cut the trip short.

I am happy we got out and had an adventure.

Lots of acorns this year. It seems that acorn production is one of those bits of folklore that was once used to predict the severity of the coming winter. Many acorns = severe winter. Apparently now disproven by science which has determined a number of theories behind the size of the crop.

During sunset, a cloud flew in in an amazing shape (a bird, a dragon, and maybe an angel ...)

 

A little understanding of the physics of cloud formation underscores the complexity of the atmosphere and sheds light on why predicting weather for more than a few days is such a challenge.

Six types of clouds you can see and how they can help you understand the weather.

 

1) Cumulus clouds - On a sunny day, rays warm the earth, which heats the air located directly above it. The heated air rises upward due to convection and forms cumulus clouds. These “good weather” clouds are like cotton wool. If you look at the sky filled with cumulus clouds, you can see that they have a flat bottom, located at the same level for all clouds. At this altitude, air rising from ground level cools down to the dew point. It usually doesn't rain from cumulus clouds, which means the weather will be good.

 

2) Cumulonimbus clouds.

Small cumulus clouds do not rain, but if they grow and grow in height, it is a sign that heavy rain is coming soon. This often happens in summer when morning cumulus clouds turn into cumulonimbus during the day. Cumulonimbus clouds often have a flat top. Air convection occurs inside such a cloud, and it gradually cools until it reaches the temperature of the surrounding atmosphere. At this moment, it loses its buoyancy and can no longer rise higher. Instead, it spreads out to the sides, forming the characteristic anvil shape.

 

3) Cirrus clouds form in very high layers of the atmosphere. They are smoky because they are composed entirely of ice crystals falling in the atmosphere. When cirrus clouds are carried by winds moving at different speeds, they take on a characteristic curved shape. And only at very high altitudes or at high latitudes, cirrus clouds give out rain that reaches the ground.

 

4) Stratus Clouds - A low-lying, continuous cloud sheet that covers the sky. Stratus clouds are formed by slowly rising air or gentle winds that cover the cold land or sea surface with moist air. Stratus clouds are thin, therefore, despite the gloomy picture, it is unlikely to rain from them, a little drizzle at most. Stratus clouds are identical to fog, so if you've ever walked in a mountainous area on a foggy day, you've been inside a cloud.

 

5) Lenticular clouds. Smooth and lenticular lenticular clouds form when air is blown up and over a mountain range, and as it travels over a mountain, the air descends to its previous level. At this time, it heats up and the cloud evaporates. But it can slip further, as a result of which the air rises again and forms another lenticular cloud. This can result in a chain of clouds extending far beyond the mountain range. The interaction of wind with mountains and other surface features is one of the many details that must be taken into account in computer simulations to obtain accurate weather predictions.

 

6) Kelvin - Helmholtz like a breaking ocean wave. When air masses at different heights move horizontally at different speeds, their state becomes unstable. The boundary between the air masses begins to ripple and form large waves, such clouds are quite rare.

 

The photo was taken in the city of Konakovo. Russia. On the banks of the Volga River.

T-Minus two hours. It's been months since I've been out nightscaping and I'm feeling like Rip VanWinkle, as I am throwing my gear in the car on my way to the Nightscape Photography Conference In Moab Utah.

So proud to announce that I have been invited to speak at the conference.......Wait, wait, hold-up. I'm not sure if I was "invited" It was more like I finagled my way into a spot on the staff, It's really a bizarre story too hard too believe, but to make a long story short, after talking to Royce Bair on the phone I managed to, via Royce's kindness land a spot in a side conference room.

That quickly changed to two presentations and two workshops. I have spent the last two years preparing a line of products that teaches the techniques I use in the field to navigate, plan alignments and predict the weather.

I think I found a niche.

The Smart App bootcamp sold-out in 5 Hrs. Whaaaat!

Wait, it gets better. Well maybe I will save that for my next post.

