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This diagram really rang true with me although, fortunately, I managed to avoid the 'HDR hole'. How about you - where are you up to on the diagram?
(Note - This is not my diagram and I couldn't find the name of the original creator. If anyone knows who did it originaly please tell me so I can provide the correct credit)
China Graph, found an old school text book to fill up.
Blog Post: alekadzie.blogspot.com/2011/06/china-graph-old-high-schoo...
Shooting the newly opened Jubilee Bridge this morning :)
Technical details:
Sony A7R + FE 16-35mm
8 seconds, f/16, ISO 100
Haida ND 1.8 + Lee GND 0.9
3 shot panorama
[update in 2015: the hardware curve that is "Rose's Law" (blue diamonds) remains on track. The software and performance/qubit (red stars, as applied to certain tasks) is catching up, and may lag by a few years from the original prediction overlaid onto the graph. Updated Graph here]
When I first met Geordie Rose in 2002, I was struck by his ability to explain complex quantum physics and the “spooky” underpinnings of quantum computers. I had just read David Deutsch’s Fabric of Reality where he predicts the possibility of such computers, and so I invited Rose to one of our tech conferences.
We first invested in 2003, and Geordie predicted that he would be able to demonstrate a two-bit quantum computer within 6 months. There was a certain precision to his predictions. With one bit under his belt, and a second coming, he went on to suggest that the number of qubits in a scalable quantum computing architecture should double every year. It sounded a lot like Gordon Moore’s prediction back in 1965, when he extrapolated from just five data points on a log-scale (his original plot is below).
So I called it “Rose’s Law” and that seemed to amuse him. Well, the decade that followed has been quite amazing. I commented on Rose’s Law four years ago on flickr, but I share this graph and some potential futures for the first time today.
So, how do we read the graph above? Like Moore’s Law, a straight line describes an exponential. But unlike Moore’s Law, the computational power of the quantum computer should grow exponentially with the number of entangled qubits as well. It’s like Moore’s Law compounded. (D-Wave just put together an animated visual of each processor generation in this video, bringing us to the present day.)
And now, it gets mind bending. If we suspend disbelief for a moment, and use D-Wave’s early data on processing power scaling (more on that below), then the very near future should be the watershed moment, where quantum computers surpass conventional computers and never look back. Moore’s Law cannot catch up. A year later, it outperforms all computers on Earth combined. Double qubits again the following year, and it outperforms the universe. What the???? you may ask... Meaning, it could solve certain problems that could not be solved by any non-quantum computer, even if the entire mass and energy of the universe was at its disposal and molded into the best possible computer.
It is a completely different way to compute — as David Deutsch posits — harnessing the refractive echoes of many trillions of parallel universes to perform a computation.
First the caveat (the text in white letters on the graph). D-Wave has not built a general-purpose quantum computer. Think of it as an application-specific processor, tuned to perform one task — solving discrete optimization problems. This happens to map to many real world applications, from finance to molecular modeling to machine learning, but it is not going to change our current personal computing tasks. In the near term, assume it will apply to scientific supercomputing tasks and commercial optimization tasks where a heuristic may suffice today, and perhaps it will be lurking in the shadows of an Internet giant’s data center improving image recognition and other forms of near-AI magic. In most cases, the quantum computer would be an accelerating coprocessor to a classical compute cluster.
Second, the assumptions. There is a lot of room for surprises in the next three years. Do they hit a scaling wall or discover a heretofore unknown fracturing of the physics… perhaps finding local entanglement, noise, or some other technical hitch that might not loom large at small scales, but grows exponentially as a problem just as the theoretical performance grows exponentially with scale. I think the risk is less likely to lie in the steady qubit march, which has held true for a decade now, but in the relationship of qubit count to performance.
There is also the question of the programming model. Until recently, programming a quantum computer was more difficult than machine coding an Intel processor. Imagine having to worry about everything from analog gate voltages to algorithmic transforms of programming logic to something native to quantum computing (Shor and Grover and some bright minds have made the occasional mathematical breakthrough on that front). With the application-specific quantum processor, D-Wave has made it all much easier, and with their forthcoming Black Box overlay, programming moves to a higher level of abstraction, like training a neural network with little understanding of the inner workings required.
In any case, the possibility of a curve like this begs many philosophical and cosmological questions about our compounding capacity to compute... the beginning of infinity if you will.
While it will be fascinating to see if the next three years play out like Rose’s prediction, for today, perhaps all we should say is that it’s not impossible. And what an interesting world this may be.
- Day 5: Nam JiHyun (4Minute)
Cô gái có khuôn mặt như búp bê :)
Cô gái không make up vẫn rất xinh đẹp.
