Guesses
Office guesses at (A) a disaster killing 50%+ of humanity in the next century, (B) our reality turning out to be a simulation, (C) extinction within a century, and (D) artificial general intelligence before 2050.
This is based on earlier Aumann agreement experiments we did. Credences are free to update as we see each other's views, as well as get new evidence.
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Uploaded on June 15, 2014
Taken on June 11, 2014
Guesses
Office guesses at (A) a disaster killing 50%+ of humanity in the next century, (B) our reality turning out to be a simulation, (C) extinction within a century, and (D) artificial general intelligence before 2050.
This is based on earlier Aumann agreement experiments we did. Credences are free to update as we see each other's views, as well as get new evidence.
2,345
views
0
faves
1
comment
Uploaded on June 15, 2014
Taken on June 11, 2014