I should mention that Wayne Pinkston had a hand in my participation there, he has got to be the coolest "Night walker" on the face of the Earth.

Thanks Wayne and Thanks to Royce as well. You guys are two amazing people!!!

 

Wish me luck my friends!!!

 

Thanks as always, for taking the time to take a look at my photos, and reading my descriptions.

I am always grateful for your views, comments, faves, and support, they are truly appreciated!! Have a great day my friends!! :)

  

Always Respect Mother Nature And Your Fellow Man, So:

****TreadLightly>LeaveNoTrace> PackItIn/PackItOut****

The weather forecasters are predicting that we might get some winter weather in the next few days, so far we have got off relatively lightly . I doubt however it will be as cold as Arctic Norway this was taken around lunchtime in December and whilst there was no sunlight, the snow does make it appear brighter then I was anticipating . The light has an unusual blueish tone through the short Arctic day .

 

The image is looking down toward the Malangen fiord about thirty miles south of Tromso

  

THANKS FOR YOUR VISITING BUT CAN I ASK YOU NOT TO FAVE AN IMAGE WITHOUT ALSO MAKING A COMMENT. MANY THANKS KEITH. ANYONE MAKING MULTIPLE FAVES WITHOUT COMMENTS WILL SIMPLY BE BLOCKED

 

The groundhog predicted an early spring here in Ottawa. Right now we’re being hit by another big snowstorm and I’m not very optimistic about the prediction. I haven’t been able to take many photos with the frigid temps and cold this winter so I’ll be digging into my older files for a while.

 

Here’s hoping this little gosling will bring some luck and is taking his first tentative step forward into spring!

 

Have a great weekend Flickr friends. Tina and the Puglets xo

 

I would like to thank all of you that have taken the time to view and comment on my photos, it is very much appreciated.

 

Chase the morning fog at Grizzly Peak Berkeley this time. It was bit early when I predicted the fog would come to the bay. Well, I was so lucky to see it with my friends! The lucky one as one of my favorite fog shot.

 

#colors #fog #dreamycity #sanfrancisco #alwayssf #ABC7news #sfgate #luckysnapshot #霧 #城市 #三藩市 #海灣大橋

Here's the second photo from last Monday night when I was treated to several magnificent courting dances by a pair of young swans at Whitlingham Country Park. I'd deliberately gone at a time when there would be beautiful lighting, but couldn't have predicted being so close to such a romantic natural display of affection. I feel so privileged, and I do hope you enjoy the images <3<3

08-november-2021: in the beautiful mountain environment between "Sella Nevea" Ski Resort (1162m a.s.l.) and Plains (1551m a.s.l.) of mount "Jôf di Montasio" (2754m a.s.l.), the summit in the background of this shot.

Frustrating when that happens, but it happens. Cannot predict Mother Nature.

© Leanne Boulton, All Rights Reserved

 

Street photography from Glasgow, Scotland.

 

Previously unpublished shot from October 2018.

 

The MetOffice have released their three month advance forecast for the UK and it is expected that, in the midst of the cost of living crisis, we are likely to face a colder than average winter. These advance forecasts are getting harder to predict with rapid arctic warming destabilising the high altitude jet streams. People in the UK are already having to choose between heating and eating as they struggle with obscene energy prices while the energy companies rake in excessive profits. It will be a tough winter ahead.

 

Stay safe my Flickr friends.

Well it certainly took a little longer than the predicted 5hr journey time to get there. Nine hours with only one stop for coffee and recharge the battery for my phone.

Two bad accidents on the A19 and the M90 created tailbacks for over ten miles. On both occasions we stood still for over an hour.

So you can appreciate the delight the next morning, when we were treated to this beautiful sunrise behind the castle.

Named after it's Gaelic name, Dun Fhoithear, literally meaning "fort on the shelving slope"

As far as castles go, it's difficult to imagine a more remote and dramatic location than Dunnatar.