Một leader tài năng, mạnh mẽ của 4Minute :)
Cho dù 4 đứa hâm kia có bày trò trêu cô ấy thì cô ấy vẫn luôn giữ bình tĩnh :)
Đó chính là Nam Ji Hyun của 4Nia...
The tramway is belgian, the bus is french - Tram belge et bus français belgisch tram en frans bus tramway belgo e pullmann francese.
Thứ 6 đi ăn kem, thứ 7 hội trại xuân + xem flim. CN về quê :))
lịch trình sắp tới của mình đếy....
à mà bạn nào muốn psd này thì cmt đi, mình share cho, k là mình về quê k share đc đâu *lol*
Modelshooting
Shooting im the Studio with Softbox upper left and composite in Photoshop. The Graffiti was shot under a bridge. So don't let your model sit in the dirt ;-)
Both pictures with my Canon 70D and 24-105 4.0 L.
these guys are going off to the Heath Ceramics store tomorrow :) this is an older design of mine that I resurrected for Heath. I call it graph & grid. .
Another one. Bigger this time. Sennelier Olive green (which is possibly my favourite straight-from-the-tube colour)
WEEK 49 – Union Avenue OfficeMax, Set III
This endcap claimed to be the home of graphing essentials, but if it was, all of those essentials were out the door already – and took their pricetags with them. Alternatively, perhaps the display was just now being set up… although I’d doubt that, too, since it looks to be part of the gearing up for school promotions, and that surely would have taken place long before October.
Also worth noting, even though they’re clearly trying to pass him off as such, I think that model being used for the endcap topper sign looks significantly older than a high school student (or whatever age they intend for him to be).
(c) 2021 Retail Retell
These places are public so these photos are too, but just as I tell where they came from, I'd appreciate if you'd say who :)
Professor Alison Richard, Cambridge University Vice-Chancellor, at the Senate House. I thought the fencing made an excellent upward graph to go with this extract from her recent letter to alumni:
"With tough economic circumstances facing so many people and institutions around the world, 2009 may not seem the best of times for celebrations, and the University and Colleges are certainly not immune to the difficulties. We, too, are tightening our belts, and doing what we can to support graduating students about to enter a poor job market. The long perspective provides reassurance, however, for Cambridge has seen troubled times before. Pestilence and pandemics, the collapse of the South Sea Bubble in 1720, wars local and global: Cambridge has emerged from many storms with its flags flying, and will do so again."
Heute mal was für die Mathematiker unter uns ;-)
de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baum_(Graphentheorie)
Today, something for the mathematicians among us ;-)
Hasselblad 500cm
Carl Zeiss Planar 2.8 80mm
Kodak Portra 400
Fujicolor Type II Lustre Paper
Subject: Oscar Paneretto
- Chị này như kiểu bị xinh ý =))
Từ đầu cứ nhìn nhầm thành Nara (Hello Venus)
Bị thích chị này từ RM tập Charlie's Angel :x
Chị này bị "say nắng" Mong Ji =)))))))
chính là nối tiếp cái graph baekkie a~ :"(
ngâm dấm từ tết rồi,giờ làm lại chả còn ý tưởng nữa
hình như hoa hoét trên đầu với áo nó kì v~ :v cơ mà quần bạn baek chót thêm hoa rồi :v
một lần nữa,vợ chồng là phải có đôi có cặp
Hàiz...Mn có thể nx cho em được k??
Xấu lắm phải không ạ, vừa bị chê xong, sao mà bh` cảm giác buồn quá :(((((((((((( Kô còn muốn design nữa luôn :(((((((
năn nỉ luôn, ai đấy nx dù chỉ 1 chút thôi :(
graph thứ 2 của mh =))
làm xong đế ý lại mới thấy :xanh - đỏ - tím - vàng =)))
mh k thích 2 cái fany lắm~ :(
dạo này nói nhìu thật =) đừng ai nói j về cái text nhá =))
xgrayvision is my new photo-oriented twitter account. feel free to follow.
this photo is included in the book, XGRAY VISION 2009
RailPictures is a popular target for foamer disdain, usually on account of their screening process (which I actually found to be quite helpful, and made me a much better photographer until I stopped submitting my work in 2010), although I prefer to rag on them on account of their near complete lack of innovation, dated design, and running ads for mail-order brides.
In any event, there were some comments on an Ian Hapsias shot that suggested RP was chugging along and more popular than ever... so, I hopped on the WayBack Machine and plugged their self-reported stats into Excel and found that it's not exactly the case - the average photo views per day peaked in late 2011.
I contend that most of this drop can be attributed to Flickr's increased marketshare in the railfan photo-realm, especially with respect to views coming from other rail photographers; Flickr (and a lack of time on my part) are why we abandoned plans to start a competing rail photo gallery website; I don't think there's much to be offered asides from what the existing platforms have now.
Updated March 13, 2014