2022_365-164 (#4182) - Anchored
A trip to West Bay this morning where until lunchtime it was rather cloudy. Time for some black and white photography.
Whilst walking along the sea front we bumped into John who coincidentally was spending a few days in Dorset.
It’s amazing how often these chance encounters occur and yet is it? Research suggests it depends upon how you think about the issue. Before the encounter, if you sat down and calculated the probability that you would see X Person on some random street in Y Town at some specific time, the odds would be extremely small. However, the odds that you will see someone you know, at some point, in some random city, are much larger. When you see X in Y, your brain naturally jumps to the former method and you think the chances are, say, 1:10,000,000. This is the wrong way of looking at it. The chance of seeing one particular person you know in a certain city may be 1:10,000,000, but if you know a lot of people, and you visit a lot of cities, then the probability that, at some point in your life, you see a friend in a random city is much higher than 1:10,000,000.
2022_365-164 (#4182) - Anchored
A trip to West Bay this morning where until lunchtime it was rather cloudy. Time for some black and white photography.
Whilst walking along the sea front we bumped into John who coincidentally was spending a few days in Dorset.
It’s amazing how often these chance encounters occur and yet is it? Research suggests it depends upon how you think about the issue. Before the encounter, if you sat down and calculated the probability that you would see X Person on some random street in Y Town at some specific time, the odds would be extremely small. However, the odds that you will see someone you know, at some point, in some random city, are much larger. When you see X in Y, your brain naturally jumps to the former method and you think the chances are, say, 1:10,000,000. This is the wrong way of looking at it. The chance of seeing one particular person you know in a certain city may be 1:10,000,000, but if you know a lot of people, and you visit a lot of cities, then the probability that, at some point in your life, you see a friend in a random city is much higher than 1:10,000,000.