Perhaps with the most impenetrable position of all Scottish castles, this one sits on top of it's own cliff peninsular on the road to Aberdeen, defended on all sides by the forces of nature.

Dunnatar Castle also comes with a good dose of dastardly history with an intrepid mix of torching, smuggling and pillaging.

Add to this some seriously stunning scenery and vistas to rival the best.

There are 50metre high cliffs on three sides of the site. While those are pounded by the North Sea, the fourth is joined to the land. This section was once a peninsular, but it's access was destroyed in favour of a cliff pathway. As a result you can only reach Dunnatar via a narrow, twisting route that ends in a tunnel, making it one of the most difficult Scottish castles to get into.

We were during a week in the Swiss Alps to hike. Well, and the weather forecast predicted sunny weather for the entire week. Oh how cool this is he he he. And when we finally arrived at our house in the Alps the sun was shining and laughing ;-) I decided on the same day to make a walk because I simply had to go out. But I should have known it better. In the mountains, the weather can change at any time. And in fact, in the middle of a forest suddenly the weather really changed. Drizzling rain, fog, snow and a very bad visibility? What? … Damn, not again bad weather! My God, and so it remained throughout the entire week. When I read the weather forecast again there were suddenly only black clouds and snowflakes instead of small suns marked as pictographs. I now believe that the weather god is performing an experiment with me just to driving me crazy slowly he he he. Well, I always take what I get and made the best of this situation, and in addition my dog loves this weather … it is always too hot for him in his fur he he he. When I came to this place, the atmosphere was really very mystical and beautiful and I could not resist this temptation and made this photo here. I hope you like it.

 

Thank you for your time and interest in my photos, your visit is most appreciated :-)

 

_________________________

 

All my photos are copyrighted, © 2015 Manuel Martin (All rights reserved) - please don't download or print any of them without my permission and don't use my images on websites, blogs, facebook or other media without asking me.

 

_________________________

Strong winds and rain predicted for today and this evening, so Marnie and I had a good walk this morning. Here's my goodbye to 2024.

 

To be honest, I'm hoping the weather will be bad enough this evening to put off lots of the fireworks, as they really do cause Marnie a lot of trauma, and therefore, me too !

 

Whatever the weather, have a good night and an even better 2025 my Flickr friends !

 

Thanks for all your support in 2024 -- so appreciated !

 

😃

 

On visiting St Lucia in South Africa, we expected to swim and sunbathe. The day before had been torrential rain and 16C so a day predicted to be 33C was such a chance! As it happened the wind was so fierce it was like a sandstorm and it was too painful to walk across to the sea bare-legged and as for the sea itself, it was definitely unsafe. However, it was beautiful and I love the sound of the sea and the freshness. This particular beach is at the edge of the game park and a protected area - so lovely!

I am wearing:

United Colors - Victoria dress- exclusive for Kustom9 (NEW)

Wasabi Pills hair - Tsukiko, exclusive for Kagami Event (NEW)

Izzie's "Body & Face Beach Sand" appliers

Catwa head - Jessica

Maitreya Lara body and Bento hands

Lara Hurley skin - Beth

 

The pose is from Luanes World poses - " Predict the Future " - exclusive for Indie Teepee 2017 opening july 21st (NEW)

“If the oak is before the ash,

Then we’ll only get a splash,

“If the ash is before the oak,

Then we’re sure to get a soak”.

 

This West Country, (UK), rhyme, indicates that the tree that gets it’s leaves first, predicts either a dry or wet summer.

 

The ash trees in this photo were just beginning to come into leaf on 22nd of April, while the oak tree in the background already had a good covering of leaves. The oaks are usually one of the last trees to get their new leaves, this year they were very early. It remains to be seen how accurate the rhyme proves to be in predicting the summer weather!

Light Filter dark clouds and an odd light filter through the trees predicting rain to come soon, shot in North Carolina.

