2020-03-30 total death trend - texas

2020-03-30 will be the last set of these series for the time being. I don't have an easy way of converting PDF to JPEG.

 

My wife found a website that has time series historical data as well as a model for prediction. Based on this model, the worst day is predicted to be around May 5th.

 

When you are at this website, select your state.

covid19.healthdata.org/projections

 

Link to other data sources:

www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

 

txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/ed48...

 

Update 2020-04-06:

The covid19.heathdata.org model was updated on April 5th using the latest life data from various states in the US as well as Spanish and Italian cities.

 

Update 2020--4-10

The Texas State Department Health Service Dashboard finally has the time series data. You will need to select the "Trend" tab.

 

Update 2020-04-11

Covid19.healthdata.org model was updated again around April 10. Texas death per day projection shifted right relative to the April 6th update. The worst date is now April 28th.

 

Update 2020-04-13

Covid19.healthdata.org model was updated on April 12. The project worst date (maximum # of death per day for Texas) is now April 30th with 71 projected death.

 

Update 2020-04-19

Covid19.healthdata.org model was updated on April 17. The projected worst date is now April 19th for Texas. The projected death/day and total death have been reduced.

 

Update 2020-04-21

Model updated again on 21st. Peak was passed April 16th.

Done