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Japanese Strong Earthquake Probability Map

Picture of a map of Japan with probability of strong earthquake striking within the next 30 years (or more accurately, sometime within the next 29 years as the map is from 2017). ("Strong" here means shindo ("new scale" that measures local strength) 6 or a little less.)

 

The darker the orange/brown color, the greater the probability. (The scale isn't linear (nor is it logarithmic) but gets the point across well.)

 

In Hokkaido, the greatest chance of a large earthquake is in the Kushiro area (to the eastern part of the island). Where the large earthquake on 6 September struck is rated as relatively low in probability. Low probability, however, doesn't mean that the even being measured will never happen, as the earthquake four weeks ago proved.

 

Ironically, I found this in the real estate office of where we bought our new house in Kitahiroshima. We were there to talk with them about our insurance and whether it covered earthquake damage (it does).

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Uploaded on October 4, 2018
Taken on October 4, 2018