I’d like to dedicate this shot to a good friend of mine William McIntosh. I have spent the last 4 months shooting as much as I can with Bill and trying to gleen info from him about his weather prediction skills and gain some insight about his frame of mind about photography. He is a master of weather prediction IMHO and I have always admired his tenacity which has netted him some absolutely fantastic captures from Yosemite National Park and the Pacific Northwest. Bill contacted me during the week to see if I was up for a Banzai run to Yosemite Valley as he was predicting a passage in the storm which would provide a high probability of misty/snowy conditions like seen in many of his postings from there. Of course Bill was right on the money as was shown from some of the webcams provided there. But unfortunately I had to decline as I was starting to get sick with the Flu and didn’t want to drag him down with me. Today he contacted me again to see if I was up for some shooting at Corona Del Mar but I was still trying to fight off the Flu and as painful as it was had to opt out again. Later, today, as I was digging through my folder of processed photos I found this shot and the pain of declination returned. Sorry Bill, I was more worried about getting you sick then worsening my own condition. LOL. Thanks for the invite my friend and hope you had a great day at CDM. If you would like to see William’s amazing photography, you can visit his stream here.

www.flickr.com/photos/mtsacprof

 

Tale of the Take…

This is a side view of the arch found at Corona Del Mar, If you wanted to get a full view through the arch you would need to scramble along the cliffsides base there at a specific tide level, I say specific because if you time it incorrectly you wouldn’t drown but you would have to spend a long, cold night on the rocks or call the Coast Guard to come “fish” you out which carries along an $800 dollar or better rescue charge. I’m still hoping that Bill will show me the specifics of entering here at a time that would be safe to enter and exit during the sunset. See what I mean about his tenacity. :)

 

Please come over and check out my other photos, you might find something else you like. :)

 

Thanks for taking the time to take a look at my photos, and as always, your views, comments, faves, and support are greatly appreciated!! Have a great weekend everybody!! :)

 

Please do me a favor and follow me on my other social sites found below:

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Copyright 2016©Eric Gail

I predict that the dividing line will not be Mason and Dixon's, but between patriotism and intelligence on the one side, and superstition, ambition, and ignorance on the other :-)

Ulysses S. Grant, 1875

 

HSS!! Truth Matters! Science Matters!

 

japanese flowering quince, 'Atsuya Hamada', j c raulston arboretum, ncsu, raleigh, north carolina

Rain was predicted, but look what we got! A beautiful day to be out and about and it didn't rain until we were back home.

Kral KOYU

 

Gazipasa

 

The unknown or predicted history of Gazipaşa goes deep within the historical perspective. In general, this historical adventure begins in the 2000s BC. The Luwians, a branch of the Hittites, lived in the region that the Hittites called the Kizzuvatna (Çukurova region) and Arzava (Antalya region) countries. Since Gazipaşa is in this region, it is highly probable that the historical journey of the district started with the Luwians - Hittites. As a matter of fact, the lion remains in the ruins around Karatepe (Sivaslı) confirm this information.

 

Another important milestone in Gazipaşa's historical journey is 628 BC. There are two cities in history with the name of Selinus. Selinus, which was founded as a city-state at this date by the Greek Cave-Hyblaia people in Sicily, and Selinus in the south of Anatolia. It is a port city established in the Cilicia Region and on both sides of the Hacımusa (Kestros) Stream. Its castle, on the other hand, is at the location of the current castle ruins and was an island at that time. From here, maritime trade was carried out with the trade centers of that day, especially Egypt.

 

The city, which passed from the Greek administration to Roman rule in 197 BC due to Antiochus, was built in AD. In the 1st century, the Roman King Trojan, who went on the eastern expedition of the Mediterranean coast, got sick and came to the port of Selinus and was the guest of a merchant's house. Hadrian, who would succeed him on the throne, came to Selinus and took the corpse to Rome, and had a tomb built in commemoration. For this reason, it is known that Selinus was called Traianapolis for a while, and in the Christian period, it was the Episcopal center affiliated to the Archbishopric of Seleukeia - Silifke. The period of the Roman Empire, which started in the 1st century BC, continued until the 6th century in Gazipaşa, which is within the Anatolian borders of this state.

