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What is Trend Following?
Trend following is a trading strategy where traders seek to capitalize on sustained market movements by identifying and following established trends. The goal is to enter a trade in the direction of the prevailing trend and exit once there are signs of a reversal.
Unlike reversal or mean reversion strategies, trend followers do not predict market direction; instead, they react to price movements and ride the trend for as long as it remains intact. This strategy works well in stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies, where long-term trends often develop due to macroeconomic factors, market sentiment, or institutional buying/selling.
How Trend Following Works
1. Identify a Strong Trend
- Traders look for assets in clear uptrends or downtrends based on price movement.
- Key indicators used to confirm a trend include:
- Moving Averages (50-day, 200-day): If price is above the moving average, it signals an uptrend; if below, it signals a downtrend.
- ADX (Average Directional Index): Measures the strength of a trend. A reading above 25 indicates a strong trend.
- Price Action: Higher highs and higher lows indicate an uptrend, while lower highs and lower lows signal a downtrend.
2. Enter the Trade When the Trend is Confirmed
- Traders wait for confirmation before entering to avoid false signals.
- A moving average crossover (e.g., 50-day MA crossing above the 200-day MA) is a common entry signal.
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