 

M.S. Starting from the 6th century, the Southern Mediterranean was dominated by the Byzantine Empire, in the first half of the 12th century, it was attached to the Armenian Kingdom of Cilicia, and in the period of the Turkification of Pamphylia together with Gazipaşa, Antalya and Alanya, Selinus became the ruler of the Seljuk Sultan Alaaddin Keykubat I in 1221. In the year 1225, Alanya was started to be known as Selinti because of the fact that the five big streams that originate from the Taurus Mountains and flow through the city center and mix into the sea from here until 1225 cause floods from time to time. However, the conquest of the Seljuks, except for Alanya, was short-lived and the Armenians, who took advantage of the defeat of Gıyaseddin II by the İlhanlılar in the Kösedağ War in 1243, recaptured this place and remained in their hands until the conquest of the Karamanoğlus in 1275. During the Mongolian invasion of Anatolia in the 1270s, Selinti was located within the borders of Konya and its affiliated regions of the Anatolian Seljuk State.

 

During the period of Anatolian principalities, Antalya and its surroundings remained in the Teke Principality since 1335, while Alanya, Selinti and the eastern and northern regions came under the rule of Karamanoğulları, whose center was Konya.

 

Gedik Ahmet Pasha, the Commander of the Naval Forces (Captain Derya) of Fatih Sultan Mehmet in the Ottoman Period, took Alanya in 1470 and Selinti, Anamur and Silifke regions in 1472 from the Karamanoğlu Principality and included them under Ottoman rule. Famous traveler Evliya Çelebi states on page 126 of his famous Travelogue, "In the 18th century, Selinti accident is a town within the borders of İçel (Mersin) with 26 villages connected to Silifke Sanjak and paying a tax of 80 coins annually. It is surrounded by well-kept mosques and houses by the sea. It has lush green mountains. It has a pier 70 miles from Cyprus."

The only sure way to safely predict what will happen in the future is to travel through time the slow way and observe what happens.

 

The phrase ‘only time will tell’ means we won’t know what will happen until it does. A case of stating the obvious.

Chris Pash

chrispash.wordpress.com/2013/06/02/cliche-of-the-week-127...

 

HCS my Flickr Friends :-)))

 

Thank you for your kind visit. Have a wonderful and beautiful day! ❤️ ❤️ ❤️

he predicted yesterday didn't happen today :-) Laurence J. Peter.

pink flowering japanese apricot, 'bonita', j c raulston arboretum, ncsu, raleigh, north carolina

After every dip in the water the terns shake dry. Never easy to catch as it takes less than a second and trying to predict the moment is a pig.

 

— My watch can predict the future!

— That's impossible! Can you prove it?

 

— Sure! — glances at the watch — Right now it's saying you have no panties.

 

— You see? That is wrong, I have panties on right now.

 

— Oh, I'm sorry, its 10 minutes fast...

 

As someone who has always been intrigued by fluid dynamics, the wave represents the most astonishing aspect of this passion. The way they build sometimes out of nowhere and peel and crash with such power. Someday I will understand and be able to predict...

We're predicted storms today so I'll pop down to the coast to try and pick up some of the wild energy of the sea and wind. This is from a couple of weeks ago when a. hard frost gripped the valley. Oh Weather is by Damien Jurado

52 Weeks of 2022. Environment.

Dragonflies are an ancient family of insects. They have been around for 300 million years and predate the dinosaurs. There are over 5,000 species spanning all continents except the Antartica. They are important bio-indicators for environmental health both of water and land.

As predicted by this years "Finch Forecast" there's been a relatively healthy influx of Evening Grosbeaks into Northeast Ohio. I say "relatively" because the population of these beautiful birds has been declining in recent years thought to be a result of the destruction of large areas of their boreal breeding grounds. Let's hope this can be addressed to help keep the numbers from decreasing. A huge thanks to one of Cuyahoga County's most talented birders who discovered this lovely finch.

Summer in Melbourne was milder than predicted this year, and it seems like it is bleeding into autumn, for the weather is warming up and everywhere gardens are bursting forth with beautiful coloured blooms in a profusion of colours.

 

I took an afternoon stroll in the late summer sunshine the other day, and I walked past this beautiful "Julia's Rose" which is thriving in the well maintained garden of a stylish 1930s Art Deco clinker brick villa. This coffee coloured rose bush is a favourite of mine, as I love the shape of the flowers as they expand into full bloom.

 

Introduced in 1976 by Wisbech Plant Farm in the United Kingdom, "Julia's Rose" is an unusual colour blend of coffee, lavender and pink blushes on long smooth stems. A tall open bush, this rose repeat flowers often in clusters from October to May and in cooler weather can become completely coffee-coloured.

“One heart is not connected to another through harmony alone. They are, instead, linked deeply through their wounds. Pain linked to pain, fragility to fragility. There is no silence without a cry of grief, no forgiveness without bloodshed, no acceptance without a passage through acute loss. That is what lies at the root of true harmony.”

 

Featuring

 

*Find the Fish* - Golden Baroque

 

For more useful information click here

 

A wonderful tattoo in great details that it consists from 20 Layers that make it ideal for many different stylings on your Avatar as well as mix & match the way you like it to be.

 

The Tattoo includes Lel Evo X layers and Omega Appliers.

 

Find the Fish - Glory of Akraim - Halo 2

 

With me in the picture is featured the Halo that is part of the Find the Fish - Glory of Akraim set. Including a Unisex Body tattoo & 2 Halos. All in Tintable version you love & adore.

 

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DREAMCATCHER - Bouquet of roses - shirt - Gift @ SLF 10th Anniversary

 

One color.

Compatible with Legacy Male, Belleza Jake and Kario Fit bodies.

 

14L$ until February 28. Then it will be available as a gift from a paid group.

 

DREAMCATCHER - Valentine - Collar - Unisex

 

A lovely unisex, unrigged accessory.

 

Includes texture with many colors, choosing any part to change color and resize HUd's.

 

Visit DREAMCATCHER at: Facebook

 

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ALTGARD - Jay Pants

 

Past Gift of the SL19 Birthday fit for Kario, Belleza, Signature, Legacy, Davis

 

Still i have more to show you from Altgard, need to stay tuned guys :P

 

Extra styling

 

*Arkona* Rose - With holding Animation & color hud

 

Persefona - Fuchsia Rose Petals

 

with a predicted 18 to 24 inches of snow hitting this week in North Dakota, it's nice to see some positive signs of spring...these flowers will get buried, but will survive, with the extra moisture, hopefully they will really take off and bloom more.

Taken at Gold cliff Newport wetlands South Wales UK

Taken on this date last January. This year, no snow on the ground or predicted.

As predicted a CME (coronal mass ejection) sparked a strong G3 class geomagnetic storm yesterday. Thankfully it cleared after midnight and I was able to witness some very colourful displays, even seeing red rather than just what the camera picked up. The storm is ongoing with another possible impact to come. From Space Weather:

 

"The lights spread across multiple US states including Oregon, Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Idaho, Montana, New Jersey and North Dakota. At maximum, the lights descended as far south as Colorado."

We got some much needed rain overnight. They predicted more today but so far it is a mix of sun and cloud.

 

Sigma 105mm EX DG f2.8 macro lens that no longer will autofocus hand held on a Canon DSLR.

 

I may not always get to thank you for every fave or reply to a comment that you might leave here on my image but, just know each comment is read and very much appreciated.

These raindrops won't help stop the wildfires raging in Southern California. 250,000 people in Ventura, Los Angeles, Riverside and San Diego counties have been evacuated. The largest fire, in Ventura, has burned an area larger than Detroit, with five percent containment. New fires erupted on Thursday under Santa Ana winds of 60 mph. High wind gusts and low humidity are predicted to continue, and there is no rain in the 10 day forecast. The fires may well get worse before firefighters are able to make significant progress. These conditions are very unusual for December, and the fires emphasize the real impact of climate change.

 

Thanks, as always, for stopping by and for all of your kind comments -- I appreciate them all.

 

© Melissa Post 2017

 

Weather app predicted 💯 low cloud cover - so I drove to my favorite woodland and was greeted by constant rain, zero wind and zero mist. Which seems to happen everytime I'm up that way. So I continued on and found paths that I hadn't walked before which for woodland I've walked through many mnay times was awesome. Most paths are either dog runs cyclists, or footpaths. But they sometimes throw up magical tree shapes, if upur really lucky 100 year old beech trees which survived the 1985 hurricane 🌀 which are now showing signs of age and fungal infections. They aren't long for the Tree world. So I've been photographing some of them recently they are so huge its hard to fit them in a frame. You can see the one of them in the previous photo I posted.

 

www.trevpackerphotography.com

 

#Monochrome #CloseUp #Darkness #Black #FullFrame #Wet #Backgrounds #Drop #blackandwhite #structure #tree #woodland

Press L for best sight.

 

There were three nights with aurora activity on my 2-week trip. In the first night at Seljalandsfoss I woke up by hazard at around 2am...just to see the fading light of a not predicted activity. In the second night at Kerlingarfjöll I knew that there will be activity, but I was trapped by fog. When I arrived at Kirkjufell for the very last night of my trip I had not much hope left. It was cloudy and the forecast predicted weak activity.....but luck was on my side. Late in the evening the clouds broke up and despite the forecast I could see the Aurora Borealis for my very first time. The awe-inspiring show lasted for more than 3 hours.

 

Panorama 180 degrees out of 10 pictures.

They predicted wet and heavy snow from Winter Storm Riley. I think they nailed that one. The ground was bare and waterlogged when it started last night, and the temperature has remained above freezing, yet the snow has become quite deep by mid-day and is still coming down strong. I just saw a line snap outside my window, and there are broken branches in the back yard. It all looks quite beautiful though, with the big flakes coming down.

(update: This tree returned to it's upright position as the snow melted quickly, but another storm is rolling in already, Nor'Easter Quinn)

2019-10-22 2582-CR2-L1T1

 

Sunday storm prediction for the lakeshore,

 

WHERE...Mason, Oceana, Muskegon, Ottawa, Allegan and Van Buren counties.

 

WHEN...From 1 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

 

IMPACTS...Significant erosion of beaches and dunes, inundation of low-lying areas along the lakeshore and in river mouths, and road closures are possible.

 

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong fall storm system will move through the Great Lakes tonight and Sunday. Winds will increase substantially out of the west on Sunday bringing a rise in water levels as well as producing large battering waves. Wave heights will likely reach the 12 to 16 foot range on Sunday. Peak wind gusts will top out in the 50 to 60 mph range.

 

This shot of the Grand Haven lighthouse was taken October 22 of 2019. I do not think the light will be this good on Sunday as they are also predicting rain al day long. So probably not much sun light at all.

 

If this looks promising I might head out that way, we will see.

As predicted , we were greeted on our arrival in Te Anau, New Zealand, with very heavy rain and it hasn't stopped raining since. We had an early cruise at Milford Sound booked this morning. We were about 3/4 of the way there when we were turned back due to a landslide!

 

The upside of all the rain is the beautiful waterfalls it creates that cascade down the sides of the mountains.

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